How to Invest Like a CEO - and Beat the Market by 40%

If you've ever seen the movie "All the President's Men," then you know that maxim of investigative journalism - Follow the money.

The same idea applies to investing, of course, and today we're going to follow the money CEOs plan to spend over the next half-decade - and then use that knowledge to make some cash ourselves.

According to a survey I just read, our nation's top executives plan to spend a lot of money investing in technology that will help them attract, retain, and understand customers.

That may sound, at first, somewhat vague. After all, there is no "retaining customers" tech sector.

how to investBut after digging into the survey - doing a little "investigative investing" - I figured out exactly where those CEOs will be spending their dollars in the next five years.

And today I'll show you how to invest like a CEO to take advantage of these long-term spending trends in a way that beats the market by 40%...

Follow the Leaders

Like I hinted above, the categories that forecasting firm Gartner outlined in its recent survey reveal more about the way CEOs categorize their spending than the way in which investors like us look at tech stocks.

For instance, "digital marketing" topped the survey, with 38% of CEOs listing it as one their top five areas of tech spending over the next five years.

But for tech investors like you, digital marketing is a wide field. It includes everything from advertising on smartphones and tablets to data embedded in apps to online campaigns to web video and new-generation digital billboards.

In other words, spending on digital marketing means CEOs are assuming more and more sales of mobile devices, which will, in turn, lead to increased production of semiconductors, flash memory, sensors, apps, LED lights, and much more.

"E-commerce" ranked second in Gartner's survey, with 34% of responding CEOs listing it as one of their top objectives.

That means CEOs forecast a continued boom in online sales, which covers everything from business-to-business marketing and travel to logistics and online retail.

Cloud computing and Big Data also top the list of CEO tech priorities, coming in at fifth and sixth place, respectively. And 23% of respondents said they expect to invest heavily in making their employees more mobile.

These last three categories alone cover a wide range of tech platforms, including cybersecurity, computer servers, optical networking components, high-performance computers, and software with advanced algorithms.

Earlier this month, based on the U.S. economy's recent performance, I projected a 7% gain for the Standard & Poor's 500 Index. And I said tech will do much better than that.

To me, the CEOs' survey responses are just more evidence that the entire technology industry is in great shape - and should do very well in 2015.

Following that CEO spending, here's how to invest for maximum profit...

The Big Names

I think you should take a good look at the Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE Arca: XLK).

This is an exchange-traded fund (ETF) that covers a wide swath of technology, mostly focused on U.S. leaders.

With more than 70 stocks in its portfolio, the fund offers investors the chance to specialize in high tech while at the same time diversifying across multiple sectors, including Internet services and software, information technology consulting, semiconductors, computers, peripherals, wireless services, and cybersecurity.

It holds several mega-cap firms, like Intel Corp. (Nasdaq: INTC). Intel is a play on the booming U.S. semiconductor industry and, at 3.74%, is one of the fund's top holdings.

About 4.1% of the fund is invested in social networking and mobile ad leader Facebook Inc. (Nasdaq: FB), and XLK also holds online media company Yahoo Inc. (Nasdaq: YHOO), which counts 800 million users.

Plus, you also get to profit from Technology Select Sector Fund's largest holding Apple Inc. (Nasdaq: AAPL), at 16.3%, and its many state-of-the-art consumer products. About 9.5% of the fund is dedicated to Microsoft Corp. (Nasdaq: MSFT), which is benefiting from PC software, mobile, online search, and computer gaming.

Beyond the Stars

The ETF also boasts a robust list of smaller, highly successful tech leaders with excellent financials.

