market trends
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Deal Making is About to Get White Hot
Not only is the market rally on, but trigger-happy bankers and private equity wheeler-dealers are about to send it even higher.
The reason is simple: There are trillions of dollars of cash just sitting on the sidelines looking for a deal.
That means deal action-of all kinds-is about to get white hot.
In fact, the combination of positive capital flows and the pursuit of greater economies of scale has us at the beginnings of a multi-year deal-driven bull market.
Here's where we are, where we're going, and why deal making will propel stocks higher from here.
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Stock Market Today: QE3 Sugar High Boosts These Stocks
The major headlines in the stock market today include the markets' reaction to QE3, consumer prices rising, and shaky retail sales.
- The QE3 rally climbs higher - After the Federal Reserve announced its latest stimulus measure, QE Forever, as some are calling it, the markets soared, all reaching multi-year highs. Commodities and financials in particular did well. Oil is approaching $100 a barrel, gold is nearing $1,800/oz., Bank of America (NYSE: BAC) has gained over 10% this week and JPMorgan Chase & Co. (NSYE: JPM) has now made up all its losses since the "London Whale Trade." The dollar as expected took a beating, falling to its lowest level since May, and the euro is now over $1.31. Yet, the question is whether QE3 will be a short-term or long-term rally. "It was a strong signal from the Fed and a very welcome move but we'll have to wait and see if this is more than a one or two-day wonder for the market," Mike Lenhoff, chief strategist at Brewin Dolphin Securities Ltd. in London told Bloomberg News. "All of this central-bank policy removes a degree of uncertainty that has been plaguing markets."
- Retail sales rise but outlook grim - The Commerce Department reported that retail sales increased 0.9% in August from a month earlier following a 0.6% gain in July. This was spurred by better auto and gasoline sales, but outside of those categories there was little good news. Excluding those two items, retail sales inched up 0.1% with weak electronic, clothing, and appliance sales. Core retail sales, which exclude automobiles, gasoline, or building materials fell 0.1% and is more closely related to consumer spending within the U.S gross domestic product calculation.
