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In a Washington Post interview earlier this month presidential candidate Donald Trump said, "If the election is rigged, I would not be surprised, the voter ID situation has turned out to be a very unfair development. We may have people vote 10 times."
Whether or not you like The Donald, as New Yorkers call him, you can't fault him for saying the election could be rigged – because he's right.
In fact, it's even worse than he thinks.
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But there's a fix on the way – and it's one of the hugely disruptive technologies we've been following over the last few months.
Here's how easy it is to rig an election, how to fix voting to eliminate fraud, and how you can make money getting in on the fix…
The Real Threat to Elections Isn't Voter ID
Donald Trump's contention that the 2016 election could be rigged on account of lax voter identification laws that allow voters into polling places without any identification – which means they theoretically could vote repeatedly in different locations – is actually small potatoes compared to systemic rigging that could happen on an unprecedented scale.
Systemic rigging means voting systems, actual voting machinery, are at risk.
While most states replaced ancient punch card and lever machines with electronic touch-screens and fancy optical-scan voting machines by the end of 2006, those newly installed machines weren't properly vetted and ultimately created new and even more complex problems, including insecure software code and design flaws.
It's now 2016, so those initially problematic electronic touchscreen and optical-scan voting systems are over 10 years old, making them, technologically speaking, antiques.
States using the old machines are reporting increasing problems with degrading touch-screens, worn-out modems for transmitting election results, and failing motherboards and memory cards.
Some states, like Massachusetts, Texas, Virginia, and Florida, are using machines that are at least 15 years old. There aren't even parts to fix their voting machines.
Larry Norden and Christopher Famighetti, authors of a Brennan Center for Justice report titled "America's Voting Machines at Risk," point out that "the majority of systems in use today are either perilously close to or past their expected lifespans."
The Brennan Center report puts it simply, saying, "No one expects a laptop to last for 10 years. How can we expect these machines, many of which were designed and engineered in the 1990s, to keep running?"
In fact, an unknown number of machines are running an embedded version of Windows XP, an operating system Microsoft stopped supporting on April 8, 2014. That means Microsoft won't produce patches for any new security holes found in the software. Almost all of the machines in California run on XP, and some even run on Windows 2000, according to the Brennan Center.
Not only that, but 43 states use systems that are no longer manufactured because the vendors went out of business.
Besides aging machines being prone to crashes and screen freezes, unreliable and malfunctioning machines can fail to record votes or record votes improperly.
Voting precincts around the country have reported calibration problems with electronic touchscreen voting machines that actually end up "flipping" votes – meaning, recording a vote for a different candidate than the one the voter selected onscreen.
Of course state auditors were brought in to investigate flipping incidents. Frighteningly, what they found was much worse. According to an investigative piece by NPR, "While using their smartphones, they were able to connect to the voting machines' wireless network, which is used to tally votes."
And, "Other state investigators easily guessed the system's passwords – in one case, it was 'abcde' – and were then able to change the vote counts remotely without detection."
So, it is entirely possible elections could, in fact, easily be rigged.
Thank goodness help is on the way…
Blockchain to the Rescue
A blockchain is a "distributed ledger." It "lives" on an open network that anyone running the software can join. Each and every member of the network is required to have an exact copy of every record on the blockchain, effectively replicating data over tens, hundreds of thousands, or millions of computers, eliminating the possibility of a single point of failure.
Instead of one person, one company, one party, even one government being in charge of a monolithic central database, everyone who sets up a "node" on an open blockchain network has a copy of the ledger being created. That means all voters, anyone looking at the blockchain ledger of votes, could verify each other's records in order to maintain the integrity of the ledger.
That's exactly how the digital currency Bitcoin works.
All data on the blockchain is by definition public. There are even websites (such as blockchain.info) called "block explorers" that allow you to look up the data on the blockchain without downloading it yourself.
Once data is posted on the blockchain, it is there forever. It can't be deleted or changed by anyone.
Blockchain records are also timestamped and signed, so it is possible to prove the source of data as well as the date and time when the data was uploaded. Just like the data itself can't be deleted or changed, the timestamp cannot be spoofed either. And due to the decentralized nature of blockchains, everything is replicated tens of thousands of times over, distributed on computers all over the world, virtually guaranteeing against data loss.
Now that's how voting should be conducted, and it eventually will be.
Blockchain Technologies Corp. and other companies are building blockchain voting machines.
They won't be in use for this upcoming presidential election, but there's a good chance blockchain voting will be how we vote in the not-too-distant future.
While there's no blockchain voting machine front-runner just yet, rest assured I'll be keeping a close eye on who's going to get government contracts when the technology's been fully vetted. So stay tuned.
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About the Author
Shah Gilani boasts a financial pedigree unlike any other. He ran his first hedge fund in 1982 from his seat on the floor of the Chicago Board of Options Exchange. When options on the Standard & Poor's 100 began trading on March 11, 1983, Shah worked in "the pit" as a market maker.
The work he did laid the foundation for what would later become the VIX - to this day one of the most widely used indicators worldwide. After leaving Chicago to run the futures and options division of the British banking giant Lloyd's TSB, Shah moved up to Roosevelt & Cross Inc., an old-line New York boutique firm. There he originated and ran a packaged fixed-income trading desk, and established that company's "listed" and OTC trading desks.
Shah founded a second hedge fund in 1999, which he ran until 2003.
Shah's vast network of contacts includes the biggest players on Wall Street and in international finance. These contacts give him the real story - when others only get what the investment banks want them to see.
Today, as editor of Hyperdrive Portfolio, Shah presents his legion of subscribers with massive profit opportunities that result from paradigm shifts in the way we work, play, and live.
Shah is a frequent guest on CNBC, Forbes, and MarketWatch, and you can catch him every week on Fox Business's Varney & Co.