Take a look:

  • Qualcomm Inc. (Nasdaq: QCOM) is a leader in wireless communications technology. The San Diego-based firm is known for its Snapdragon smartphone processor. Snapdragon is a study in miniaturization - it condenses multiple functions into a normal-sized chipset. Qualcomm also has products for the automotive, healthcare, and networking markets. It has a market cap of $125.8 billion, 30% operating margins, and a return on equity of 20%.
  • Adobe Systems Inc. (Nasdaq: ADBE) is one of the top software firms in the world and has a strong Internet presence. The company is known for Photoshop photo editing software and the now standard PDF file format. The San Jose, Calif.-based firm recently stepped up its cloud offerings and is booking a lot of sales with its Creative Cloud software suite. In its fourth fiscal quarter, Adobe beat on earnings as its cloud sales grew 20% above forecasts. The company has a $37 billion market cap, 10% operating margins, and a 4% return on equity.
  • Cognizant Technology Solutions Corp. (Nasdaq: CTSH) specializes in information technology and consulting services. It's a broad tech play in its own right. The Teaneck, N.J.-based company has key partnerships with top tech companies like Adobe and networking/Internet of Everything leader Cisco Systems Inc. (Nasdaq: CSCO). With a market cap of $32.8 billion, Cognizant has operating margins of 19% and earns 22% on stockholders equity.
  • Avago Technologies Ltd. (Nasdaq: AVGO) is a Singapore-based semiconductor firm focused on two key growth sectors. It makes fast, complex integrated circuits that speed up data centers used for cloud computing. It's also a key supplier for Apple's iPhone 6. With a $25 billion market cap, Avago has 20% operating margins and a 10% return on equity.
  • SanDisk Corp. (Nasdaq: SNDK) is a top supplier of flash memory products. Nearly every major mobile phone manufacturer relies on SanDisk's flash memory products in one way or another. Moreover, the company's memory devices also are used in data centers, which gives the firm a direct tie to the burgeoning cloud and Big Data sectors. SanDisk has a market cap of $22 billion, 27% operating margins, and a 17% return on equity.

Trading at $42.30, the Technology Select Sector Fund offers a cost-effective way to invest in several key tech sectors all at once.

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In the past year, the fund has gained 19%. That beats the S&P 500's 13.4% return over the same period by 41%.

We also get a dividend, with an annual payout ratio of nearly 1.7%. In other words, this ETF gives us income as well as appreciation.

As you can see, when we follow the money, we find great foundational plays.

The Technology Select Sector Fund is the kind of tech investment you'll want to hold for many years to come.

And it's one you want to buy on the dips, turning market downturns to your long-term financial advantage.

Up Next

Michael has just released his 2015 Tech Investor's Forecast, with seven high-profit tech stocks to buy right now. This simple investing playbook could show you how to double your money in the coming year, and you can have a copy of the 2015 Forecast for free. Here's how to download your copy today.

More from Michael Robinson: If you follow only one rule in 2015, let it be this important tech investing rule. With it, you'll easily pick out the market winners from the market losers. In fact, I've got three 2015 winners to show you right here...

About the Author

Michael A. Robinson is a 36-year Silicon Valley veteran and one of the top tech and biotech financial analysts working today. That's because, as a consultant, senior adviser, and board member for Silicon Valley venture capital firms, Michael enjoys privileged access to pioneering CEOs, scientists, and high-profile players. And he brings this entire world of Silicon Valley "insiders" right to you...

  • He was one of five people involved in early meetings for the $160 billion "cloud" computing phenomenon.
  • He was there as Lee Iacocca and Roger Smith, the CEOs of Chrysler and GM, led the robotics revolution that saved the U.S. automotive industry.
  • As cyber-security was becoming a focus of national security, Michael was with Dave DeWalt, the CEO of McAfee, right before Intel acquired his company for $7.8 billion.

This all means the entire world is constantly seeking Michael's insight.

In addition to being a regular guest and panelist on CNBC and Fox Business, he is also a Pulitzer Prize-nominated writer and reporter. His first book Overdrawn: The Bailout of American Savings warned people about the coming financial collapse - years before the word "bailout" became a household word.

Silicon Valley defense publications vie for his analysis. He's worked for Defense Media Network and Signal Magazine, as well as The New York Times, American Enterprise, and The Wall Street Journal.

And even with decades of experience, Michael believes there has never been a moment in time quite like this.

Right now, medical breakthroughs that once took years to develop are moving at a record speed. And that means we are going to see highly lucrative biotech investment opportunities come in fast and furious.

To help you navigate the historic opportunity in biotech, Michael launched the Bio-Tech Profit Alliance.

His other publications include: Strategic Tech Investor, The Nova-X Report, Bio-Technology Profit Alliance and Nexus-9 Network.

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