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Tags: Oil
Stocks: BHI

Why the Crude Oil Price Today Is Falling

By Dustin Parrett, Associate Editor, Money Morning • March 20, 2017

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The crude oil price today (Monday) fell nearly 2% to $47.87 in early morning trading before rising again. With today's dip, oil prices have now fallen 10% since the beginning of March.

However, it's not time to panic yet, and we'll show you why...

The drop in the oil price today shows traders are pessimistic about rising U.S. oil production. They believe it could offset OPEC's oil production cut agreement. The cartel's deal to cut 1.8 million barrels of oil production a day sent oil prices soaring 20% higher, from $45.29 a barrel before the Nov. 30 agreement to a 2017 high of $54.48 a barrel on Feb. 23.

But as the price of oil rose, more oil started flowing out of Americans rigs.

crude oil price todayLast week, the EIA reported U.S. crude oil production had climbed for the fourth straight week. U.S. oil production has grown 4% since the start of the year. And on Friday, Baker Hughes Inc. (NYSE: BHI) reported the U.S. oil rig count grew to 789 rigs. That's up 21 rigs from last week and up 313 since this time last year.

But traders are overreacting to the oil price news about U.S. production data. U.S. oil producers have only added 339,000 barrels of oil a day, while OPEC and 11 other countries have cut over 1.2 million barrels of oil a day. That means oil will still be a strong investment in 2017...

Don't Worry About the Falling Crude Oil Price Today

The price of oil dipped below $50 a barrel for the first time this year on March 8. But Money Morning Global Energy Strategist Dr. Kent Moors predicts oil prices are heading even higher in 2017, just as long as OPEC keeps its agreement in place.

Trending Now: Our Bold Oil Price Prediction for 2017

And all signs point to the OPEC deal working...

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Danny Hangartner
Danny Hangartner
6 years ago

Where are the reserves from the Kuwait war stored? In case of a lengthy war, the USA supposed to have tens years worth on hand supplied by Kuwait. Now, since bigger players are involved, the USA no longer finds it in their interest to intervene fully. Kuwait and Sudie Arabia have to turn to IPO's for public as well as satisfy the larger players both Russia and China. Those stockpiles were one reason the price of oil spiraled downwards, with the USA trying to bankrupt both Russia and Canada. Does anyone know if Kuwait is still supplying the USA war machine with ten years worth of stockpiled oil at about five dollars per barrel?

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Paul Gagne
Paul Gagne
6 years ago

when were the exceptional gains actually realized are they recent or from over a year ago?

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KOOLTOZE
KOOLTOZE
6 years ago

Seems like this is a good time to get in on 'the future'…where have I heard that pitch before? Trust me, believe me…

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Danny Hangartner
Danny Hangartner
6 years ago

USA has about half as many rigs going than it usually averaged. The horizontal drilling has doubled since 2009, giving each hole more zones to open over time. It's like Saskatchewan, a province that has more oil reserves than Alberta; with no infrastructure in place, you can drill holes until the cows come home but that doesn't get it to market. The excess becomes more costly than what it's worth. According to Wikipedia, Canada ranked second or third in the world for oil reserves since early sixties. Without any proper government knowing how to deal with the trillions of trillions of dollars worth of Alberta oil reserves, all those types of reserves and the potentials they harbor simply just waste away. Both Alberta and Saskatchewan need leaders such as President Putin or President Trump. Persons that know how to deal with trillions of trillions of dollars rather than the ones that 've always been in place that were maybe millionaires and thought that a billion dollars was lots. Now that Saskatchewan has trillions of trillions of dollars worth of oil to add to the mix, we need someone that knows how to deal with all those reserves and stand up to the rest of the world. Canada is so backwards, and fights itself, cutting programs such as sports incentives and drama University studies to save a buck. At least the rest of the world doesn't have to worry about Canada, with its history of governments poorly running it, affecting world oil and driving down the price of oil.

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