The Two Biggest Threats to the Airbnb IPO

No Airbnb IPO date has been set, but already the company may be worth as much as $24 billion.

According to a report from The Wall Street Journal last week, the home-rental company is in the midst of a $1 billion funding round. The investors funding the company value it near $24 billion.

airbnb ipoAirbnb is an online rental service that allows homeowners to list their properties for short-term stays. The service is available in more than 190 countries. More than 35 million guests have used the service since its founding in 2008. The site also has more than 1.2 million listings.

Unfortunately, the new funding means we'll likely see another delay in the Airbnb IPO date.

I say unfortunately because Airbnb's growth has been astounding. According to The Journal, Airbnb representatives said they expect $900 million in revenue for 2015. In 2013, the company had revenue of just $250 million.

By 2020, they expect revenue of $10 billion. The company is projected to have earnings of more than $3 billion at that point.

Compare that to one of the world's largest hospitality companies, Priceline Group Inc. (Nasdaq: PCLN). Priceline has a market cap of $60 billion and expects revenue of just $9 billion this year.

Airbnb's growth should only continue as we head toward its IPO date.

"We're still very much in the early days of travelers being aware of and considering Airbnb for their next trip," Lodging Advisors LLC's Sean Hennessey told The Journal. "They could achieve a sizable amount of market share as the market grows and as their mind-share grows."

In April 2014, Airbnb was valued at just $10 billion. At $24 billion, Airbnb would be the third highest-valued startup in the world.

Airbnb still isn't profitable and expects a loss of $150 million in 2015. But that's common among tech IPOs. Investors and institutional buyers will buy in because of the revenue and user growth.

But there are two other major concerns that need addressing before an Airbnb IPO can happen - and they are key to justifying the $24 billion valuation...

The Two Biggest Threats to the Airbnb IPO

Airbnb relies heavily on a younger, tech-focused user base. The service allows users to rent a room "on demand" through a free mobile app or on the company's website.

But it still has to compete with the entire hotel industry.

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Major hotel chains like Marriott International Inc. (Nasdaq: MAR), Hyatt Hotels Corp. (NYSE: H), and Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. (NYSE: HLT) are all mainstays in the industry.

Airbnb is already on par with those companies in terms of valuation. Airbnb is bigger than Hyatt and Marriott, which have market caps of $21 billion and $8 billion respectively. And it's not far behind Hilton at $27.6 billion.

But it still needs to become profitable and prove that it can maintain profitability before more cautious investors buy in.

The second threat to an Airbnb IPO is the numerous regulatory issues the company faces.

In October 2014, New York Attorney General Eric Schneiderman alleged that roughly 72% of New York City Airbnbs either violated zoning or other laws. He claimed that some landlords were running what amounted to illegal hostels.

Other cities, like Berlin and Santa Monica, Calif., have also tried to place regulatory restrictions on Airbnb services.

The Bottom Line: The Airbnb IPO could be one of the year's biggest, if it hits the market in 2015. Airbnb is growing at an incredible rate and is already generating nearly $1 billion in revenue. But regulatory issues and strong competition are major threats the company needs to address before the Airbnb IPO happens.

Follow me on Twitter @KyleAndersonMM.

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