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Tags: election
Stocks: AGN, PFE

Clinton vs. Trump on Taxes: How Their Policies Would Affect Your Wallet

By Money Morning Staff Reports, Money Morning • September 27, 2016

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The night of Sept. 26, U.S. voters witnessed the first presidential debate of the 2016 election cycle.

There were several substantive topics we'd have liked to have seen Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton and Republican nominee Donald Trump dig into more - most of all, tax policy. That's because right now, "economy and jobs" top all other voter concerns (among national security, healthcare, immigration, and "something else") at 32%, according to a CBS/New York Times poll taken between Sept. 9 and Sept.13.

But when it came to Clinton and Trump on taxes last night, details were lacking. Jabs were not.

For example, Clinton accused Trump of proposing the "most extreme version" of "trickle-down economics":

"The biggest tax cuts for the top percent of the people in the country than we've ever had," the former secretary of state declared. "I call it trumped-up trickle-down because that's exactly what it would be. That is not how we grow the economy."

Trump fired back, blaming "politicians like Secretary Clinton" for plunging the nation into debt:

"We're a debtor nation," he said, directly to Clinton herself. "We have a country that needs new roads, new tunnels, new bridges, new airports, new schools, new hospitals. And we don't have the money because it's been squandered on so many of your ideas."

So now, let's leave rhetoric at the door and instead take a factual look at the differences between Clinton and Trump on taxes -- and how these candidates' policies would impact your wallet in real time...

The 4 Biggest Differences Between Clinton and Trump on Taxes

Key Difference No. 1: More Taxes, Fewer Taxes, and the Federal Budget Deficit

Trump on taxes

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The United States is on track to have a budget deficit of $590 billion in the current fiscal year and a total of $9.3 trillion over the coming decade, the Congressional Budget Office estimated on Aug. 23. That would gradually push the total debt relative to the economy to 86% from about 75%.

Hillary Clinton's Stance: The bad news for your wallet is Clinton wants to raise taxes. The good news is that by doing so, she has said her agenda will have a neutral effect on the federal budget deficit sinkhole that we currently operate under.

Clinton's tax proposals are estimated to increase federal revenue by $1.1 trillion over the decade, reported The New York Times on Aug. 13, 2016. She has said she would use that increased revenue to cover the cost of other policy proposals.

Donald Trump's Stance: The good news for your wallet is Trump wants to cut taxes. Trump's tax plan would reduce federal revenue by an estimated $9.5 trillion over the next decade, reported The New York Times.

The bad news is that if not offset by either spending cuts or major economic growth, Trump's plan would make cumulative budget deficits over the decade roughly twice as big as they are currently estimated to be, according to the NYT.

Key Difference No. 2: Individual Tax Rates

Donald Trump on taxes

 

Hillary Clinton's Stance: Clinton talked tax policy at a rally in Cleveland on Aug. 17. She envisions a .4% tax surcharge for income over $5 million, meaning that the very highest earners would effectively have a nearly 44% top marginal rate. This top marginal rate, where highest earners exist (in the table above), would under Clinton become the 43.6% they're required to pay right now, plus another 0.4%. Essentially, these taxpayers would be getting charged for just being in the top income bracket.

Clinton also wants to implement a rule that those with income over $1 million would pay a rate of at least 30% -- but as high as 39.6%. This is aimed at preventing top earners from paying low overall rates thanks to the lower capital gains tax (which is a tax levied on profit from the sale of property or of an investment).

Furthermore, the former secretary of state would limit the value of tax deductions. In other words, she would trim down the possibilities for high-income earners to make exorbitantly expensive deductions just because they could afford a pricey item in the first place.

Clinton on taxes

And last but not least, Clinton would require longer holding periods to get the low long-term capital gains tax rate.

These overall changes proposed by Clinton, in short, would make the tax code a lot less favorable to the affluent.

Donald Trump's Stance: Trump has not outlined his tax plan to the extent Clinton has, but we do know a few important details. For one, he would boost the standard deduction from $6,300 to $15,000 for single filers, and from $12,600 to $30,000 for married filers.

In other words, the amount you can deduct would be much higher under a President Trump.

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The billionaire businessman would also cut the top marginal income tax rate from 39.6% to 33%. A July 5 analysis by The Tax Foundation of the House Republicans' tax plan, on which Trump's is based, found it would increase after-tax income for the richest 1% by 5.3%.

Upcoming differences No. 3 and No. 4 proved to be two of the biggest hot-button issues in the first presidential debate -- both deal with the core of how these candidates envision the best way to fix the U.S. economy.

Here's a look at how one part of Clinton's plan could throw U.S. workers to the wolves, plus whether Trump's proposal will incentivize U.S. businesses operating overseas to "bring the money back home"...

Key Difference No. 3: Corporate Tax Rates

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Tom
Tom
6 years ago

I would support either if they cut most of the tax deductions (loopholes) OR revise the tax code to a consumption tax

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Bill
Bill
6 years ago

"We're a debtor nation," he said, directly to Clinton herself. "We have a country that needs new roads, new tunnels, new bridges, new airports, new schools, new hospitals. And we don't have the money because it's been squandered on so many of your ideas."

The 2009 Obama stimulus plan spent $800 billion and was to be spent on what Obama said were "shovel ready projects". However, less than $40 billion of that $800 billion was spent on infrastructure. The rest was squandered. The only way top stop the foolish spending in DC is to stop sending our money to the fools in DC.

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