Archives for October 2012

October 2012 - Page 2 of 20 - Money Morning - Only the News You Can Profit From

NYSE Closed: First Two-Day Weather Shutdown Since 1888 Tests Trading Floor

The fact that the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) closed for two consecutive days on Monday and Tuesday due to Hurricane Sandy marks the first two-day, weather-related trading suspension in 124 years.

As of this writing, the storm surge from Hurricane Sandy has forced the shutdown of the power plant that serves Lower Manhattan. News reports of two explosions at the power plant may mean that the restoration of power may be further delayed.

This week's two-day NYSE closure for Hurricane Sandy is unprecedented, delivering something we haven't seen since 1888.

Between March 11 and March 14 that year, The Great Blizzard of 1888 raged along the U.S. east coast from Maine to Maryland. Twenty-two inches of snow fell on New York City propelled by 40 mile-per-hour winds.

There were no subways at that time. Roads and rail transportation, even within Manhattan, were paralyzed for days. Pole-mounted telegraph wires were felled by the heavy snow. 200 people froze to death in New York City for lack of coal, which could not be moved through the snowbound streets.

Traders could not get to the floor of the Exchange and downed telegraph wires meant that stock tickers were useless. Prices could not be disseminated beyond the floor of the Exchange except by runners making their way through the clogged streets. Under these conditions, the NYSE closed on Monday and Tuesday March 12-13, 1888.

Snow is the most common cause of weather-related closures on the NYSE but the Exchange has been closed for hurricanes before.

On Monday, August 9, 1976, the NYSE floor closed one hour early due to an approaching hurricane. On Friday, Sept. 27, 1985, the NYSE closed because of Hurricane Gloria.

But there have been other instances in which the NYSE closed.

1914: War Panic Means NYSE Closed

The board of the New York Stock Exchange watched nervously as Europe hurtled toward war in the summer of 1914 following the assassination of Austrian archduke Franz Ferdinand on June 28.

On July 30, Germany mobilized its army in preparation for the invasion of Belgium and France. Even though France did not immediately respond, the NYSE board decided to close the market indefinitely beginning on Friday, July 31, 1914.

It was only on Nov. 28, 1914 that trading in bonds resumed on the NYSE and, even then, there were price restrictions in place. Trading in a limited number of shares was allowed beginning on Dec. 12 and trading in all shares was reopened on Dec. 15 but with price restrictions. Price restrictions on equity trading were finally lifted on April 1, 1915-a full eight months after the NYSE closed its doors in panic the previous summer.

It was quickly recognized that closing the markets during one of the most cataclysmic events in modern history was a huge mistake that should not be repeated. It was resolved that the NYSE should never again close for two consecutive trading days.

This principle has been violated only a handful of times over the past 97 years and it is the main reason why the NYSE is always open for a half day of trading on the Friday after Thanksgiving.

While two-day closures are extremely rare, there has been only one NYSE closure longer than two days since the debacle of 1914.

That was the four-day closure from Tuesday, Sept. 11 through Friday, Sept. 14, 2001, following the terrorist attacks on the World Trade Center.

The NYSE-a five-minute walk from the World Trade Center-was choked with debris from the collapse of the twin towers. In addition, communications were disrupted by damage to a major telephone switching center in the neighborhood and had to be rerouted.

Given the devastation in Lower Manhattan in the wake of the terrorist attacks, it is nothing short of amazing that trading was able to resume as quickly as it did, on the Monday following the attack.

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American Capital Lags EPS Ests - Analyst Blog

American Capital Ltd. (ACAS) reported third quarter 2012 operating income of 22 cents per share, lagging the Zacks Consensus Estimate by a penny. However, the results compared favorably with the prior-year quarter’s earnings of 19 cents per share. The favorable outcome was attributable to top-line growth, followed by decreased operating expenses reflecting better expense management. […]

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Plum Creek in Sync with Estimates - Analyst Blog

Plum Creek Timber Co. Inc. (PCL), a real estate investment trust (REIT) owning and managing timberlands in the U.S., reported earnings of $59 million or 36 cents per share in the third quarter of 2012, compared with $50 million or 31 cents in the year-earlier quarter. The year-over-year increase in earnings was primarily due to […]

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Marathon Petroleum Corp. (MPC) - Bull of the Day

We are maintaining our Outperform recommendation on Marathon Petroleum Corp. (MPC). Spun out of parent Marathon Oil Co. in 2011, the company is a leading refiner and marketer of petroleum products in the U.S. Our bullish investment theme stems from Marathon Petroleum's scale advantage, impressive asset quality, and an extensive midstream/retail network that diversifies its […]

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Investors Who Own Japanese Stocks are About to Get a Nasty Surprise

[Kyoto]-September's anti-Japanese protests in China over the disputed Senkaku/Daioyu Islands may have come and gone in the Western press, but the real damage is only just beginning for investors who have piled into Japan in recent years.

