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Crude Oil Prices

With Yemen Burning, Arab Spring II Is Underway

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The worsening crisis in Yemen has provided a stark reminder of the immediate impact geopolitical events can have on oil prices.

I was asked to provide my analysis on CNBC's "Closing Bell" on Thursday afternoon, and to discuss the impact the crisis will have on oil prices.

Because this crisis is already having a big impact on the price of crude...

How Will the Yemen Crisis Affect Oil Prices?

how will the yemen crisis affect oil prices

As violence escalates in the Middle East, one question is on energy investors' minds - how will the Yemen crisis affect oil prices?

The event could imply an "Arab Spring II" due to low oil prices right now.

Here's where oil is headed by July...

Why Crude Oil Prices Today Are Rising

why crude oil prices today are rising

Why crude oil prices today are rising, 3/26/2015: Crude oil futures kept moving higher this morning in response to escalating violence in the Middle East.

Both WTI and Brent prices were up today after Saudi Arabia launched airstrikes across Yemen.

Here's why the conflict is causing oil to surge today...

Pre-Market Quotes Bounce After Friday's Triple Digit Plunge

pre-market quotes

Pre-market quotes for Monday, March 16, forecasted an 80-point gain from Friday's Dow close when the DJIA Index shed 145 points on Friday because of falling crude oil prices and investor jitters about possible interest rate increases in the near future.

Today, the markets will respond to a light macro data release schedule that focuses just on February industrial production data and the Federal Reserve's report on Treasury International Capital (TIC). A light schedule is compounded by investors' anxiety over the start of this week's FOMC meeting.

Here's what else pre-market quotes tell us about the stock market today - as well as your "Money Morning Tip of the Day" to make it a profitable Monday.

What This "Ice Level" Means to Future Oil Prices

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You'd have to be living under a rock (and one without Internet access at that) to have missed the oil price swoon that has taken place since June.

Even after a recent bounce back from an under-$50 per barrel low, and a trough-to-peak rebound of 24% since the end of January, the technical picture does not indicate smooth sailing upward from here. 

In fact, if there's only one metric we need to look at to determine where oil prices are going, it would be this one, and it's not showing the type of move we're hoping for any time soon.

In fact, it shows oil will have trouble "breaking the ice"...

Crude Oil Prices Will Recover – Here's How to Play the Rebound

crude oil prices

Crude oil prices continue to be volatile, with both Brent and WTI falling about 3% Wednesday.

But near-term volatility aside, oil prices are recovering from their recent lows. Brent has gained more than 30% since late January and is now over $60 a barrel. WTI is over $52.

While oil isn't going to surge in the short term, there are definite opportunities here. Oil won't have to hit triple digits for them to pay off, either.

Here's how to the play the rebound in energy...

How Analysts Are Wrong About Crude Oil Prices – Again

crude oil prices

Despite a 20% jump in crude oil prices, some pundits continue to predict more pain.

In fact, just yesterday, Citigroup analyst Ed Morse came out with his most bearish forecast yet.

According to Morse, oil prices could fall another 60% to $20 a barrel. As for the recent rebound, Morse thinks it looks more like a "head-fake" than a sustainable turning point.

There's just one problem with all of this bearish analysis. And it's a big one...

The Saudis Are Losing Their Leverage over Oil Prices

oil prices

In an oil market version of a game of chicken, Saudi policymakers are trying to make U.S. producers blink first. And it's starting to work.

U.S. rigs are being brought offshore and drilling projects are being shelved. This will have an impact on the supply side in short order. By this summer, oil prices may be back to a range of $65 to $70 a barrel.

But in waging this doomed oil price war and pushing home its point, the Saudis have made a fatal mistake...

Crude Oil Prices and the New Saudi King

crude oil prices

Crude oil prices continue to drop in the wake of Saudi Arabia's shift in leadership. U.S. policymakers will have a tougher time with new King Salman than they've had in some time.

The new leader and his Oil Minister are the architects behind the current Saudi policy, of which there are three main targets.

Crude Oil Prices and the Influence of Saudi King Salman

crude oil prices

With King Salman taking over in Saudi Arabia, many have wondered how the OPEC country will handle its oil policy.

The country's refusal to cut production in 2014 was one of the biggest reasons crude oil prices fell so sharply over the past seven months.

Money Morning's Global Energy Strategist Dr. Kent Moors appeared on CNBC last week and discussed how Saudi Arabia could handle its oil policy now. He's a 35-year expert in oil and gas policy, and regularly meets with oil policymakers from around the globe.

Here's what he says investors can expect now...

Deflation in 2015? These Four Charts Say Yes

deflation in 2015

Deflation in 2015 seems to be upon us. And while falling prices might seem like a good thing, deflation can wreak havoc on the economy.

In a deflationary period, prices will drop, corporate profits will dry up, wages will shrink, and all of this will reinforce the conditions of recessions.

These four charts show that the U.S. has a real deflation problem now...

Why the Price of Oil Surged on Wednesday

price of oil

The price of oil rose dramatically Tuesday, posting its best one-day performance since 2012. All of this occurred in a market with oversupply concerns still unresolved and a continuing host of short artists poised to pummel futures prices at any opportunity.

So, if the environment remains essentially the same, why the rise in prices?

Here's why - in addition to where oil prices are headed next...

Crude Oil Price Drop to $44.78 Brings Us Near Decade Lows

crude oil price drop

The crude oil price drop today (Tuesday) fell to its lowest in five years. Both WTI and Brent oil are down 59% since June 2014.

If this trend continues, oil will be the lowest in a decade.

Here's where prices are headed now...

Crude Oil Prices Today: The Other Side of the "Glut"

Iran oil

The pundits continue to hawk the same reasons for the fall in crude oil prices today.

These are always "spearheaded" by comments about surging global supply led by the onslaught of unconventional (tight and shale) oil production in the United States.

Invariably, what's missed by these "TV sages" are the pricing dynamics kicking in that virtually guarantee an increase in oil prices as we move into 2015.

Just take a look...

Stock Market Futures in the Green While Oil Slides Another 3%

Stock market futures

Good morning! Stock market futures for Tuesday, Jan. 13, forecasted a 74-point gain over yesterday's close. In the last session, the Dow Jones plunged 96 points after crude oil prices crashed more than 4%.

Today, investors will react to the kickoff of earnings season. Watch for reports from KB Home (NYSE: KBH), Kinder Morgan Inc. (NYSE: KMI), and CSX Corp. (NYSE: CSX).

Here's what else you should know about the stock market today - including your "Money Morning Tip of the Day" - to make it a profitable Tuesday...

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