The gold price today (Friday, June 24) rocketed past the $1,300 mark after the results of the Brexit vote sent global markets into a wild tailspin.
As of 1:35 p.m., gold prices were up 4.6% to $1,321.10. That puts the yellow metal on track for its largest one-day gain since February and its highest close since August 2014.
The results of the UK referendum are now clear – Britain has voted to leave the EU. And while the price of gold is benefiting the most from the controversial decision, markets around the world are in turmoil.
European markets all plunged on the news. The UK's main stock index, the FTSE 100, fell 3.2% on the day, while Germany's and France's main indices were down 6.8% and 8%, respectively. Here in the United States, the Dow Jones Industrial Average is down 2.8%.
It's clear the Brexit will be all everybody talks about in the coming weeks. Today, I'm going to discuss where we can expect gold prices to move in the wake of this massive frenzy.
First, here's a recap of the gold price's wild week…
Gold Price Today Soars Following Lackluster Week
The price of gold kicked this past week off with a session of volatility. On Monday, June 20, prices fell 0.1% to close at $1,290.
Gold's headwinds blew even stronger the following day. The metal immediately dropped by nearly $20 to $1,271 when markets opened. Gold prices eventually closed at $1,268 and logged a loss of 1.7%.
Wednesday was more of the same, though less dramatic. Gold traded flat throughout the day and closed just 0.2% lower at $1,266.
For comparison, here's how the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) has been trading this week…
Notice how both the price of gold and the U.S. dollar declined on Wednesday. Remember, this kind of short-term behavior where both move in tandem is not typical.
This pointed toward an easing of fear regarding the likeliness of the Brexit vote producing a win for the "Leave" side.
Yesterday, the polls opened and British citizens voted on whether or not their country would leave the EU. During the day, gold prices trended lower and closed at $1,263.10 for a 0.2% loss. Again, this movement showed how investors were anticipating the country to remain in the bloc.
Then, the UK shocked the world with a Brexit, sending the gold price today to its highest level since 2014.
With today's rally, investors want to know if gold prices will maintain these gains in the coming months.
Here's my specific gold price target following the Brexit results…
Despite the Rise in the Gold Price Today, This Is Where It's Headed
With the Brexit vote ending with the "Leave" side winning, I expected gold prices to see a surge. The metal's safe-haven appeal during volatile market conditions send it on a massive rally whenever a geopolitical crisis happens.
But the gold buying will likely start to lose steam and back off within weeks.
I think the reality that it's not actually the end of the world will finally be recognized and the trend of typical summer weakness in gold will return.
Despite all this fear, gold will settle back somewhat, and stocks will regain some ground they lost today. Reality will set in, and the markets will realize that Britain leaving the EU is not as big a deal as the "Remain" side wanted us to believe.
After all, Britain maintained its own currency – the pound sterling – even while being an EU member. That will not change.
Gold's safe-haven quality let the metal rally as expected, and investors who followed our recommendations to stay long on gold had a decent trading day, all things considered.
I just think it's a little overdone and we could well see it back below $1,300 as things settle down.
The Guide to Gold Investing: Buying gold is like having car insurance – it's there just in case of an unforeseen accident. If the markets take a sudden dive, gold is the ultimate safe-haven investment that will protect your portfolio. Here's how you can benefit from gold in 2016…
About the Author
Peter Krauth is the Resource Specialist for Money Map Press and has contributed some of the most popular and highly regarded investing articles on Money Morning. Peter is headquartered in resource-rich Canada, but he travels around the world to dig up the very best profit opportunity, whether it's in gold, silver, oil, coal, or even potash.