The Unprecedented Saudi Purge: by the Numbers

Saudi purge
Saudi purge
Saudi Arabia Crown Prince Mohammad bin Salman

Last Saturday (Nov. 4), Saudi Arabian authorities arrested an astonishing 11 princes, along with dozens of other officials and businessmen, in what has since been deemed the "Saudi purge."

This was at the direction of Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman (MBS) and his father, King Salman.

The roundup was part of a series of steps that MBS has taken since becoming crown prince in June to secure his own position. In recent months, MBS has engineered various reforms in Saudi Arabia, such as launching an ambitious $50 billion investment plan in renewable energy and lifting Saudi Arabia's longtime ban on women drivers.

Reform was clearly the goal of Saturday's purge, as well. According to Hasnain Malik, global head of equity research at emerging markets investment bank Exotix, "as unprecedented and controversial as [the purge] may be, this centralization might also be a necessary condition for pushing the austerity and transformation agenda."

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In an effort to both curb and expose Saudi royalty's mass corruption, some of the country's wealthiest individuals and members of the royal family were swept up and thrown into "cells" (they're in hotel rooms at Riyadh's Ritz-Carlton) last Saturday, leaving MBS virtually unchallenged at the helm.

Here's a look at MBS' Saudi Arabia purge by the numbers - and how you can make those numbers work in your favor...

The Saudi Purge by the Numbers

Last Saturday, shortly before midnight, Saudi authorities arrested 11 princes, four ministers, and dozens of former ministers. Among those taken into custody was billionaire Prince Alwaleed bin Talal, one of the world's richest men. The king also dismissed Prince Miteb bin Abdullah from his post as head of the powerful National Guard.

The government froze bank accounts of the more than three dozen detainees, putting about $33 billion of personal wealth at risk.

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And that's just the beginning. The Wall Street Journal reported on Nov. 7 that the Saudi government plans to seize $800 billion in total assets.

Yesterday, Saudi Arabia's attorney general claimed that the arrested parties misused at least $100 billion through systemic corruption and embezzlement in recent decades, reported BBC.

Indeed, "what's happening in Saudi Arabia is all about money - who's had it and, more importantly, who will have it very shortly," wrote Money Morning Chief Investment Strategist Keith Fitz-Gerald yesterday (Nov. 9).

"Make no mistake about it, this is a big story," he continued, "perhaps even the story of a generation. It's also a phenomenal opportunity for savvy investors."

Fortunately, Keith outlined those opportunities one by one:

Three Ways to Line Up Huge Profit Potential from the Saudi Purge

  1. The price of oil in U.S. dollars will rise as OPEC-related production cuts continue under the crown prince's direction. The best way to play that through a producer like Diamondback Energy Inc. (Nasdaq: FANG), which recently beat Q3 earnings, doubled quarterly revenue, and raised FY 2017 production guidance.
  2. The Chinese yuan will continue to strengthen as petro-yuan replace petrodollars. Many investors simply don't want to believe this is happening, but the yuan has already risen 6% this year, and there's even talk in the global trading community that the Chinese yuan will become a "safe-haven" play. The best way to play that is via an exchange-traded fund (ETF) like the WisdomTree Chinese Yuan Strategy Fund (NYSE: CYB).
  3. The crown prince will lift restrictions on foreign ownership in conjunction with his desire to attract capital. The best way to play that is also the simplest - iShares MSCI Saudi Arabia Capped ETF (NYSE Arca: KSA), which is trading at around $25 a share now, carries a relatively low expense ratio of 0.74%, and sports a yield of 2.29% as of Sept. 29, according to iShares data.

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