Category

Recession

Emerging Markets Continue to Offer Opportunity Despite Possible U.S. Recession

By Jason Simpkins Associate Editor A narrowing trade surplus and declining money-supply growth in China has some analysts worried about the prospects of global growth, particularly as the U.S. economy flirts with the possibility of recession. But the red-hot Asian markets may prove more resilient than many think. China raised its interest rates six times […]

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Goldman Sachs Predicts Recession… in Japan

By Mike Caggeso Associate Editor It seems every analyst has chimed in on the possibility of a U.S. recession, but few have talked about the economic woes of the world's second-largest economy – Japan. Until now, that is. Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (GS) has cut it economic growth estimate for Japan's gross domestic product (GDP) […]

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Odds Might Be Rising, But a Recession Is Still Far From a Sure Bet

By Jennifer Yousfi Managing Editor The U.S. unemployment rate for November rose 0.3% to reach 5% – the highest rate since 2003 – and non-farm payrolls gained slightly to 18,000, according to a statement from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).  On Wednesday, the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) released the Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) […]

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With More Pain to Come, Don't Be Fooled by Yesterday's Banking Sector Gains

By Mike Caggeso Associate Editor Though last week's river of red flowed into the new week causing stock prices to stumble yesterday (Monday), the market received a boost from an unlikely quarter – the banking-and-finance sector. Aided by a strengthening U.S. dollar and a dip in gold prices – not to mention an extended sell-off […]

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Beware of This Fed-Led Stock Market Rally

By Keith Fitz-Gerald Contributing Editor Money Morning/The Money Map Report As a professional trader, I’m never far from my trading screens. But I find that I’ve been watching them even more intently than usual over the past few days. When I take a step back and attempt to assess just why I seem to be […]

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Will Fed Rate Cuts Have an Inflationary Impact?

When Federal Reserve policymakers announced the half-a-point cut in interest rates last Tuesday, I was almost at a loss for words. As all of you know, I had projected reduction of 25 basis points, and by the time Tuesday’s meeting of the central bank’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) rolled around, the market supported my […]

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Dropping Housing Prices, Rising Foreclosures Could Confirm Our Worst Fears

By Jason Simpkins Staff Writer In an interview that conveyed a deep sense of economic gloom last week, former Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan told Bloomberg News that the odds of a U.S. recession remain "somewhat more" than one in three. Home prices will likely drop further, disrupting consumer spending and undermining investor confidence, Greenspan […]

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Emerging Markets Weathering Economic Storm

From MoneyWeek Magazine Reduced inflation, lower interest rates and lighter government debt burdens have strengthened developing nations’ infrastructure and allowed them to weather the current subprime-induced global jitters. The MSCI Emerging Market Index has bounced back from August’s slide and it up 2% since the beginning of July. The S&P 500 was down 1.75% during […]

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U.S. Fed Readies Itself For All the Right Moves

As we await the announced decision of U.S. Federal Reserve policymakers today, there are some very important facts to keep in mind. First and foremost is this: The fears of a recession are highly exaggerated. The U.S. economy has good momentum, the American consumer is still spending, and we believe that central bank will reduce […]

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