The Stage Has Been Set For Another Credit Crisis

Email
    Text size
Author Image for Shah Gilani
If you think yesterday's market action was something to worry about, you ain't seen nothing yet.

President Barack Obama getting re-elected sets the stage for another credit crisis.

When the president came into office in 2008 he had a mandate to fix the banking system, which consisted of too-big-to-fail banks holding America and its economy hostage to their greedy schemes.

He swept that mandate under the door of Congress and the Federal Reserve.

The president has no position on the big banks, and it seems he likes it that way.

By lightening up on his already watered-down rhetoric about making banks toe the line, he got campaign money from them. So did Congressmen. That money came from the Federal Reserve.

Now that the president has won a second term, he's not about to fight Congress over their pandering to the big banks, since he's got other things to fight with them over; rather, he's going to advocate a lite-touch going forward to allow banks to continue to strengthen their balance sheets so they can fuel an American recovery.

It seems to be all happening under the cover of darkness. And, it's not going to work.

No matter how much money the Federal Reserve feeds banks via QE4-ever, enough so they could pay off their bailout loans, pay themselves big bonuses again, pay trumped-up dividends to entice equity investors, and continue buying Treasuries with no-interest financing, their balance sheets are still laden with derivatives, stale mortgages and sickeningly more government debt that's about to get downgraded.

This president blew his first mandate and the result is that it's like déjà vu all over again.

The too-big-to-fail banks are all a lot bigger now than they were in 2008, and none of them are any more stable or less prone to the massive correlation of similar asset mixes and counterparty exposure (namely themselves) that if pierced will trigger another crisis.

With a presumed second mandate that probably encompasses all the agenda items he didn't finish, or start in his first term, the president isn't about to take the lead on addressing what's really wrong with America's economy.

And what is that? It's the public's total lack of confidence in the capital markets and their ability to finance growth where it most needs to be nurtured, close to home.

But, before we all liquidate our portfolios, maybe we should give freshly elected Elizabeth Warren a shot at leading the Senate to the high ground on the future of banking in America.

If Warren champions smaller, better capitalized banks that aren't too big to destroy us all again, maybe the president's socialist tendencies, especially when it comes to big banks and the Federal Reserve, will be checked and free markets somehow restored.

In the meantime, someone hand me some sell tickets.

About the Author

Shah Gilani is the Event Trading Specialist for Money Map Press. He provides specific trading recommendations in Capital Wave Forecast, where he predicts gigantic "waves" of money forming and shows you how to play them for the biggest gains. In Short-Side Fortunes, Shah shows the "little guy" how to make massive size gains – sometimes in a single day – by flipping large asset classes like stocks, bonds, commodities, ETFs and more. He also writes our most talked-about publication, Wall Street Insights & Indictments, where he reveals how Wall Street's high-stakes game is really played.

... Read full bio