Bitcoin Prices Whipsawed by Looming China Crackdown – But Not for Long

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As the rumors of a crackdown by the People's Bank of China have solidified over the past few days, Bitcoin prices have been hit hard.

Last week, we told you that China's central bank was rumored to be planning to force Chinese banks to close any accounts they have with Bitcoin exchanges by April 15.

Bitcoin pricesThat news pushed the CoinDesk Bitcoin Price Index from about $585 on Wednesday to as low as $477 on Thursday. Over the weekend the price of Bitcoin recovered somewhat to about the $500 level.

But fresh reports this week, including a Tuesday story in The Wall Street Journal, have essentially confirmed the rumors and have pushed Bitcoin prices down to about $450. That's the lowest Bitcoin prices have been since last November, during the dramatic run-up that took prices to more than $1,100.

While the PBOC doesn't appear ready to ban Bitcoin outright, they appear determined to drive it out of the Chinese banking system.

The Chinese government apparently was concerned over investor speculation in the digital currency, and in particular in the use of Bitcoin to move money outside the country. Once people started using Bitcoin to bypass China's strict capital controls, the government almost had no choice but to cut it off from the banking system.

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For China's Bitcoin exchanges, which include BTC China and OKCoin, the news is bad but not necessarily fatal.

OKCoin Chief Executive Officer (CEO) Xu Mingxing told The Wall Street Journal that one option would be to move operations overseas. And BTC China CEO Bobby Lee suggested that the Chinese Bitcoin exchanges might be able to simply let customers deposit cash directly into their accounts.

To date, none of the Chinese Bitcoin exchanges have received any official word from the PBOC on the new policy. But that isn't unusual for the central bank, which sometimes enacts policies quietly to make it easier to change them later.

Bitcoin Prices Will Recover from the PBOC Crackdown

The impact of the PBOC crackdown on the rest of the Bitcoin community will be felt most directly in the short-term volatility of Bitcoin prices.

But longer term, this is just another pebble in the stream. As it has so many times before, the world of Bitcoin will adapt, and eventually Bitcoin prices will again start to climb.

For example, the Bulgaria-based Bitcoin exchange BTC-e announced Sunday that it would start trading in offshore Chinese yuan.

And in the bigger picture, the promise of Bitcoin will be realized regardless of what the PBOC does, or what other central banks might do.

Bitcoin matters not so much as a currency, or even as an investment (though it is both of those things, no matter what governments say), but for how its technology will be used to transform the world of payments.

People have only just started to realize that Bitcoin is in fact the Internet of money, and it holds as much potential to change the world as did the Internet itself back in the early 1990s.

How do you think China's Bitcoin exchanges will react when the PBOC forces the banks to cut off their accounts? Tell us on Twitter @moneymorning or Facebook using #bitcoinnews.

The IRS finally released its guidance on how Bitcoin should be treated for tax purposes, and not everyone is going to be happy. What's good news for some folks will be a record-keeping nightmare for others…

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  1. Matteo | April 3, 2014

    Nice article, next time you could try at least pretending to not veil your opinions as facts, though.

  2. The @BitcoinRat on twitter | April 3, 2014

    Excellent perspective from David Zeiler. Just recently we have certainly seen the zeitgeist changing on the bitcoin ecosystem. In the last two years it has gone from ‘nerdy kids’ in their garage/basements, staying up all night, communicating on secretive websites etc, to an understanding that bitcoin offers individuals security and control over their own money.

    An internal report on bitcoin from UBS Bank on 28th march acknowledges that –

    “Firstly, the reality is that cross-border transfers can take days, where a system with a blockchain and public/private key infrastructure like Bitcoin can take minutes. Secondly, even on a national level, a bitcoin-like system could enhance security and reduce fraud on an everyday level. In the US in particular credit cards are regularly used for everyday transactions for convenience – but this leaves both the merchant and the banks open to risks of chargebacks. In principle, this is less of a problem with debit cards. However, even then a bitcoin-like system could provide enhanced security and lower costs, by giving users direct control of their funds and the “private key” which is used to ensure security through encryption”

    It is very interesting to read that a Major Bank feels that the bitcoin protocol offers its customers more security than they have at present ! So yes, watch this space. Far from being on the verge of collapse bitcoin is ready to take off into the mainstream with in next 6-9 months

  3. Bob | April 3, 2014

    Wow. A journalist who actually knows what Bitcoin is. It's like a breath of fresh air. Great, accurate article!

  4. HE2 | April 3, 2014

    Is that the real problem or is it that you have a hard time differentiating the two? I read the article fine and it's clear which is opinion and which is fact. There is nothing wrong with having opinion in the article as long as you are capable of telling the difference.

  5. jeff topolewski | April 3, 2014

    it is at a sale price right now, under 500.00!

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