What's Next After Greece Bailout Agreement?

After a 23-hour discussion, a Greece bailout agreement was reached Friday between the country and its international lenders. The Greece bailout is worth 85 billion euros ($93 billion).

The marathon parliamentary debate in Brussels was one of the most arduous of Greece's five-year debt crisis. Holding up the latest agreement was fiery procedural bickering led by the speaker greece crisisof parliament, Syriza member Zoi Konstantopoulou.

In the end, 222 lawmakers voted in favor, 64 voted against, and 14 abstained or were absent. Still, the vote deepened the widening divisions between the ruling left-wing Syriza party.

The deal still needs to be adopted by Greece's parliament and by Eurozone countries.

However, the currency bloc's 19 finance ministers are expected to approve the bailout in time for Greece to make a crucial 3.2 billion euro ($3.5 billion) debt repayment due next week.

Wolfgang Schauble, Germany's finance minister who has been critical of recent bailout proposals, said he was optimistic a decision on the deal could be reached.

According to multiple reports, European Union officials put substantial pressure on Germany to approve a Greek debt relief deal. An analysis of Greece's debt path showed the cash-strapped country would not be able to recover without a major restructuring of its bailout loans.

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) called the vote a "step forward." But the IMF didn't commit to new funding for Athens. They are waiting until there is a concrete plan in place to reducing the country's mushrooming 320 billion euro ($356 billion) debt.

Questions over Greece's long-term debt sustainability could indeed block approval of the latest deal.

After Greece's Bailout, What's Next?

Debt issues remain a critical concern following the Greece bailout.

The IMF has said it will not contribute funds until steps are taken to make Greece's debt burden more sustainable, and only after Greece's European partners weigh in. If the IMF doesn't commit, the deal could be rejected by Germany, which has a blocking minority vote share.

Germany has maintained a more hardline stance towards Greece than others and has enough voting power in the Eurozone's rescue fund to derail the bailout.

And as in the previous bailouts, Germany and Greece's other EU partners have set tough conditions, and are demanding more austerity.

The list of demands includes:

  • End fuel tax benefits for farmers.
  • Phase out VAT (sales tax) discounts applied on Greek islands so that they disappear fully by the end of 2016.
  • Scrap a range of exemptions and amnesties applied in tax collection.
  • Clarify who is eligible for the minimum guaranteed pension at age 67 and start phasing out most early retirement. By 2022, the statutory retirement age will be 67.
  • Reinstate key reforms in the healthcare system, including scrapping price controls for medicines and increasing centralized procurement of hospital supplies.
  • Overhaul social welfare to achieve annual savings of 0.5% of GDP (total national output).
  • Move to tackle the problem of non-performing loans, including amending laws on insolvency.
  • Open up restricted professions, including solicitors, actuaries, and bailiffs.
  • Deregulate the natural gas market.
  • Relaunch privatization, including plans to sell port facilities in Piraeus and Thessaloniki and regional airports (a special asset management fundwill be set up).
  • Reduce travel allowances and perks for state administration staff, aligning them with EU best practice.

Those are high hurdles, and plenty remain skeptical of Greece's ability to clear them. More than anything, the recent Greece bailout is a major sign of political crisis and Syriza failure...

Stay informed on what's going on in the markets by following us on Twitter @moneymorning.

China Targets the Gold Market: The Chinese government has a multi-pronged strategy to strengthen the Asian giant's economy. After years of playing second fiddle in the gold market to the Western economic powers in Europe and the United States, China is making moves toward a more influential role. Here's how China plans to dominate the world gold market...

Related Articles: