But not every commodity has suffered this same tough fate. In fact, there's even been a major standout. It's a commodity that most investors rarely think about.
I'm talking about lumber.
I love a well-made chicken pad thai.
Because my wife, Robin, is a full-fledged vegan – and there aren’t many restaurants that her, Joey and I can go to that serve dishes all three of us will like – when we go out as a family, we’ll often choose the Noodles & Co. restaurant chain (which makes a pretty decent pad thai).
But here in downtown Baltimore – just a three-minute walk from the back door of our office building – there’s one of those little “blink-and-you’ll-miss-it” takeout joints that serves a superb chicken pad thai.
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Oil prices staged a remarkable rally this year on the back of a weak dollar and a nascent economic recovery. In 2010, it's likely that these same factors will combine with an increase in global energy demand to push oil prices back up over $100 a barrel.
With stockpiles still high and energy demand rebounding sluggishly, most forecasts are calling for the "black gold" to edge up into the low-triple-digit price range. That's 40% higher than where oil is trading right now - but is still well below the record high of nearly $150 a barrel that was established in 2008.
Money Morning Chief Investment Strategist Keith Fitz-Gerald is even more bullish. He believes that a price of $100 a barrel is "easily attainable" and says that some sort of unforeseen market shock could cause crude oil to spike as high as $150 barrel by the end of 2010.