Update on tech stocks to buy: Just the other day, I was pondering the decline in PC sales - down 4.4% in the first quarter, compared to last year, according to market researcher IDC. And I assumed, without doing any research, this meant software was also down.
And I wasn't alone.
With the long-term decline in PC sales, dating back to at least 2012, many investors and the big-money guys on Wall Street are writing off software, too. On the surface, the logic makes sense: If people are buying fewer computers, they'll need fewer accounting, sales management, and word-processing packages.
But that's a superficial analysis. Turns out that increased sales of commercial software more than makes up for the decline in PC-related software.
This is why I always do in-depth research before sharing anything with you. Our seemingly impeccable logic can often lead us in wrong directions.
And the right direction is to stay focused on sectors that consistently generate profits and positive cash flow.
Like software.
Today, I'm going to talk to you about one of the single best software investments you can make. With it, you'll start benefiting from the profits of the entire software industry, from the big dogs to the young and growing.
Here's how you get there...
A recent report by Gartner says the software industry hit $407.3 billion in sales last year. Thus, at a time when many on Wall Street were gloomy about software, sales actually grew nearly 5%. And that more than made up for the roughly 10% decline in PC sales that IDC says the industry suffered in 2013.
The sector's staying power is one of the reasons I've always paid so much attention to the software industry. These firms don't have to invest billions in plant and equipment the way hardware companies do. Plus, the software industry runs on a licensing model, meaning that software firms often "rent" their products rather than selling them outright.
That's a business strategy that traditionally generates a bigger profit.
The challenge, of course, is identifying the best stocks to buy to profit from this sector transformation.
Fortunately, there's another way that I want to share with you now.
I believe it's time to take a good look at SPDR S&P Software & Services (NYSE Arca: XSW).This is an all-encompassing exchange-traded fund (ETF) that gives us a broad play on some very intriguing companies.
XSW invests in firms that are involved in e-commerce, social networking, data processing, Internet software, cloud computing, and Big Data. It holds roughly 175 stocks in its portfolio.
That big number and its diversity of holdings are part of what I really like about XSW - software in general, and this ETF in particular, touch a wide swath of the global tech ecosystem.
Of course, XSW holds the obvious big-cap firms like Microsoft Corp. (Nasdaq: MSFT), Google Inc. (Nasdaq: GOOG, GOOGL) and Oracle Corp. (Nasdaq: ORCL).
However, what makes this a really exciting investment is you get the stability of mega-cap leaders combined with an intriguing mix of smaller, growth-oriented firms. I'm talking about companies like:
Trading at $85, XSW is a very cost-effective investment vehicle because it includes a host of software-related stocks to buy that cover the entire global tech ecosystem.
I think the timing for this ETF is particularly good. When tech stocks reversed earlier this year, the younger growth firms in the software industry declined much more than the industry itself, pulling XSW down with it.
But since hitting bottom about a month ago, XSW has regained 8% of its value. And it should do much better in the weeks ahead as we get second-quarter earnings results from the high-margin software industry.
XSW is the kind of foundational play you'll want to hold for the long haul.
Better yet, you now can pick it up at a discount... and then watch your overall returns - and your net worth - reach new heights.
More from Michael Robinson: Analysts - and Wall Street - were unimpressed after Apple Inc.'s recent World Wide Developers Conference because the tech giant didn't unveil a new gadget. But it actually did something even better, and it'll push Apple stock to new heights...