keystone xl pipeline

Keystone and the Mixed Blessings of Cheap Oil

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Editor's Note: Our energy industry insider - who for professional reasons must remain anonymous - yesterday explained how the Keystone XL Pipeline debate is largely a political football. Today, he advances his controversial exposé of Keystone in the context of today's cheap oil, and whether the project would do more harm than good. This shows how energy investors should position their portfolios to reap the best returns at the lowest risk.

To understand the logic behind the Keystone XL pipeline requires a trip back in time. When Keystone and its associated 830,000 barrels of oil per day were announced in 2008, U.S. crude production was at lows generally not seen since 1950 - right around 5 million barrels per day.

Meanwhile, U.S. oil imports were rampant, near their all-time highs of 10 million barrels a day.

Worse yet, over half of U.S. imports, again a near-record high of 5.6 million barrels per day, came from countries that don't like us very much (i.e., OPEC).

In a nutshell, the U.S. oil and gas industry was in decline, without much hope for a real renaissance. We were meeting a whopping two-thirds of our appetite for oil with imports, and over half of those imports were coming from potentially unstable, if not outright hostile, nations.

In that context, Keystone looked like a great idea.

Decisions based on these assumptions - such as the decision to green-light Keystone - seem in retrospect to be perfectly reasonable. Unfortunately for the project and the economy at large, the energy industry has since changed dramatically.

These changes have altered the project's consequences for everyone...

The Truth Behind the Keystone Pipeline

Keystone XL

Editor's Note: The Keystone Pipeline has created one of the biggest political debates of the last five years. And you're about to hear a lot more in the media as the we move closer to the State Department's final ruling on the project.

But what is the truth about Keystone? And where are the lies hidden? More importantly, where can we invest to exploit its ongoing political soap opera?

We've asked one senior energy analyst to write the following exposé on the pipeline. He asks not to be identified because this analysis is so controversial.

What you'll find in today's segment, and the two that follow, will shock you. If you want to finally know who really benefits from Keystone - and how this one single project could keep energy sector growth stagnant - then read on...

The Keystone XL Pipeline saga should be laid to rest in the coming months when the U.S. State Department issues its final ruling on the project.

One would be hard-pressed to find a business issue that's more politically polarizing and contentious. Politicians on both sides of the aisle have used it to bludgeon their opponents, often with little evidence to support their claims...

TransCanada Corp. (NYSE: TRP) Stock Is a Buy With or Without the Keystone Pipeline

(NYSE: TRP) stock

TransCanada Corp. (NYSE: TRP) stock has become synonymous with the Keystone pipeline. That's because it's the most drawn out controversy in the history of North American oil production.

But the Keystone XL is irrelevant when considering whether to buy TRP stock. In fact, TRP stock is poised to gain handsomely in the near future - XL or no XL.

Here's why it's a buy right now...

A Nearly Identical Keystone XL Pipeline Just Got Built – and No One Noticed

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The drama over the Keystone pipeline will rise to new heights when the Republican-controlled Congress sends its bill approving the project to President Barack Obama today (Wednesday).

But in the context of America's vast energy pipeline network, you have to wonder how the Keystone XL became an issue in the first place. The Keystone pipeline, you see, is far from unique. Even cross-border pipelines are not all that rare.

This proves the Keystone pipeline is nothing but political bluster...

Why the Keystone XL Will Be Built in the End      

Keystone XL

The Keystone XL has become a basic element in America's new energy security. By connecting to the Canadian gas supply, the pipeline could mean America's energy independence is only a few years away.

And Greece is following suit, welcoming a connection to Russia's gas supply.

Here's exactly what's going to happen with these two proposed cross-border pipelines...

Keystone Pipeline Veto Will Make These Stocks Winners

keystone pipeline veto

President Barack Obama has promised a Keystone pipeline veto. Soon he'll get his chance to do it.

Today (Thursday) the Senate voted 62-35 to complete work on the Keystone pipeline bill. That sets up a final vote that should result in the bill landing on President Obama's desk.

Some companies are actually rooting for a Keystone pipeline veto from President Obama. A veto would delay Keystone indefinitely, forcing Canadian oil producers to use alternatives like rail and barges to move the oil.

A Keystone pipeline veto will give these companies a lot more business...

The Biggest Fallacy of the Keystone Pipeline Approval Fight

keystone pipeline

The battle over the Keystone pipeline has become one of the foremost issues in Washington today.

