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Dow Component Alcoa Kicks Off Lackluster Earnings Season With a Lower-Than-Expected Loss

July 10, 2009

By Jennifer Johnson, Contributing Writer, Money Morning

Alcoa Inc. (NYSE: AA) reported a lower-than-expected second-quarter loss on Wednesday, the first in what is projected to be a lackluster season for U.S. corporate earnings.

Alcoa reported a loss of $312 million, or 32 cents a share, well ahead of analysts’ estimates of a loss of 38 cents a share – but down from its year-ago profit of 66 cents per share. The giant aluminum producer is the first component of the bellwether Dow Jones Industrial Average to report its second-quarter performance, marking the beginning of the U.S. corporate earnings season.

Overall, earnings expectations are bleak. The companies that make up the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index are expected to post declining profits for the eighth consecutive quarter, a 36% decline, according to Thompson Reuters. 

Alcoa’s performance was a result of cost-cutting measures undertaken by the company.

“At first glance it looks constructive. They were able to do better than expected from cost savings. Year-over-year production is down, and down sequentially as well, but it looks like they were able to contain costs,” Brian Hicks, co-manager of the U.S. Global Investors Inc. (Nasdaq: GROW) natural resources fund, told cable-TV channel CNBC.

Upcoming earnings reports are likely to be similar to Alcoa’s – not as bad as expected, but still losses.

Companies are cutting costs across the board to boost their bottom line, but this will give stocks – at best – only a limited boost.  Analysts say that until Alcoa and the other sector leaders start recording actual increases in sales and profits, stocks will remain locked in a narrow trading range, and prices will be volatile.

“As the old saying goes, you can’t save your way to prosperity,” Nicholas Colas, chief market strategist at BNY ConvergEx Group LLC, told CNNMoney.com.

While Alcoa marks the beginning of the earnings season, most other companies won’t report for another two weeks – leaving the market in “wait-and-see” mode until more definitive reports give the market some direction.

News and Related Story Links:

  • The Wall Street Journal:
    Stocks Grind to Flat Finish.
  • The Dividend Daily:
    Alcoa Posts $312 Million Q2 Loss, Still Beats Estimates (AA).
  • Money Morning Weekly Preview:
    Another Dismal Earnings Season for U.S. Companies?
  • CNNMoney.com:
    MARKET SNAPSHOT: U.S. Stock Market Awaits Signs Of Revenue Growth.
More on this topic (What's this?)
Dow Component Alcoa Kicks Off Lackluster Earnings Season With a Lower-Than-Expected Loss (Contrarian Profits, 7/10/09)
Earnings Season Preview: Forget Alcoa, Focus on These Two Numbers Instead (Wall Street Daily, 1/11/12)
Alcoa's Loss Inexplicably Satisfies the Market (The Value at Risk, 7/8/09)
Alcoa And Earnings (Attitrade-Proactive Trading, 7/8/09)
Read more on Alcoa at Wikinvest

Tags: Jennifer Johnson
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4 Responses

  1. Buy, Sell or Hold: Buy iShares Barclays 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF For Solid Profit at a Time of Great Uncertainty | July 13, 2009

    [...] the release of Alcoa Inc.'s (NYSE: AA) earnings report, earnings season has officially [...]

    Reply
  2. Investors Looking to Tech to Pull U.S. Stocks - and the Economy - Out of Their Doldrums | July 13, 2009

    [...] Money Morning: Dow Component Alcoa Kicks off Earnings Season With Lower-Than-Expected Quarterly Loss. [...]

    Reply
  3. Hot Stocks: Goldman Sachs Expected to Post "Blowout" Quarter Amid Run of Lackluster Corporate Profit Reports | July 14, 2009

    [...] Late last week, Dow component Alcoa Inc. (NYSE: AA) kicked off the corporate earnings season with a lower-than-expected loss. [...]

    Reply
  4. Hot Stocks: Goldman Sachs Expected to Post “Blowout” Quarter Amid Run of Lackluster Corporate Profit Reports | July 15, 2009

    [...] Late last week, Dow component Alcoa Inc. (NYSE: AA) kicked off the corporate earnings season with a lower-than-expected loss. [...]

    Reply


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