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Adobe Systems' (ADBE) fourth quarter earnings exceeded the Zacks Consensus Estimate, but we feel the subscription service will hurt Adobe's revenue growth. Hence, we are downgrading our recommendation on Adobe shares from Neutral to Underperform.
Adobe lowered its fiscal 2013 guidance from $4.4 billion to $4.1 billion, considering the faster uptake the of Creative Cloud subscription model. We expect near-term revenue to remain under pressure.
The company's expected earnings growth rate over the next 5 years is well below the average for the industry. Hence the downgrade in recommendation. Our $34.00 target price, 26.0X 2014 EPS, reflects this view.