After Netflix Stock Split, Should I Buy NFLX?

top newsThe Netflix stock split will take place tomorrow (Wednesday, July 15). It's a 7-for-1 stock split, which means shareholders of record as of July 2 will receive six shares of Netflix Inc. (Nasdaq: NFLX) for every one they previously owned.

Ahead of the Netflix stock split, shares hit an all-time high of $716.16 on Monday. Now, readers are asking us if they should buy NFLX stock at these high prices.

Here's everything you need to know about the Netflix stock split, including if Netflix stock is a good buy for investors at its lower price...

What the Netflix Stock Split Means for Investors

The biggest change we'll see following the Netflix stock split is the price of Netflix shares.

After a 7-to-1 split, the price of shares will be divided by seven. So if shares close today near $700, where they currently trade, they will open tomorrow near $100.

Bringing down the price of shares is one of the primary reasons for the Netflix stock split. According to FinViz, NFLX has the seventh most expensive share price on American exchanges.

"At a lower price point, there's a perception the stock is more accessible," Netflix spokeswoman Anne-Marie Squeo told Bloomberg in April.

But it's important to remember that even though the price is much lower, the value of NFLX shares is unchanged. That's because the number of shares on the market will increase dramatically. The company plans to up its share total to 5 billion.

In a filing from April, Netflix officials also said issuing new stock would allow better flexibility for dividends, equity financing, and acquisitions.

Netflix would also have a comparable share total to other major tech firms. Apple Inc. (Nasdaq: AAPL) has 5.8 billion shares outstanding, while Microsoft Corp. (Nasdaq: MSFT) has 8.1 billion and Facebook Inc. (Nasdaq: FB) has 2.3 billion.

Netflix is now worth nearly $41 billion. That's more than CBS Corp. (NYSE: CBS), Viacom Inc. (Nasdaq: VIAB), and even Sony Corp. (NYSE ADR: SNE).

Now that the Netflix stock split will bring down the price of shares considerably, new investors will wonder whether they should buy NFLX. The Netflix share price has soared more than 105% in 2015.

Here's what you need to know...

Should I Buy NFLX Following the Netflix Stock Split?

The biggest problem with Netflix stock is its astronomical valuation.

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Right now, Netflix's P/E ratio is 182. For comparison, Apple has a P/E of 15.6 and Microsoft has a P/E of 19.

Money Morning Technical Trading Specialist D.R. Barton, Jr. says Netflix has shown strong user growth and has great content, but it's just too risky of a buy now.

"Netflix stock is a little rich for my blood right now," Barton said on FOX Business in May. "I'm not a seller; I'm recommending a hold on this stock right now. If you have it in your portfolio already, then keep it. There is some upside here, but not enough upside to put new money to work."

The biggest opportunity for Netflix now is its move into China. The firm's already strong subscriber base will help it immensely too. Netflix now has more than 62 million subscribers worldwide.

"They've done a great job of growing that subscriber base, but I don't see it at these elevated levels," Barton said. "Let's wait for them to have a little pullback before putting new money in Netflix."

Another good barometer for a stock's value is its price/earnings to growth (PEG) ratio. A PEG ratio of 1.0 is considered fair value for a company. Right now, Netflix has a PEG ratio of 23.2, meaning it is heavily overvalued.

The Bottom Line: The Netflix stock split takes place tomorrow, and the Netflix stock price will come down dramatically afterward. But this is not a time to buy NFLX stock at such high levels. With a P/E ratio of 182 and a PEG ratio of 23.2, NFLX is extremely overvalued. The best move is to hold Netflix stock if you already own it.

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