Why the Facebook (Nasdaq: FB) Stock Price Will Double by 2018

FB stock price

FB stock priceThis money-making "Tip of the Day" comes from our Tech Expert, Michael A. Robinson:

Wall Street just doesn't understand the incredible opportunity that the Facebook Inc. (Nasdaq: FB) stock price represents.

But I do. And I'm predicting FB stock will double in the next three years.

Facebook has moved beyond its early identity as a social networking site for young people. It's now the indisputable world leader in the social networking market, one that forecasters IBISWorld estimates at $9 billion.

Facebook's total user base now stands at nearly 1.4 billion - that's bigger than the population of China. And Facebook's global impact will keep growing, as half of everyone online now uses Facebook, and more than 60% of the world's 7 billion people have yet to get online.

Facebook is also benefiting from the mobile revolution. In Q4 2014, Facebook had 45 million mobile users active on a daily basis, a 34% increase from the year-ago quarter.

The company is doing a great job turning the mobile trend into money. Mobile ad sales in the quarter represented roughly 69% of total ad revenue, a 30% annual gain.

Now, here's why the Facebook stock price could double...

Over the past three years, it has grown earnings per share by an average of 57%.

To be conservative, let's cut that figure in half to 28.5%. To project how long it will take Facebook to double, we use my "Doubling Calculator" (aka the Rule of 72).

If we divide 72 by Facebook's 28.5% earnings growth rate, we find that profits will double in just about 2.5 years.

Remember, price appreciation follows earnings growth. So, giving Facebook a full three years to reach about $161 is both conservative and realistic.

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Robinson's full case for buying Facebook stock can be found here: This Leading Tech Stock Will Double by 2018

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