With their focus on the U.S. fiscal cliff and ongoing EU banking problems, many investors just don't understand how interlinked trade between China and Japan has become, nor the breadth of the damage this strained relationship can do to their portfolios.

But they're about to.

The breaking news here in Japan is that Honda cut its full-year net profit forecast by 20% following a 40% drop in September sales. That marked a 16-month low in sales that is directly related to nationalistic friction between the two nations.

That's adds up to a 95 billion Yen hit. To put this into perspective, Honda's net profit last year was only 211.4 billion Yen, so we're talking about a nearly 50% drop in the company's bottom line.

Under the circumstances, I would be very surprised if Nissan and Toyota, both of which also have significant operations in China, don't follow with similar results when they report next week. While I haven't seen estimates from Nissan yet, Forbes reports that Toyota sales are off a staggering 49% over the same time frame.

That's the biggest drop in a decade.

That's not inconsequential considering that Chinese-Japanese trade accounted for more than $340 billion USD in 2011. Japan is China's fourth-largest trading partner after the EU, the U.S. and the ASEAN nations respectively. It accounts for approximately 10% of China's total annual gross trade volume according to Xinhua.

On the other hand, China is Japan's largest trading partner and has been since 2007 when Japanese corporations dropped the U.S. market like a hot potato. China is also Japan's single largest export destination, accounting for nearly 25% of total export volume as well as the single-biggest source of its imported goods.

The damage won't be limited.

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Hurricane Sandy Closed Markets, Postponed Earnings

As Hurricane Sandy marches up the East Coast, wrecking havoc on states from Florida to Maine, for the first time since the September 2001 terrorist attacks all major U.S. stock, option and commodity markets were closed on Monday, with the closure possibly extending into Tuesday.

While there had been plans for electronic trading to proceed on the New York Stock Exchange, with the ordered transit shutdown in and out of Manhattan, officials deemed the risks too great.

The last time the Big Board close due to weather was in 1985 for Hurricane Gloria. If the exchange remains closed into Tuesday, it will mark the first consecutive day closing since 1888, when a blizzard dumped mountains of snow on the New York area leaving drifts some 40 feet high in its wake.

With Sandy expected to make landfall somewhere on the Jersey Shore Monday afternoon, the devastating effects from the monster storm are expected to hit New York City hard. Lower parts of Manhattan around the Financial District are subject to mandatory evacuation orders, facing 70 mph winds and 11-foot storm surges.

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Why the U.S. is Suing Bank of America (NYSE: BAC)

Long after the disco era, Bank of America Corp. (NYSE: BAC) was still singing "Do the Hustle."

So the federal government alleges.

U.S. regulators maintain BofA, the second biggest U.S. bank by assets, and its partner in crime, its Countrywide Financial Corp. unit, burdened taxpayers with hordes of losses by misrepresenting the quality of home loans they sold to Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.

In federal court in Manhattan on Wednesday, the Justice Department slapped BofA with the suit, seeking damages of at least $1 billion claiming mortgage fraud.

Filed under the False Claims Act, the lawsuit also threatens to impose steep fines and could provide for three times the damages suffered by Fannie and Freddie, a penalty that could swell to more than $3 billion.

The complaint claims that in 2007, ailing Countrywide, saddled with revenue shortfalls as the subprime mortgage markets came tumbling down, did away with background checks on loan quality in a process streamlining effort dubbed "the Hustle," short for the acronym HSSL-High Speed Swim Lane. According to Countrywide documents, the program's mantra was "move forward, never backward."

Meanwhile, the bank gave surety to Fannie and Freddie that it was strengthening its underwriting guidelines.

The move by the U.S. government is seen as a means to help it foot the hefty costs linked to the 2008 bailout of Fannie and Freddie.

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Lexmark's 3Q Mixed, View Disappoints - Analyst Blog

Lexmark International Inc. (LXK) has posted third quarter 2012 earnings per share (EPS) of 94 cents, outshining the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 78 cents and the company’s guidance range of 75–85 cents. Revenue Lexmark’s third quarter revenue of $919.2 million dropped 11.2% from $1.03 billion in the year-ago quarter and was lower than the Zacks […]

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Washington Trust Bancorp - Growth & Income

Earnings momentum for Washington Trust Bancorp Inc. (WASH) has increased since this major regional bank posted impressive third quarter results last week, which included a 17.0% year-over-year jump in earnings. Furthermore, this Zacks #2 Rank (Buy) pays a regular quarterly dividend that yields a solid 3.6%. Impressive Third Quarter Earnings On October 22, Washington Trust […]

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