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How to Play the Surging Uranium Bull

Back in November we took a close look at the uranium market.

That's because the end of a 20-year milestone agreement was fast approaching…

From 1993 to 2013, the Megatons to Megawatts program saw highly enriched uranium from 20,000 Russian warheads converted into nuclear fuel, supplying American utilities.

At the time I highlighted a uranium investment that could profit from this opportunity, and it's just begun to tap into its upside…

Now we're seeing more bullish developments that point to even bigger gains…

A Major Global Buyer Is Heading Back into the Market

In the wake of Japan's Fukushima disaster, my colleague, Bill Patalon – the Executive Editor of Private Briefing – asked me how I thought the shortfall from offline nuclear power would be compensated.

I told him to expect Japanese liquefied natural gas (LNG) imports to be boosted; it was the most logical option to quickly make up the country's sudden energy shortfall.

And that's exactly what happened. But I knew it would only be temporary.

Since then Japan's witnessed a huge upsurge for LNG, setting a new import record again in 2013. As a group, Japan, South Korea, Taiwan, and China buy 70% of global LNG, occasionally paying up to five times North American prices.

Japan's already doubled its annual LNG spending, eating into exporters' input costs and countering Prime Minister Shinzō Abe's hopes to boost exports through a devalued yen.

So the Japanese are desperately looking for ways to diversify their energy mix…

Before the Fukushima disaster, Japan derived 30% of its electricity from nuclear. Today that has dropped to exactly zero.

So it's not surprising that Abe's successful 2012 election included a pro-nuclear energy policy.

Lately, some suggested that Japan may shy away from nuclear power due to ongoing protests. But, it looks like that's not going to be the case after all.

There's been a recent string of newsbites that have bolstered the pro-nuclear position.

In mid-February Tokyo elected a pro-nuclear governor, Yōichi Masuzoe, reinforcing Abe's position.

Then late last month, the Japanese government released a draft of its final energy policy plan. In it they confirmed that, for the next two decades, nuclear would remain a key base-load source of power. The plan calls for the restart of shuttered reactors, and may even lead to the building of new ones.

But Japan's not the only place where nuclear is likely to come back into the fore.

When the nuclear disaster hit Japan in 2011, a number of nations decided to scale back their nuclear programs. Germany was one of the most prominent, deciding to completely phase out nuclear by 2022.

They unrealistically had pinned their hopes on renewables, which have pushed electricity costs to the second-highest in the EU.

Energy security is a big deal in Western Europe, and it's about to get even bigger.

This Crisis Will Add to Demand… and Opportunity

Thanks to Russia/Ukraine tensions, it would be an understatement to say Western Europe is sleeping a little more uneasily these days. No wonder.

Europe relies on Russia for 40% of its natural gas, half of which flows through Ukraine. And Europe's four largest economies are especially vulnerable, relying heavily on Russian gas: Germany at 36%, France at 15%, Italy at 27%, and the UK at 25%. They pay double the price levels we do in North America.

I don't think it will take too long before practicality sets in, and Europeans come around to Japan's view of nuclear power. In fact, Germany already imports significant quantities of its electricity from France – which generates it from nuclear power.

Through all of this, uranium prices have remained low. But that may be changing… very soon.

Join the conversation. Click here to jump to comments…

About the Author

Peter Krauth is the Resource Specialist for Money Map Press and has contributed some of the most popular and highly regarded investing articles on Money Morning. Peter is headquartered in resource-rich Canada, but he travels around the world to dig up the very best profit opportunity, whether it's in gold, silver, oil, coal, or even potash.

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  1. WANG75272 | March 10, 2014

    Thank you Peter for highlighting the uranium opportunity. I have a brokerage account with Schwab. When I tried to use (TSE: U) to buy, they found another ticker symbol URPTF (on the US market). Now, my question is: Could I buy URPTF rather than U.TO on the U.S. market? Thank you in advance for a prompt reply.

    • madison19969 | March 11, 2014

      Hi there,

      Those shares may represent the same underlying company, but they are not the same shares. That is, you can't count on similar performance. The U.S. (OTC) shares will not have the same liquidity or volume. That's not to say they'd be bad, but that they are not the same thing. Talk with a licensed financial professional before you buy. -Ed.

  2. yngso | March 11, 2014

    I´m no expert, but when posssible I choose the US option simply because the commission is much lower.

  3. Robert | March 15, 2014

    Hi Peter,
    I recently read that Japan, China, India, the U.S. and others are looking at the metal Thorium as an alternative to Uranium.
    Thorium plants would be absolutely safe, cheaper and small enough to put inside of a warehouse in a downtown setting.
    Does the technology exist for this yet and can you confirm that these countries are indeed at least exploring this option?
    Sure would solve a lot of problems.

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