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Obama Now Must Rally Democrats to Seal Tax Deal With GOP

President Barack Obama on Monday struck a deal with Republicans to extend the Bush-era tax cuts and federal unemployment insurance as well as a host of other tax breaks, but now he faces an uphill battle to convince reluctant members of his own party to go along.

Ignoring Democratic opposition, President Obama agreed to the compromise package, which cuts taxes on businesses in an effort to help the economy recover.

The deal capped weeks of negotiations between leaders in Congress and an administration team led by U.S. Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner. Ultimately, Obama accepted a deal that contradicts his long-held position that tax cuts should only be extended for lower and middle-class earners in exchange for a 13-month extension of jobless benefits for the long-term unemployed.

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We Want to Hear From You: What Do You Think Of President Obama's Proposed Tax Deal?

For months now, U.S. President Barack Obama watched as the expiration date for the Bush tax cuts drew closer and closer – with no signs of compromise among Congressional Republicans.

So in an attempt to beat the Dec. 31 deadline – and the big tax increase facing American individuals and businesses – President Obama on Monday struck a controversial compromise with Republicans.

Pundits are now questioning his call. Did President Obama cave to pressure, or did he pull off a sly political coup? Will this decision aid a still-struggling U.S. recovery, or will it add to the mountain of existing U.S. debt and stick future generations with the tab?

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Will Midterm Elections Ignite a Stock Market Rally?

The Democrats and Republicans have spent a record $3.5 billion in preparation for this year's midterm elections. But regardless of the outcome – whether you're a Democrat or Republican – the good news is that the stock market traditionally has performed well during midterm election cycles.

"The question is, 'Did the markets go up in the midterm election years by more than average in non-election years?' Brian Gendreau, market strategist for Financial Network told U.S. News & World Report. "And the answer is, 'Yes, by a huge amount more.'"

In the period from 1922 to 2006, the average gain of the Dow Jones Industrial Average over the 90 trading days following midterm elections (roughly November until mid-March) was 8.5%, according to a new study authored by Gendreau. That's almost 5% higher than the Dow's gains in non-election years.

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Investment Strategies: Three Ways to Profit – No Matter Who Wins Tuesday's Midterm Elections

[Editor's Note: Money Morning's Keith Fitz-Gerald - a noted commentator and best-selling author - has been a frequent guest analyst on Fox Business. In his latest interview, Fitz-Gerald detailed the three trends that will afford investors the greatest potential for profits after Tuesday's midterm elections.]

If you're worried that next week's midterm elections could further cloud an already-uncertain investment landscape, take a page from the investment playbook of Money Morning's Keith Fitz-Gerald: Position yourself to profit no matter which party wins on Tuesday.

During an interview with Fox Business Network journalist Stuart Varney yesterday (Tuesday), Fitz-Gerald detailed three strategies that will afford investors both safety and significant profit potential – whether the Democrats or Republicans carry the day.

For the full story – and a look at the video – please click here…

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We Want to Hear From You: What Are the Top Three Issues You Want To See Addressed After Midterm Elections?

A tense Congressional tug-of-war will come to an end in less than a week, when the intensely sought-after seats in the U.S. House of Representatives and Senate are filled after the Nov. 2 midterm elections.

The Republican-Democrat contest is the hottest in years. The voter debate is about which candidates will be the most likely to lift the United States out of a morass marked by near-double-digit unemployment, sluggish economic growth and a terrifying $1.29 trillion budget deficit.

As campaigning time wanes, it's clear that an increasing number of seats are vulnerable.

"Let me tell you something," U.S. Vice President Joe Biden wrote Monday. "I've been around campaigns for a long time and I have never seen a midterm election with this many races in play."

Experts described this campaign season as more volatile than most because of a major possible shift in power.

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Question of the Week: Investors Prepare for State and Local Governments' Tight Budgets

[Editor's Note: Last week we asked readers how vulnerable they were to the budgetary issues of their state and local governments. Some of our readers' responses are listed below - along with next week's question, "Will Mortgagegate Affect You?"]

It's been 25 years since state and local governments across the United States were in such bad shape – and the budgetary pain is far from over.

The state-funding gap is growing, local governments lost 76,000 jobs last month, and property tax receipts are slated to fall for years.

"While the recession might have officially ended on the national level, cities are in the eye of the storm and the problems are intensifying," Christopher Hoene, a director at the National League of Cities, told The Financial Times.

A study released last week showed that big U.S. cities could face a painful financial squeeze: Their pension plans are under-funded to the tune of $547 billion.

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Money Morning Mailbag: Tobin Tax the Only Solution to Problems Posed by High Frequency Trading

[Editor's Note: We want to hear from you! Do you have a comment, suggestion, story idea or a question? Let us know at mailbag@moneymappress.com. (**) And be sure to check back for responses to reader questions and comments.]

An episode of the television news program "60 Minutes" that aired Oct. 10 highlighted investors' fears over the growing trend of high frequency trading (HFT) run by a world of "supercomputers."

The "60 Minutes" piece prompted this letter from a reader wondering if the technological shift means it's time to readjust investment strategy.

Sunday night on "60 Minutes" they had a story about high-speed computers that are out-trading humans. Is it time to refocus on the world stage and find tangible rather than paper investments to put your money in? A partnership in a retail or manufacturing venue surely is more transparent than the stock market.

–Roman

Money Morning has been examining the effects of high frequency trading for years. In August 2009 Contributing Editor Martin Hutchinson said high frequency trading systems were front-running the market.

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We Want to Hear From You: Are You Vulnerable to the Budgetary Woes of Your State and Local Governments?

It's been 25 years since state and local governments across the United States were in such bad shape – and the budgetary pain is far from over.

The state-funding gap is growing, local governments lost 76,000 jobs last month, and property tax receipts are slated to fall for years.

"While the recession might have officially ended on the national level, cities are in the eye of the storm and the problems are intensifying," Christopher Hoene, a director at the National League of Cities, told The Financial Times.

A study released this week showed that big U.S. cities could face a painful financial squeeze: Their pension plans are under-funded to the tune of $547 billion.

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Question of the Week: The Battle Over Bush Tax Cuts is Destined for Deadlock

[Editor's Note: Last week we asked readers what they saw happening in the Bush tax cuts battle. Some of our readers' responses are listed below - along with next week's question, "Is the Fed Right to Keep Interest Rates Low?"]

Democrats and Republicans have staked out their territory in the battle over the Bush tax cuts in the run up to November's midterm elections. However, readers remain unconvinced that the two parties will reach common ground on the issue anytime soon.

Most Republicans want to see all expiring tax cuts extended. Senate leader Mitch McConnell, R-KY, last week proposed legislation to continue the tax cuts indefinitely, wanting to show party unity after House Minority Leader John A. Boehner, R-OH, hinted that he'd be willing to compromise and vote for U.S. President Barack Obama's plan of continuing only middle-class tax cuts.

"If the only option I have is to vote for some of those tax reductions, I'll vote for them," Boehner told CBS's "Face the Nation" Sept. 12. Boehner had previously proposed extending the Bush tax cuts for two years.

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More Americans Tapping Into Entitlement Programs Swells Budget Deficit

As many U.S. citizens continue to rail against the ballooning budget deficit, the reality is that most Americans are unwilling to swallow the bitter pill it will take to tame it. 

Perhaps that's because nearly half of all Americans live in a household in which someone receives government benefits, more than at any time in history, according to a report from The Wall Street Journal.

At the same time, the number of American households not paying federal income taxes has grown to an estimated 45% in 2010, up from 39% five years ago, according to the Tax Policy Center, a nonpartisan research organization.

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