Comments on: Is it Time For Investors to Beware of the Bear?

By: Ivan Sukhomyasov

Ivan Sukhomyasov — Mon, 01 Mar 2010 06:30:04 +0000

By: Jubilee131

Jubilee131 — Sun, 28 Feb 2010 22:26:53 +0000

RIGHT ON – YOU GOT IT!!

By: ben

ben — Thu, 25 Feb 2010 06:36:01 +0000

Wow…what an enlightening article…we may go up, we may go down, or we may go sideways…no matter what happens the author can say he wasn't wrong. And for all theanalysis going back a century, he fails to mention that the markets had a 10% correction already in June-July 2009. What a waste of time you are Mr. Markman.

By: H. Craig Bradley

H. Craig Bradley — Wed, 24 Feb 2010 22:30:29 +0000

Mike:

Other than stocks, where might the rest of your financial assets be invested for retirement ? AAA Bonds or varying duration?? Right now, we are looking at the certainty of some kind of interest rate increase later this year or maybe early next year. When interest rates rise, bonds and bond funds loose principal. Maybe this does not matter if you hold to maturity, but most bond funds do not. Cash is King today and the U.S. dollar index is increasing from recent lows. Inflation is negligible at present.

By: Mike Dunn

Mike Dunn — Wed, 24 Feb 2010 20:52:16 +0000

How does the saying go. " Past results are no guarantee of future results" The future market direction can not be determined by past downturns. A whole new set of factors or parameters are in play now, that did not exist in prior downturns. Future events on a daily basis are not known now that could cause a further down market correction or a turn around to a upturn market biases. One thing to consider in favor of the stock market going up is that every pay period, retirement money is taken out to be invested by money managers. Since interest rates are so low, the only place money managers can get any decent returns is to invest money in top quality dividend or growth stocks and hope for a further turn around in the economy. Since I am 68 and retired I have only about 15% of my retirement money invested in good dividend paying stocks waiting for a more definitive direction in the economy.

By: Daniel Claude Loney

Daniel Claude Loney — Wed, 24 Feb 2010 17:41:33 +0000

Please sign me up for your email newsletter

By: Jeff Pluim

Jeff Pluim — Wed, 24 Feb 2010 17:32:15 +0000

Markman uses the laws of probablility to project the stock markets. You can use those laws to predict what card will turn over in a poker game but when you are dealing with the world economy, the possibilities are infinite. I am continually amazed that statistical analysts like Markman have a forum. I am much more impressed by investor advisers like Fitz-Gerald, who actually know what is happening in the world and can make intelligent projections based on sound market research. And when I say "market research", I am talking about things like what is needed in a particular geographic area in order to sustain population and economic growth. Not, "the market should go up tomorrow because it went up last decade after such and such downturn".

By: Brent

Brent — Wed, 24 Feb 2010 16:25:40 +0000

One might have the same level of certainty going down to 7-11 and buying a lottery ticket as following the "forecasts of the experts," who really don't know how things will shake out and can't accurately predict politician or human behaviors. It does give one cause to pause and not invest in the stock market on any basis given the low probability of success for individual investors.

By: r4ds revolution for ds

r4ds revolution for ds — Wed, 24 Feb 2010 13:42:21 +0000

Interesting.
FUTURES already up.

By: Tin Nyo

Tin Nyo — Wed, 24 Feb 2010 12:58:05 +0000

Great article, a little guarded, with reliable references. Well written, the market may still go in any direction, depending upon political and global issues.