FOMC Meeting This Week: What to Watch For

The September FOMC meeting takes place this week when U.S. Federal Reserve officials gather for a two-day assembly on Wednesday and Thursday (Sept. 16-17).

The FedThis is the Federal Reserve's sixth scheduled meeting of 2015, with meetings in October and December to follow. A press conference by Fed Chairwoman Janet Yellen will follow the FOMC meeting.

Here's what investors are watching for during this week's FOMC meeting...

What to Watch For at This Week's FOMC Meeting

By far, the biggest thing investors are looking for is a decision on whether or not to raise interest rates. The Federal Reserve has kept interest rates near zero since 2008, but a growing U.S. economy has had the Fed pushing for a rate hike throughout 2015.

Growth of the U.S. job market has been one of the biggest reasons proponents are calling for a rate hike. The U.S. jobs report from August showed that unemployment in the United States hit 5.1% - a seven-year low. At the same time, job openings hit 5.8 million in July, showing an increased need for workers.

However, instability in the market over the last month has caused experts to question whether a rate hike is actually feasible this month.

Thanks to worries about China's stock market, the Dow Jones fell 13.4% from July 20 through Aug. 25. The Nasdaq and S&P 500 were down 13.5% and 12.2% in the same time frame, respectively.

The majority of economists polled by The Wall Street Journal no longer believe this week's FOMC meeting will end with an interest rate hike. Only 46% of economists surveyed by The Journal now believe a rate hike will happen this week. In August, that figure was 82%.

But according to Money Morning Chief Investment Strategist Keith Fitz-Gerald, you can never be certain what the Federal Reserve will do. Just because they shouldn't raise rates doesn't mean they won't.

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"I think it would be irresponsible to raise rates now, but that doesn't change the fact that the Federal Reserve has ignored data and reality for so long that I think they're going to go ahead and do it because their models don't reflect the middle class, which is still being eviscerated," Fitz-Gerald said.

Regardless of the Fed's decision on interest rates, investors should expect some volatility following the FOMC meeting.

Here's what investors can expect from the stock market following this week's FOMC meeting...

How an Interest Rate Hike Will Impact Stocks

Money Morning Capital Wave Strategist Shah Gilani says that even if we do end up seeing a rate hike, investors should not worry about a huge dip in stocks.

"There shouldn't be too much of a market reaction to an interest rate hike," Gilani said. "A rate increase of 0.25% in the Fed funds rate has already been talked about for so long that it's mostly baked into prices now."

Gilani says that if we see an interest rate hike, it will be a small one - likely 0.25%.

"And beyond that 0.25%, there's no need to hike further," Gilani said. "The Fed isn't going to destroy the wealth effect it's engineered by doing something stupid to trounce stocks. That said, there is a chance investors could look at a rate hike as a profit-taking opportunity and sell stocks. But this won't be a market buster."

You can expect a small pullback immediately following a hike, but don't panic. And if the Fed should raise rates a second time, that's actually a good thing for the markets.

"The thing to remember is that after the initial rate hike, which is a matter of Fed credibility at this point after telegraphing it for so long, any additional rate hikes will be because we are growing nicely. That's a good thing for stocks."

The Bottom Line: The biggest thing to watch from this week's FOMC meeting is whether or not the Federal Reserve decides to raise interest rates. It is unlikely that the Fed will actually raise the rates, but according to Keith Fitz-Gerald, you can never be certain of what the Fed will do. If we see a rate hike, stocks should pullback slightly, but it won't be a reason to panic.

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