Two Clashing Themes in Gold News Have Been Flat Lining Prices Since April

Email

There's a reason behind gold prices' narrow trading range of late.

Two themes dominating headlines in gold news over the last few months are pulling the yellow metal up, then tugging it back down, cancelling out gains and losses over the short term.

First, let's look at what's driving gold higher…

Gold prices rose today (Tuesday), finishing up $1.20 at $1,309.75. And that's no surprise – our gold price chart shows the yellow metal's been hovering just above or below the $1,300 an ounce mark since April.

In fact, spot gold has finished within $20 of $1,300 an ounce on the London p.m. fix at every mid-month point since April: $1,298 on April 15; $1,299 on May 15; $1,280 on June 15; and $1,310 on July 15.

The gold price gains stem from geopolitical tensions that started back in March. The safe-haven investment tends to enjoy gains when fear is in the air.

It began with Eastern Europe. On March 2, Ukrainian Prime Minister Arseniy Yatsenyuk said his country was "on the brink of disaster" after the Russian parliament approved use of military force in the country. Then on March 6, the regional parliament of Crimea voted unanimously to become part of Russia. The news sent gold soaring, and troubles in the region have only worsened.

On July 17, the price of gold spiked when news that Malaysia Airlines Flight 17 – a passenger plane that carried 298 people – was potentially shot down by pro-Russian separatists in Ukraine. On August 6, gold prices shot up on news that Russian soldiers were gathering at the eastern Ukraine border. The EU and United States have placed heavy sanctions on Russia, and in response, Russian President Vladimir Putin has banned certain Ukrainian and European food products from his country as recently as last week.

"Geopolitics remains on the front burner of the market place. Tensions in Israel and Ukraine remain high. Pundits are now saying the U.S.-Russia relations have deteriorated to Cold War levels," metals analyst and Kitco columnist Jim Wyckoff wrote on July 22.

While the Russia-Ukraine conflict escalated, troubles mounted in the Middle East. In June, the Islamic State of Iraq and Greater Syria (ISIS) began its advance toward Baghdad, moving gold prices up. And July brought about the worst escalation in violence between Israel and Gaza since November 2012.

"Some investors are buying gold as the Middle East region is very tense," R.J. O'Brien & Associates senior commodity broker Phil Streible said in a telephone interview with Bloomberg. "We have been seeing an increase in the safe-haven premium since the violence in Ukraine started."

Despite gold prices spiking after each conflict, the yellow metal hasn't been able to keep the wind in its sails long.

"Gold has failed to find the vigor typically associated with rising fear. At around 55-million ounces held by ETF managers in response to trading flows in gold-backed funds, the total remains close to its lowest point of the year," Interactive Brokers chief market analyst Andrew Wilkinson said to CNBC.

It's a second recurring theme in gold news over the last few months that's been tipping the scale back to even…

Join the conversation. Click here to jump to comments…

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *


× 9 = sixty three

Some HTML is OK

© 2014 Money Map Press. All Rights Reserved. Protected by copyright of the United States and international treaties. Any reproduction, copying, or redistribution (electronic or otherwise, including the world wide web), of content from this webpage, in whole or in part, is strictly prohibited without the express written permission of Money Morning. 16 W. Madison St. Baltimore, MD, 21201, Email: customerservice@MoneyMorning.com