gold investing

Gold News: China Poised to Overtake India as Biggest Gold Consumer

Gold Price Drivers 2014

Demand for gold in China is skyrocketing. Thanks to an enriched and growing middle class, China's gold consumption will reach a record 1,000 tons this year - up a whopping 29% year over year. At this pace, China will soon surpass India as the world's biggest buyer of the yellow metal.

Imagine what this will do to the price of gold over the next few years...

The Silver and Gold Prices 'Super Cycle' is Far From Over

Looking at a 10-year gold prices or silver prices chart and seeing respective gains of 423% and 650% can get investors pretty excited, and for good reasons.


Whether you enjoyed the previous commodities bull run and are currently adding to your positions, or just initiating one, now is the time to buy gold and silver, as both are expected to continue climbing in value.

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The Ultimate Gift for Your Gold Lover and 5 Other Amazing Consumer Trends

Package gift small Last weekend marked the official start of the holiday shopping season in the U.S., so for the next month, consumers will be enticed with daily deals on the latest fads, such as one-cup coffee makers, tablets, flat screens and cashmere sweaters.

According to the latest survey from the Consumer Electronic Association, about 60 percent of adults plan to shop in stores or online during the holiday weekend, with the average person indicating they'll fork over $218 for gifts and merchandise from Thanksgiving through Cyber Monday.

This is a sharp increase from 2011, where shoppers said they'd spend $159.



For the ultimate gold lover on your shopping list, one amazing purchase you can nab is a Christmas tree complete with Disney characters and gold leaf ribbons made of 88 pounds of pure gold from a jewelry store in Tokyo, according to Reuters.

The ornamental tree will set you back $4.2 million, but there's also a smaller version available for $243,000.

But that's not the only thing that has grabbed my attention this holiday season. Here are 5 other amazing consumer trends that are happening around the world.

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The "Two Outlooks" for Gold Prices

One of the best parts of my job is when I hear back from you.

And two recent columns in particular on gold generated a larger-than-normal response.

The comments were related to the two-parter on gold prices that we published on Nov. 5 ("The Secret Gold Standard") and Nov. 13 ("Why Obama's Victory Means Higher Gold Prices").

Let's take a look at what you had to say.

The comments related to the "Secret Gold Standard" column were especially intriguing because a number of you thought I was advocating a literal return to the "gold standard."

I wasn't, of course. I employed the term as a convenient metaphor to try and help folks understand how the world's central banks were adding gold reserves for the first time in nearly a quarter century.

In fact, a global return to the gold standard isn't possible - there literally isn't enough gold to allow that to happen. It would crimp money-supply growth in such a way that global economic growth would be stymied.

A number of you wrote in to make that same point - including one reader who actually performed all the necessary calculations to make his case.

Al K. wrote in to ask: "Some analysts believe gold will drop further & others believe gold has bottomed out now. What do the experts of Money Morning believe?"

Since Al requested an "expert" opinion - a fair request - I put in a call to Chief Investment Strategist Keith Fitz-Gerald.

The Outlook For Gold Prices

Right now, Keith explained, there are two separate outlooks for gold - one for the near-term and another for the longer-term.

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As Gold Prices Climb, This Options Trading Strategy Tells You When to Buy

While most experts agree the long-term outlook for gold prices is still bullish, the yellow metal's pattern this summer can only be described as one of fits and starts.

In all, gold has made 11 short-term bottoms since May 29, the lowest being a close at $1,552.40 an ounce on June 28. Meanwhile, subsequent rally attempts have all quickly run into resistance, stalling out at near $1,620.

This start-and-stop action makes it extremely difficult for investors to avoid being "whipsawed."

Fortunately, there's a way around this dilemma: Just use an options trading strategy that lets the market itself tell you exactly when to buy gold.

And, here's the best part: This clever options trading strategy will cost you only a few dollars.

It can be used on gold futures - e.g., the standard 100-ounce CME Group contract, on any of the gold mining stocks or on the much more affordable gold-backed exchange-traded funds (ETFs) on which options trade.

Taking the Guesswork Out of Gold Prices

For ease of explanation, I'll base our example on the most popular and actively traded of the gold ETFs - the SPDR Gold Trust (NYSEArca: GLD).

Recently quoted at $155.75, the price of a single GLD share usually tracks the price of one-tenth of an ounce of gold (discounted by 2.5%-3.0% for fund expenses and storage costs for the metal that backs the shares).

Here's how you would initiate the strategy, based on actual prices available last Friday:

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Gold Prices Waiting to Rally on Central Bank Decisions

Last week it was earnings reports taking center stage, this week it's policy statements from the U.S. Federal Reserve and European Central Bank (ECB).

What comes out of the central banks could have a huge impact on the gold market. Gold prices have been on the rise - 2.5% last week - and could keep going depending on what the central banks deliver.

Gold prices on Monday saw their fourth consecutive day of increases. The August contract rose 0.1% to $1.70 with a $1,619.70 settlement price, thanks to market participants buying on optimism from this week's Fed action.

A two-day meeting begins today (Tuesday) for the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). After its conclusion Wednesday, market watchers will be waiting with bated breath on whether a third round of quantitative easing (or QE3 as it is fondly called) will take place.

If that isn't enough, there's Thursday's meeting over in Europe with the ECB. They're also set to make a monetary policy decision.

Let's take a look at these two potential actions that could drive up the price of gold.

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The Commodities Bull Market: Insights on Gold, Energy and Agriculture

Despite the setback caused by the 2008 financial crisis, the commodities bull market rolls on. A short four years later, many commodities are trading at or near all-time highs.

And thanks to huge swaths of the developing world moving up the ranks, the current bull market in commodities promises to be one for the history books-- both in time and size.

After all, the wants and needs of 7 billion people are an irresistible and monumental force.

Soon virtually every substance vital to modern life will become enormously expensive − and profitable for investors who know how to play it.

In fact, today's scarcity and soaring costs could spur history's biggest gains.

It is one of the reasons why I recently sat down with resource investor extraordinaire Rick Rule.

A leading American retail broker specializing in mining, energy, water utilities, forest products and agriculture, Rick has dedicated his entire life to all aspects of the natural resource industry.

Rick is without question something of a heavy hitter.

At Sprott Global Companies, he leads a team of professionals trained in resource-related disciplines such as geology and engineering. Together, they work to evaluate commodities-related investment opportunities.

I think you'll enjoy what Rick had to say during our recent Q&A.

Insights on the Commodities Bull Market

Peter Krauth: What is your general outlook for commodities - the commodities market over the next, say, one to three years and even beyond that?



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