best retail stocks to buy
As Main Street gears up for the holiday shopping season, the retail sector takes center stage on Wall Street.
The bad news for those investing in retail stocks: Morgan Stanley cautions overall retail sales growth is expected to be the weakest since 2008 - meaning the sector's robust 40% year to date could be headed for a slowdown.
Weighed down by concerns over pay and hiring, consumer confidence continues to fall, suggesting consumers will continue to be tight-fisted. After a steep drop in October, the consumer confidence level fell further in November. Slipping to 70.4 from 72.4, it marks the lowest level in seven months, Tuesday's Conference Board data revealed.
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best retail stocks to buy
Three Retail Stocks to Buy Now with "Sizzling" Sales in 2013
If you're currently looking for stocks to buy, now's a great time to take a close look at retailers.
You see, a combination of factors - an improving job market, steaming summer temperatures and lower prices - have helped retailers post sizeable sales gains recently.
Retail Stocks to Buy: Time to Profit from Lifestyles of the Rich
CNBC stock picker Jim Cramer calls it a "Great Gatsby market," the growing divide between the rich and the rest of us.
And you can profit from it - by buying stocks of retailers that cater to the rich.
That's because these luxury retailers don't feel the pinch of economic hardships among their rich customer base nearly as much as lower-end retailers do.
Cramer says the rich can afford to buy expensive items, while much of the rest of the population struggles to get by and has less discretionary income now, partly because of the recent increase in the payroll tax and soaring gas prices.
"This is a Great Gatsby market; the rich are not like us," Cramer says.
Even if the stock market slows this year, analysts don't expect that to reduce spending among shoppers at high-end retail stores.
Can Retail Stocks Survive the Death of the Shopping Mall?
As consumers do less shopping in physical stores and more shopping on the Internet, retail stocks will need to evolve or face extinction.
And if tech entrepreneur Marc Andreessen is right, they don't have much time. In an interview with PandoDaily's Sarah Lacy, the co-founder of Netscape and renowned Silicon Valley venture capitalist unabashedly predicted the demise of brick-and-mortar stores by the end of the decade.
"Retail guys are going to go out of business and ecommerce will become the place everyone buys. You are not going to have a choice," Andreessen said. "Malls are going under, and there's more to come. These chains are much closer to going under than you think."
He reasons that the superior business model of online retailing will undermine brick-and-mortar rivals.
"Retail chains are a fundamentally implausible economic structure if there's a viable alternative," he says. "You combine the fixed cost of real estate with inventory, and it puts every retailer in a highly leveraged position. Few can survive a decline of 20% to 30% in revenues. It just doesn't make any sense for all this stuff to sit on shelves. There is fundamentally a better model."
As extreme as it sounds, the transition is already well under way in some retail categories.
Online retailer Amazon.com (Nasdaq: AMZN) played a major role in undermining the business of two of the country's largest bookstore chains, Borders, which went out of business in 2011, and Barnes and Noble Inc. (NYSE: BKS), which recently announced plans to close a third of its stores over the next decade.
And the popularity of online video streaming such as that offered by Netflix Inc. (Nasdaq: NFLX) torpedoed video rental giant Blockbuster, which filed for bankruptcy in 2010 and was eventually bought by Dish Network Corp. (Nasdaq: DISH).