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price of oil

Price of Oil per Barrel Hits $52 as Analysts Continue to Misread Market

price of oil per barrel

The current price of oil per barrel rallied hard today (Friday) at the end of an extremely volatile week.

Oil prices have been U-shaped this week, hitting highs of $54 midday Monday and lows of $48 midday Wednesday before soaring back up today.

But analysts keep calling for lower prices.

Here's what they're failing to understand…

How Analysts Are Wrong About Crude Oil Prices – Again

crude oil prices

Despite a 20% jump in crude oil prices, some pundits continue to predict more pain.

In fact, just yesterday, Citigroup analyst Ed Morse came out with his most bearish forecast yet.

According to Morse, oil prices could fall another 60% to $20 a barrel. As for the recent rebound, Morse thinks it looks more like a "head-fake" than a sustainable turning point.

There's just one problem with all of this bearish analysis. And it's a big one...

The Saudis Are Losing Their Leverage over Oil Prices

oil prices

In an oil market version of a game of chicken, Saudi policymakers are trying to make U.S. producers blink first. And it's starting to work.

U.S. rigs are being brought offshore and drilling projects are being shelved. This will have an impact on the supply side in short order. By this summer, oil prices may be back to a range of $65 to $70 a barrel.

But in waging this doomed oil price war and pushing home its point, the Saudis have made a fatal mistake...

Why the Price of Oil Is Surging – in One Picture

price of oil

The price of oil is still on the rise today (Tuesday). As of 12:35 p.m. GMT (7:35 a.m. EST) today, Brent traded at $56.38 a barrel, a nearly 3% gain from its previous value.

That puts Brent oil up 14% since last Friday (Jan. 30). And on that day, Brent surged 8% - its biggest one-day gain since 2009.

WTI crude traded this morning at $50.88, up roughly 2.6% since Monday night.

Oil prices are surging for one reason, and this picture says it all...

Crude Oil Prices and the New Saudi King

crude oil prices

Crude oil prices continue to drop in the wake of Saudi Arabia's shift in leadership. U.S. policymakers will have a tougher time with new King Salman than they've had in some time.

The new leader and his Oil Minister are the architects behind the current Saudi policy, of which there are three main targets.

Why the Price of Oil Surged on Wednesday

price of oil

The price of oil rose dramatically Tuesday, posting its best one-day performance since 2012. All of this occurred in a market with oversupply concerns still unresolved and a continuing host of short artists poised to pummel futures prices at any opportunity.

So, if the environment remains essentially the same, why the rise in prices?

Here's why - in addition to where oil prices are headed next...

Crude Oil Prices Today: The Other Side of the "Glut"

Iran oil

The pundits continue to hawk the same reasons for the fall in crude oil prices today.

These are always "spearheaded" by comments about surging global supply led by the onslaught of unconventional (tight and shale) oil production in the United States.

Invariably, what's missed by these "TV sages" are the pricing dynamics kicking in that virtually guarantee an increase in oil prices as we move into 2015.

Just take a look...

Stock Market Futures in the Green While Oil Slides Another 3%

Stock market futures

Good morning! Stock market futures for Tuesday, Jan. 13, forecasted a 74-point gain over yesterday's close. In the last session, the Dow Jones plunged 96 points after crude oil prices crashed more than 4%.

Today, investors will react to the kickoff of earnings season. Watch for reports from KB Home (NYSE: KBH), Kinder Morgan Inc. (NYSE: KMI), and CSX Corp. (NYSE: CSX).

Here's what else you should know about the stock market today - including your "Money Morning Tip of the Day" - to make it a profitable Tuesday...

Current Crude Oil Prices: $50 "Limit" for Brent

current crude oil prices

Current crude oil prices in the United States were on pace for a two-day winning streak Thursday amid modest gains.

In early afternoon trading, WTI prices were up $0.04, or 0.08%, to $48.69 a barrel. Brent crude, meanwhile, was lower by $0.25, or 0.49%, to $50.91 just after noon.

Here's a closer look at today's oil prices - as well as why the current oil price story is still ugly, at least for now...

Today's Oil Prices Spell Profit for These Energy Players

today's oil prices

Getting started this year took a bit longer than usual.

When I returned home from the Bahamas, I had to hook up an entirely new system of computers and peripherals. To top it off, everything is in a new version of Windows.

Talk about a monopoly! After a few beers, I would be happy to tell you what I really think of it.

Finally, things are now getting back to normal.

Of course, the oil price "Grinch" is still with us. He outstayed his welcome weeks ago, but with the shorts still driving oil prices lower he's decided to extend his stay.

And as the first two trading sessions this week have shown, the instability in the energy sector remains as well.

But as I'll show you, it's not all bad news.

For one portion of the industry, lower oil prices actually mean higher profits...

Oil Prices Today Hit New Low, Remain Extremely Volatile

oil prices today

Oil prices today (Monday) dropped to new yearly lows after spending much of the morning on the rise.

At 1:00 pm EST, WTI oil fell more than 3% to $52.90 per barrel for February delivery. Brent oil was down 2.8% to $57.79 in afternoon trading.

Here's why crude oil prices are so volatile today and what investors can expect now...

2015 Oil Prices Won't Change the Emerging U.S. Dominance

Stock market today

My recent meetings in Dubai highlighted the profound change that will turn the balance of power in the energy industry on its head.

For years, OPEC was the puppet master, and the United States (and the rest of the world) were the puppets. They pulled the strings, and we danced. OPEC set the price of oil. OPEC controlled the supply.

But those days are ending. After dictating the course of oil prices for more than 50 years, OPEC is finding its influence diminished.

OPEC's oil ministers can read the handwriting on the wall as well as anyone. Not only are they about to lose the largest energy market in the world, but they'll soon be competing for the markets that used to be theirs for the taking.

Because in 2015 the United States will start pulling the strings...

The Damage Caused By the Oil Bear Will Spread Far and Wide

crude oil prices

Oil prices continued to fall this week but stock markets shrugged off the disarray this continued to cause in global markets after Janet Yellen whispered soothing words in their ears after the Fed's last meeting of the year on Wednesday. Mrs. Yellen has become a "bull whisperer" - fearful of upsetting the equity market, she cloaks her words in indirection and equivocation in an effort to keep them calm as she prays for an economic lift-off that will take her institution off the hook.

Unfortunately, her patient is likely to be very disappointed, for it would take an economic miracle the likes of which hasn't been seen in this country since the years after the Second World War to deal with the mountain of existing debt and future liabilities that are going to bury us.

Full Story

Oil Prices: Black Swan or the Work of Vultures?

oil prices

Over the past few of days, three separate prognosticators have claimed the fall in oil prices is a "black swan" event - in other words, an outlier, a development that fails to follow any normal pattern.

This isn't a black swan, but calling it one may be a good way of clouding up what really is happening.

In this case, there's another motive at work - and the black swan becomes a convenient cover...

Crude Oil Prices and the Coming of the Second Arab Spring

arab egypt crowd

During the first Arab Spring, some countries were able to avoid the unrest by buying off their populations with goodies. But today in those countries, unemployment is increasing and alternatives to centrally subsidized survival are disappearing.

That's because this untenable balance has been sustained by the price of oil. As long as oil flowed, net outflows from the national coffers could be sustained.

Falling crude oil prices mean that balance is ending - and the prospect of renewed violence is making a big comeback.

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