Be careful out there.
The stock market rally that started in March 2009... The one that's taken us out of the Great Recession and to new highs... The rally that's driving sentiment indicators of people who benefit from rising financial assets directly, peripherally, or because they hope all boats rise with the market...
The rally has never been loved.
The thing is, equity markets don't need love to go twice as high from here, or three times as high in the next 20 years. If they get what else they need, they'll keep going higher.
We could be on the verge of a generational bull market. That's if deficit-plagued, interconnected global sovereigns deleverage and, at the same time, re-capitalize middle and rising classes by making "recourse-sound" capital available and simultaneously reconstituting entirely the notion of taxation.
Too bad the likelihood of that happening is somewhere between slim and none.
That's one reason why I'm an increasingly reluctant bull.
But there's another reason too.And it has to do with deflation...
The Best Investments Before the Fed QE Taper
The answer to this question has just altered dramatically, and here's why.
U.S. President Barack Obama yesterday (Wednesday) nominated U.S. Federal Reserve vice chairwoman Janet Yellen to replace Ben Bernanke as Fed chief.Here's what to expect, so you can start planning ahead...
Shah Gilani: We Are Sitting On A Stock Bubble
Money Morning Capital Wave Strategist Shah Gilani surprises Stuart Varney of FOX Business' "Varney & Co." today (Wednesday) when he states he believes the U.S. is sitting on a stock bubble right now.
Find out why Gilani sees the markets as "well over-cooked" - creating a stock bubble - from the Fed's strategy in the following video segment:To continue reading, please click here...
Keith Fitz-Gerald Nails It on Today's FOMC Meeting
Almost every major news outlet predicted a taper coming out of today's FOMC meeting, but Money Morning's Chief Investment Strategist Keith Fitz-Gerald went on the record months ago correctly predicting there would be no taper.
The major news outlets were wrong, and Fitz-Gerald nailed it...Read more...
Is This What Happens When the QE Taper Starts?
You know that members of the Fed have been hinting since June that the central bank wants to scale back on its $85 billion a month bond-buying program, the third round of what's known officially as quantitative easing.
QE Taper Talk and the Stock Market
It's been exactly one year since the Fed announced QE3 - also dubbed QE Infinity, with no clear idea of an end date given at the onset. The Dow Jones Industrial Average has climbed 14.9% in that time, and the S&P 500 is up 17.25%. Since the first round of this last series of quantitative easing started in December 2008, the indexes are up about 73% and 92%, respectively. The fear now is that if the Fed stops buying and rates begin to move higher in the months ahead, money will leave the market as quickly as it piled in and cause a prolonged selloff that drives down share prices.
Fed officials have been dropping broad hints that tapering is coming sooner rather than later.
Stock Market Crash 2013: Four Factors Investors Need to Watch
Some call it a "perfect storm" and others a "financial apocalypse," but it doesn't matter what you call the fiscal headwinds facing the U.S. economy - just that you watch them, and the stock market "crash talk" they're stirring up.
With talk of the Hindenburg Omen, credit crunches, and struggling emerging markets, it's important to prepare for the potential impact of bumps ahead.
What the QE Taper Will Do To the Market
CNBC Worldhosted Money Morning Chief Investment Strategist Keith Fitz-Gerald this week to discuss the Fed's QE taper.
Printing gobs of money when the current slump is arguably caused by cash overabundance definitely doesn't seem like the rational thing to do.
To continue reading, please click here...
How the Fed QE Taper Will Affect Foreign Markets
Hints from the U.S. Federal Reserve this week that the quantitative easing (QE) taper is near pushed the Dow down 105 points Wednesday - but the idea of less Fed stimulus has caused much more turmoil in certain overseas markets. Â
The problem: A corresponding hike in U.S. debt yields has fueled higher borrowing costs around the globe. This has led to the flight of cheap capital out of emerging currencies and markets.
That triggered the following reactions: