get daily headlines subscribe now! today's private briefing

Article Index

Stock market predictions

New Stock Market Predictions for Q3

drb thumb

The Dow Jones Industrial Average, Nasdaq, and S&P 500 each trade near all-time highs as we approach Q3 2015. It's been one of the longest bull runs in years.

Now, many stock market predictions from Wall Street pundits call for a correction as early as Q3 2015.

Money Morning Technical Trading Specialist D.R. Barton, Jr., joined CNBC Asia last night (Thursday) and gave his stock market predictions for Q3. He also told investors the best strategy for investing in this volatile market as we enter the summer months...

CHART: Stock Market Correction Risks Are Mounting

stock market correction

There are more warnings of a stock market correction circulating now - especially since the Nasdaq and S&P 500 both reached closing record highs Friday.

The Nasdaq Composite closed at a record high on Friday at 5,092.08. That was the first time the index had set a record in more than 15 years. The S&P 500 closed the week at 2,117.69. The Nasdaq and S&P 500 have now climbed 7.7% and 3% respectively in 2015.

At the same time, more than $79 billion has left U.S. stock funds this year.

This chart shows how fast money is fleeing stocks...

Here's How Wrong Wall Street Stock Market Predictions Are

Wall street stock market

Trusting Wall Street stock market predictions could be hazardous to your portfolio's health.

In particular, the annual Wall Street stock market predictions made by the top analysts are so inaccurate, a blindfolded monkey with a dartboard could do better.

Collectively, the forecasts of these "experts" over the past 15 years have been off by an average of 14.7 percentage points a year. That's worse than if they'd simply guessed the long-term average return of 9% every year.

Any other worker with a track record like this would be fired immediately...

Stock Market Predictions Today Point to More Volatility than Usual in Q2 2015

stock market predictions

Stock market predictions are typically bullish in April. According to The Stock Trader's Almanac, the S&P 500 has climbed every single April since 2006 by an average of 3.1%. Since 1950, it has been the best performing month for the Dow Jones.

This monthly spike is usually attributed to strong Q1 earnings reports hitting Wall Street. Numerous companies will also raise their guidance figures for the full year in April.

This year, things aren't as bullish in the short term. Our stock market predictions today call for continued volatility into Q2.

Here's what to watch in the stock market in April, as well as an update on the long-term outlook for 2015...

The Early Read on 2015 Markets

stocks to buy

For the first time since 2008, stocks traded down on the last trading day of the year and the first trading day of the New Year.

Whether this will prove to be a mere statistical curiosity or a harbinger of troubles ahead remains to be seen, but there are enough headwinds facing investors to force them to don foul weather gear for the year ahead.

Markets are likely to see heavy seas in 2015 as the Fed starts raising interest rates and oil prices stay lower for longer than anybody expects... 

Shah Gilani Is "Nervous" About the Markets


When it comes to the stock market, it's not the "little dips" that are a concern, Money Morning Capital Wave Strategist Shah Gilani said Tuesday.

What is worrisome are the "black holes," and if and when we'll step into one.

With Goldman Sachs' $100 million loss Tuesday, and the Nasdaq shutting down for hours today, looks like we're already there...

Click on Shah's video for the full story.

Read More…

With the White-Hot Demand for Coins, Why Are Silver Prices Falling?

It's one of the biggest mysteries in finance right now. I mean, it's a real head-scratcher...
On one hand, demand for silver coins is off the charts. In fact, it is so strong even the U.S. Mint is having trouble keeping up with demand.
So how is it possible for silver prices to be falling?
Here’s an insider’s take on this conundrum...

2013 Silver Price Forecast: Silver Will Perform Like Gold on Steroids

This past March, I asked a highly successful investment advisor what he thought about gold. Since he deals almost exclusively with very high net-worth individuals, his point of view was especially intriguing.

He confided to me that many of his clients had been asking for gold and gold-related investments over the past few years. I can't say that I was surprised.

But what he told me next simply shocked me.

"Gold's much too volatile, it's too risky", he said. "Sure it's up, but I try to discourage my clients from investing in it."

It simply floored me that he thought gold was too volatile. Gold is only up 580% since it bottomed in 2001, without a single losing year to date.

That's not something you can say about the stock market or any other type of investment.

I can hardly imagine what he must think of silver, as silver prices are up by 725% since 2001.

Today, silver is trading around $34, but our 2013 silver price forecast now has the shiny metal going much, much higher.

What will power that rise?

Since it's slaved to its richer cousin, all the fundamentals for higher gold would apply.

I wrote about them yesterday in my 2013 gold price forecast.

As history has shown, silver moves almost in sync with gold, but exaggerates its movements, both on the up and down sides. That's why I like to think of silver as "gold on steroids".

To continue reading, please click here...

2013 Gold Price Forecast: Expect Gold to Deliver Another Record-Setting Year

No two bull markets are ever the same, and gold is no exception.

During the last secular gold bull market in the 1970s, gold rose from $35 in 1968 all the way to $200 by late 1974.

Then the unthinkable happened. Between late 1974 and mid-1976, gold prices were cut in half, dropping from about $200 to $100.

At the time, many gold investors sold out in disgust, never to return.

But then a funny thing occurred. Gold prices started to climb again, rising from $100 in mid-1976 all the way to $800 by January 1980.

And anyone who was fortunate enough to own gold at $35 earned better than 20 times their investment in just 12 years.

Twenty-one years later, a new bull market began. Since 2001, gold has consistently performed in what now appears to be a record-setting run.

2013 gold price forecast

In fact, since 2001 the average return on gold is now just shy of 18% annually over the last 11 years.

I know of no other major asset that has turned in this kind of performance -- ever. This rise in gold prices is simply unmatched.

This is what a stealth bull market looks like, one that I fully expect will keep powering on.

Now, let's have a look at where gold prices might be headed in 2013...

To continue reading, please click here...

2013 Dividend Stock Forecast: The Road to True Wealth Starts Here

If you listen to the press, Taxmageddon is going to be a "nightmare" for dividend stocks.

There's only one problem with this scary story: It isn't true.

Of course, I'll be the first one to tell you I'm not in favor of higher taxes on dividends.

And it is true that if we fall off the "fiscal cliff" taxes on dividends will revert to the full income tax rate of each individual taxpayer.

For the top taxpayers that means the top rate on dividends will rise from 15% to 43.4% if dividends become fully taxable again.

However, that's not as bad as it sounds, which is why I believe dividend stocks will remain the place to be in 2013.

Here's why.

First institutional holders of dividend stocks are taxed at their own rate so they did not benefit from the 2003 cut in dividend taxes. That means they won't suffer from a new increase.

And even among individual investors, many have their investments in IRAs or 401(k )s or other tax- deferred accounts. These holders will continue to receive dividends that won't be immediately taxed.

As for those on more modest incomes, perhaps being retired and living mostly on their dividend income, they will pay taxes only at 15%, 25% or 28%.

These are the thresholds which have been indexed for inflation since 2001, meaning the vast majority of tax payers will never get close to the 43.4% figure that makes for great scary headlines.

But it's not just all about tax rates. There are other reasons why savvy investors should continue to invest in dividend stocks in 2013.

One of them is Barack Obama...

To continue reading, please click here...

2013 Emerging Markets Forecast: Forget About the BRICs Buy These Rising Stars Instead

Savvy investors know there is far more to the markets than sitting on your hands worrying about the fiscal cliff.

Believe it or not the world doesn't revolve around the United States-or the Western world.

To continue reading, please click here...

"It's Like Gold On Steroids"

Sure, gold remains the favorite of most precious metal investors, but THIS is the metal you really want to double down on right now. Three catalysts will propel the price much, much higher over the coming months and years.