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It only feels as though the media have said everything there is to say about the market over the last three weeks of this downturn.
The talking heads are still missing something - something they're just not keen enough to grasp about all of this. But, to be fair, the big news is hard to ignore.
After all, the late week phase of the pullback took all the major indexes back to, or just below, their break-even levels as far as year-to-date returns are concerned.
That's something that should scare the hell out of investors. However, I'm still seeing signs that there is a little too much bullish enthusiasm for stocks to call that "the bottom."
Even accounting for Thursday's bounce, sell-offs have shaved just about 10% from the S&P 500's October high. In doing this, the benchmark index crashed right through its 50- and 200-day moving averages. It's still sitting below those lines as of Friday midday.
So it's "official" in my book, for what it's worth: The market is embroiled in an intermediate-term bearish pattern.
Now let me show you what to do about it...
About the Author
Chris Johnson is a highly regarded equity and options analyst who has spent much of his nearly 30-year market career designing and interpreting complex models to help investment firms transform millions of data points into impressive gains for clients.
At heart Chris is a quant - like the "rocket scientists" of investing - with a specialty in applying advanced mathematics like stochastic calculus, linear algebra, differential equations, and statistics to Wall Street's data-rich environment.
He began building his proprietary models in 1998, analyzing about 2,000 records per day. Today, that database, which Chris designed and coded from scratch, analyzes a staggering 700,000 records per day. It's the secret behind his track record.
Chris holds degrees in finance, statistics, and accounting. He worked as a licensed broker for 11 years before taking on the role of Director of Quantitative Analysis at a big-name equity and options research firm for eight years. He recently served as Director of Research of a Cleveland-based investment firm responsible for hundreds of millions in AUM. He is also the Founder/CIO of ETF Advisory Research Partners since 2007, noted for its groundbreaking work in Behavioral Valuation systems. Their research is widely read by leaders in the RIA business.
Chris is ranked in the top 99.3% of financial bloggers and top 98.6% of overall experts by TipRanks, the track record registry of financial analysts dating back to January 2009.
He is a frequent commentator on financial markets for CNBC, Fox, Bloomberg TV, and CBS Radio and has been featured in Barron's, USA Today, Newsweek, and The Wall Street Journal, and numerous books.
Today, Chris is the editor of Night Trader and Penny Hawk. He also contributes to Money Morning as the Quant Analysis Specialist.
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