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Federal Reserve

Apple Stock Debuts on Dow Jones Industrial Average Today

Dow Jones Industrial Average today

Good morning! U.S. stock futures for Thursday, March 19, forecasted a 43-point decrease from yesterday's close. The DJIA surged 227 points Wednesday after the Federal Reserve indicated a slower pace for an expected interest rate hike this year. Commodities rallied on the news, with gold prices jumping nearly 2% and silver prices up almost 2.5%.

Apple stock (Nasdaq: AAPL) makes its official debut on the Dow Jones Industrial Average today. It replaces AT&T Inc. (NYSE: T). [Here's why Apple - the most valuable company in the world with a market cap of $732.5 billion - just became worthy of joining the DJIA...]

Here's what else you should know about the stock market today - including your "Money Morning Tip of the Day" - to make it a profitable Thursday...

Why the Federal Reserve Will Move Rates

federal reserve

To say that markets are confused about when the Federal Reserve is going to raise interest rates is the understatement of the year.

The confusion is understandable. While the U.S. economy no longer needs crisis-era policies like zero interest rates and quantitative easing, the rest of the world is still struggling.

While some would argue that such policies are not the answer, central banks in Europe, Japan and China are doubling down on huge bond buying programs.

The question is whether the Federal Reserve will go its own way or allow weakness abroad to govern its next move...

It's Not Time to Sell Everything… Yet

The Fed One of my favorite lines is "I'm not the kind of guy to say I told you so – but if I was, I'd sure be saying it now." As far as saying "I told you so," back in the summer of 2008, in my "Friday Night Illumination" emails to my banker and trader friends, […]

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FOMC Meeting Today: A Tale of Two QEs

FOMC Meeting Today

The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Meeting today marks 2015's inaugural meeting of the U.S. Federal Reserve's monetary policy makers.

It's only been a month since the last meeting convened. But a lot has changed. It's following big stories in the way of global central, particularly from the European Central Bank.

Here's how this QE story will play out, and why today's FOMC meeting will just be noise in a much more troubling outlook for central banking...

Stock Market Futures Up Ahead of FOMC Meeting and FB Earnings

Stock market futures

Stock market futures for Wednesday, Jan. 28, forecasted a 22-point gain from yesterday's close.

Today, investors are awaiting word from the Fed Open Market Committee. The markets will be paying attention to how the central bank is planning to address interest rates in the coming months.

Here's what else you should know about the stock market today - including your "Money Morning Tip of the Day" - to make it a profitable Wednesday:

The Next Subprime Crisis Has Already Started

dow futures

Reading about what's going on in the subprime auto lending space is a lot like reading about drive-by shootings.

Unless you're a subprime borrower, or live in a neighborhood where drive-bys are happening, you probably don't know much about either - or think they affect you.

But if you listen closely there's muffled financial "gunfire" already in your neighborhood.

And it's much closer to your doorstep than you think.

Here's what you need to know...

JPMorgan (NYSE: JPM) Is the Latest Target on Goldman Sachs' "Hit List"

NYSE: JPM

JP Morgan (NYSE: JPM) is about to become Goldman Sachs' newest toy. Except its version of "playing" is "smashing it into pieces."

That's right, Goldman Sachs has joined a bandwagon of analysts calling for JP Morgan Chase to break up. And since Goldman Sachs is simply the best at what it does - good and evil - their mission shouldn't be too hard.

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How the Fed Sees Itself Is Not Pretty

The Fed

The Fed was the center of debate during congressional questioning on Nov. 21.

Sen. Elizabeth Warren compared the Fed's job to that of "a cop on the beat."

In response, New York Fed President William Dudley put his foot in his big mouth.

Proof the Federal Reserve Has No Idea What It's Doing

Federal Reserve

The minutes from last month's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting provided zero clarity on the U.S. Federal Reserve's plans to raise interest rates in 2015. The markets need to know when the Federal Reserve might raise interest rates, or at least what economic conditions it will use to make the decision.

But all we get from the Federal Reserve is waffling. And the economic targets that would trigger action get increasingly vague. Meanwhile, the Fed members make things worse by publicly voicing their uncertainty.

Just look at some of these quotes...

The Fed's Lost Grip on Interest Rates

interest rates

As widely expected, the Fed finally ended its massive bond-purchasing program.

Now the market will turn its focus to interest rates.

Will the Fed raise rates next year? If so, what effects will that have?

The Fed is ultimately reactive, exerting little, if any, control in the long run. Low rates are here only as long as the Fed can manage them.

At that point, it is time to look out.

Here's what will cause us nightmares - and what we can do to avert a crisis in our investments...

Understanding Gold's Massive Impact on Fed Maneuvering

gold

Just about everyone knows Alan Greenspan. As central bankers go, he may just be the most famous ever. Even today, 1 in 6 Americans still think he's the current chair of the Federal Reserve.

As Fed chief from 1987 until 2006, Greenspan oversaw the latter part of the greatest stock bull market in history.

For that, some called him "The Maestro."

From other quarters, the names are far less flattering. Many blame him for inflating massive stock and real estate bubbles, resulting in financial devastation across the economy.

Well, these days Greenspan is acting rather schizophrenic. In fact, you won't believe what he's saying now, unless you understand where he's coming from.

Given the havoc its wreaking on market stability (while ostensibly doing the opposite), it's absolutely critical to look back at Greenspan's handiwork to try to make sense of today's Federal Reserve maneuvering...

Here's What the Secret Goldman Sachs Tapes Really Mean (NYSE: GS)

Goldman Sachs

"The Secret Recordings of Carmen Segarra" was broadcast on NPR's "This American Life" on Sept. 26. Carmen Segarra, a former Fed examiner in the bowels of Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (NYSE: GS), secretly recorded some of the goings-on there.

And what was revealed in those tapes speaks a lot to who's really running the show there - the Fed or the big banks.

We’re all screwed. Here’s why…

Here's What Rising Rates Really Do to Your Shares

rising rates

There is a lot of lip service being paid to the upcoming stock market crash that we're supposed to expect once the Federal Reserve starts raising rates.

Every time we get close to a regularly scheduled Federal Reserve statement, financial pundits pontificate about the nuances of what the Fed Chair might say, not say, or imply.

It's like clockwork.

But one theme remains constant: any tightening of the Fed's easy monetary policies will spell impending doom for the easy-money-addicted stock market.

The only problem, though, is that historical facts just don't support the fear. In fact, there are opportunities for investment out there no matter what rates do... Full Story

Dow Jones Today Hits Record Close of 17,156 on Fed Meeting News

dow jones today

The Dow Jones today closed at a record high after the Federal Reserve released a statement that indicates its intent to maintain low interest rates for "a considerable time." Markets were quiet for most of the day, as investors were looking to determine whether the central bank plans to boost interest rates before the consensus expectations of mid-2015.

Here are the top stories from the stock market today…

The Real Reason the Federal Reserve Is Afraid to Raise Interest Rates

Federal Reserve

When the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) of the U.S. Federal Reserve meets next week (Sept. 16-17) to consider when it should raise interest rates, it will have a huge disincentive to do so.

And we're not talking about what you'll hear in the mainstream media about whether the unemployment rate is finally low enough, or whether U.S. economic growth is finally strong enough to warrant tightening monetary policy.

No, what the Federal Reserve fears most is a problem of its own creation...

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