why gold prices are going down
Experts Predict 30-Day Window for Gold
We've been studying the resource markets - and gold in particular - for over 30 years. And have seen almost every cycle the yellow metal has gone through.
One thing is certain in our opinion: International investors, central banks and corporations are all looking to buy gold... And these slow summer months are likely providing the best price.
Asian investors, especially in China and India, are buying coins and bullion like mad. Sales are up 22% annually in China and 52% in India.
Why Gold Prices Are Going Down Today
The answer to why gold prices are going down today isn't hard to find - it's a testament to the power behind Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke.
Comex August gold fell $76.50, or 5.56%, to 1,229.50 in early morning trading Thursday. The August contract traded as low as $1,285.00 in overnight trading as the U.S. dollar rose to the highest in more than a week against six major currencies.
Gold prices plunged Thursday to near three-year lows as precious metals investors took a "risk-off" stance following Wednesday's FOMC meeting. Bernanke announced that the current $85 billion worth of monthly bond purchases could slow near the end of this year, and end in 2014, if the economy keeps improving.
He said interest rates could increase "far in the future."
How to Invest in Gold: Tips from an Expert on the Yellow Metal
Rick Rule, the founder and chairman of Sprott Global Resources Investments, provided the answers.
Rule says he'd put a portion of the money into gold bullion and a portion into gold stocks.
But he warns those unfamiliar with the sector should stick to what they know: If you're bullish on gold, buy gold, but realize gold stocks don't necessarily mirror the price of the yellow metal.
Gold Prices Are Bargain for India's Consumers, But Problem for Government
The last several months have been tough on gold prices, but gold bugs haven't lost their insatiable appetite for the yellow metal. With gold officially in a bear market, demand is surging at today's bargain prices.
Gold demand is especially strong in India, where gold is the investment of choice among consumers. India's gold imports reached 162 tons in May, almost twice the average level.
That's why last week the country - the world's biggest consumer of gold - increased the duty of gold imports for the second time in six months.
The duty was boosted from 6% to 8% on gold ore, and from 5% to 7% on intermediate products
in attempts to decelerate the accelerating gold demand. Bullion prices fell 0.25% to $1,399.36 an ounce following the move.
Gold imports are one of the biggest contributors to India's mushrooming account deficit (which occurs when imports exceed exports). An increasing deficit affects the country's foreign exchange reserves and the value of its currency.
Friday, the ruppe closed below the key 57 mark against the U.S. dollar for the first time in a year. The slide further casts a shadow on India's economy amid pricier imports and heightened inflationary risks.
Policy makers in India have been attempting to reduce its deficit and improve finances as it faces possible rating downgrades. They hope the duty increase will help.
Rick Rule Explains Falling Gold Prices
The Federal Reserve and other central banks keep printing money. The U.S. stock market is soaring. And gold prices, after a brief recovery, have continued their plunge.
Are these phenomena connected? We put the question to one of the world's foremost gold experts, Rick Rule, founder and chairman of Sprott Global Resources Investments.
Listen to his explanation for falling gold prices in the following interview.
And even as gold prices sink, mining costs have climbed. If gold prices keep falling, miners could take "fairly drastic measures" to remain profitable, according to Rule.
With Gold Prices Down, Here's Where the Money is Flowing
As pointed out in a recent article by Money Morning Global Resource Specialist Peter Krauth, there is something interesting happening with gold prices.
Paper gold, controlled by Wall Street, is going down. But demand for physical gold all over the globe is going up every time that gold prices are down.
That's not the only place divergences are occurring in the global gold market. A divergence can even be seen in the difference between Wall Street speculators and commercial interests in the paper gold market.
The speculative momentum players continue piling on shorts, while commercial interests are following a path 180 degrees opposite.
The question remains for those investors interested in gold as to who will be right in the end. The short-term Wall Street speculators or more long-term players?
The Love Trade for Gold is Still On!
Investors should have gained confidence from Ben Bernanke's recent testimony to Congress that the Federal Reserve intends on being accommodative as long as needed.
He had a laundry list of job market conditions that needed improving and reiterated that inflation remains low. It's his belief that "a premature tightening of monetary policy could lead interest rates to rise temporarily but would also carry a substantial risk of slowing or ending the economic recovery and causing inflation to fall further."
The Fed's news is "great for all of us in stocks... and not so great for those with cash in a savings account, with real negative returns for the past four years," reminded Money Map Press. Yet, at least in the short term, markets interpreted Bernanke's testimony differently, as stocks dropped during the week of May 20.
The news should also be good for gold investors.