facebook stock analysis

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Facebook Stock is Up 24% this Month – Will it Keep Going?
Facebook stock finally has been acting like it was expected to after its hugely hyped initial public offering in May: It's rising.

In a stark about-face, the stock has advanced more than 24% in November, after falling 50% from its IPO price over the previous five months.

The FB rally was pronounced Monday, with shares of the social networking giant closing up 8.09%.

In addition, it has logged better returns than the S&P 500 by 24 percentage points over the last 60 trading sessions.

What sparked the rise was an upgrade from Bernstein Research's Carlos Kirjner, who has been one the biggest bears of the bunch covering Facebook. Kirjner said most analysts are presently underestimating the world's largest social network's potential.

Kirjner upped FB stock to "Outperform" from "Market Perform," and hiked its price target to $33 from $24. He maintains Facebook's revenue will increase over the next year or two from its new mobile advertisements and new e-commerce businesses such as Facebook Gifts and its promote-to-post program.

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Stock Market Today / Stocks / Top News
Facebook Stock Gains, But Rival Threatens Market Share
Look out, Facebook: LinkedIn Corp. (NYSE: LNKD) is inching into your territory.

As Facebook stock (Nasdaq: FB) keeps climbing from its all-time low last week of $17.55 a share, business-oriented networking site LinkedIn has introduced some new features that resemble those of Facebook.

LinkedIn last week rolled out a new notification system and launched an update for its iPhone, iPad and Android apps. The updates now inform a member when someone likes or comments on one of their status updates - just like Facebook, the social networking leader.

In the past LinkedIn only sent notifications if someone sent a member a message or extended an invitation to become a connection.

In a statement, the company gushed, "You'll never miss a comment or update to an engaging discussion about a news article or trending topic on LinkedIn."

LinkedIn's head of mobile products Joff Redfern said in an interview that the update will also let a member peruse company pages and job postings on smartphones and tablets. According to Redfern, users requested the feature so they could covertly browse for jobs while at work.

The latest moves highlight how LinkedIn is morphing from a headhunting and career-networking site into something bigger. Facebook big.

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Facebook Earnings Report: Three Things to Watch
The Facebook earnings report due out Thursday is sure to bring excitement to this otherwise slow summer earnings season.

Facebook Q2 earnings will come out after market close Thursday, in the Menlo Park, CA-based company's first report since going public.

There is no doubt that Facebook (Nasdaq: FB) would love to put its fiasco of an initial public offering behind it. But since the company's disappointing IPO was marred by technical glitches and concerns about its valuation, Facebook will be under intense scrutiny.

Analysts polled by Thomas Reuters expect Facebook Q2 earnings of 12 cents a share on revenue of $1.1 billion. Those are the minimum numbers needed to hit the lofty $100 billion valuation Facebook claimed it was worth when it debuted on May 18.

Since expectations have been lowered, analysts think Facebook earnings will hit the Q2 target.

"We think it is unlikely that Facebook will miss Q2 consensus estimates, which dropped after May 9's revised Form S-1," investing firm Wedbush said in an earnings preview report on the social network. "The underwriters likely advised Facebook to beat Street expectations for its first public quarter; this became more achievable now that estimates have declined."

Just as important as the numbers will be if Facebook delivers answers to all the questions that shareholders have been dying to ask.

Here are the three things- besides how Facebook stock reacts - you should watch when the Facebook earnings report comes out Thursday.

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What to Look for in the Facebook Earnings Report
The most highly anticipated earnings report this month will come July 26 when Facebook (Nasdaq: FB) releases its first results as a public company.

While the event won't garner the same kind of fanfare Facebook enjoyed leading up to its IPO, the projected numbers are already attracting a great deal of negative attention, and Facebook stock has fallen in the midst of some dreary expectations.

According to data from Bloomberg News, Facebook is forecast to report revenue of $1.16 billion, while profit is expected to have fallen 10% to 11 cents a share amid a slowdown in sales. The whisper number is for earnings of 12 cents a share.

Predictions for the company have been slashed in recent weeks as concerns of a slowdown in sales and user defections have increased.

Those cuts have weighed on Facebook stock. Shares on Tuesday slipped for the sixth consecutive day, eked out a small gain Wednesday, and were lower again today (Thursday).

"People are concerned about the growth profile. More risk is being reflected in the lower stock price," Benjamin Schachter, an analyst at Macquarie Securities USA Inc., told Bloomberg.

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Stocks / Top News
Analysts Weigh in on Facebook Stock as Quiet Period Ends
Investors who want more analyst opinion on the Facebook stock price now have a lot more reading to do.

Today (Wednesday) marked the end of a 40-day quiet period for dozens of analysts who work for the 33 underwriters of the Facebook (Nasdaq: FB) initial public offering. That means these analysts now have released their first opinions and outlooks for shares of the social networking behemoth.

In an effort not to artificially inflate the stock price of a "hot" IPO, major Wall Street firms are prohibited for the first 40 days following a stock's debut from issuing analyst reports on stocks they underwrite. Smaller banks that are part of such an offering usually follow suit.

The universal opinion prior to Wednesday's Facebook releases was that the majority of analysts would "like" FB shares, and predict a 20% rally or more could be expected over the next 12-month period.

That was mainly the case among its lead underwriters, although some were bearish, bringing the average price target down. Price targets for analysts who provided them Wednesday ranged from $25 to $45, with the average $37.71.

But investors should consider the source before acting on the first analyst opinion they see. Some may be more interested in getting attention than guiding investors in the right direction.

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Date	Issue
6/17	Empire state index (6/13); Home builders’ index (6/13)
6/18	Consumer price index (5/13); Core CPI (5/13); Housing starts (5/13)
6/19	FOMC statement; FOMC press conference
6/20	Weekly jobless claims (6/15/13); Markit flash PMI (6/13); Existing home sales (5/13); Philly Fed (6/13); Leading indicators (5/13)
6/21	None scheduled

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