That's the problem.

The great fallacy of the Keystone XL pipeline is that whether it gets built or not is much less important than craven politicians in Washington would have you believe. Both Republicans and Democrats have turned up the rhetoric on the Keystone pipeline mainly to serve selfish political interests.

It's amazing they can keep a straight face when they're saying these things...

Congress in 2015: What President Obama Can Expect from the GOP

Congress in 2015

The 114th Congress is now in session. U.S. President Barack Obama for the first time faces a Congress that has Republicans running both chambers.

What President Obama can expect from the GOP Congress in 2015 will matter to investors. Many issues on the agenda, such as corporate taxes, trade, and a higher minimum wage will impact stocks.
Given the gridlock of recent years, the easy assumption is that nothing will get done. But the two sides have more incentive to work together in 2015.

Here's look at what will be on Washington's plate this year...

Keystone Pipeline Vote Is Just a Bump in the Road to Approval

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A narrow defeat of the Keystone XL pipeline in the Senate yesterday (Tuesday) is a setback for the project, but a minor one.

The tally was 59-41, just one vote shy of the 60 needed to pass. But the Republicans have vowed another Keystone pipeline vote next year when they have the numbers to pass the bill. Then it will be up to President Barack Obama, who many assume will veto the $8 billion project.

But President Obama may have other ideas...

Keystone Pipeline Approval Will Make These Stocks Winners

keystone pipeline

Republican control of the U.S. Senate has made approval of Keystone pipeline imminent.

The controversial $8 billion project, skillfully delayed for years by President Barack Obama, would transport oil sands crude from Canada to refineries on the U.S. Gulf Coast.

TransCanada Corp. (NYSE: TRP), the company building the Keystone XL pipeline, would be the greatest beneficiary of its approval, of course. But dozens of other companies also figure to gain from the project.

Now's the time to jump on these stocks...

Why the Keystone XL Crude Oil Pipeline Deal Is Far from Done

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Late Friday afternoon, the Keystone XL crude oil pipeline cleared one of its biggest hurdles.

In its Final Environmental Impact Statement, the U.S. Department of State concluded that completing the pipeline's northern leg would not have a major impact on global greenhouse gas emissions.

It just needs to get past these last political hurdles...

Keystone Pipeline Gets Step Closer to Approval – Which Is Good News for These Investors

Keystone XL pipeline supporters - who have been waiting years for this project to be completed - just received good news from the U.S. Department of State.

The Keystone pipeline is 1,179 miles long and would connect heavy crude oil from bitumen deposits in Canada to the southeastern refining network of the United States. While the southern portion has been built, the northern section requires approval given its cross-border passage.

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Will Environmentalists Kill the Keystone XL Pipeline?

For more than four years, the controversial Keystone XL pipeline has been at the center of a heated battle between opponents and supporters.

Those who favor the 1,700-mile extension of the pipeline see it as a step toward North American energy independence and a source of tens of thousands of jobs.

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Finally, TransCanada Corp. (NYSE: TRP) Will Build the Keystone Oil Pipeline – Sort of

Turns out the Keystone oil pipeline will be built - at least, part of it.

TransCanada Corp. (NYSE: TRP), the Calgary-based energy company trying to get the project approved, said yesterday (Monday) it would seek immediate approval to start building the southern half of the pipeline that runs from Oklahoma to Texas. That segment doesn't need a presidential permit because it doesn't cross a U.S. border.

TransCanada said the southern portion of the Keystone oil pipeline will allow Midwest oil to reach Gulf Coast refineries. There is currently a glut of oil produced in that region.

"Gulf Coast refineries can then access lower-cost domestic production and avoid paying a premium to foreign oil producers," TransCanada CEO Russ Girling said Monday.

The pipeline will carry light crude oil produced in North Dakota, Montana, Kansas, Oklahoma, and Texas. It will cost $2.3 billion and be completed in 2013. It will also create about 4,000 construction and support jobs.

TransCanada also said it would reapply for the full Keystone oil pipeline construction - a hot button issue in this election year.

Why President Obama Rejected the Keystone Oil Pipeline



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The Ultimate Fate of the Keystone Pipeline

The Obama Administration last week decided not to approve the Keystone XL pipeline.

This has introduced another political firestorm into an already uncertain market.

If there is one subject that is likely to stimulate more angst over economic recovery prospects, it is the availability of energy.

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