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There's a lot to like about this market...
It's technically strong, and leadership among the sectors hasn't changed. This is good.
The Nasdaq Composite and Russell 2000 indexes are out above their 200-day moving averages as of Friday; all four of the major indexes are back above this key trend line. The CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) has settled below the critical 15-point level and was last seen headed south. I'm lovin' it.
And of course, more than 80% of the S&P 500 has reported earnings. Seventy percent of 'em beat earnings expectations, and 60% trounced revenue expectations. Phenomenal.
Finally, a raft of weak-ish economic data had traders taking some profit off the table last week, which, in conjunction with a sagging VIX, suggests we're done with the selling for the time being.
The trend is your friend, I always like to say, and the trend is "up."
But we still have to make it past the China trade deal - or lack thereof.
This isn't necessarily all that scary. In fact, the way I see it, three things could happen, two of which could be really profitable, if you're prepared...
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About the Author
Chris Johnson is a highly regarded equity and options analyst who has spent much of his nearly 30-year market career designing and interpreting complex models to help investment firms transform millions of data points into impressive gains for clients.
At heart Chris is a quant - like the "rocket scientists" of investing - with a specialty in applying advanced mathematics like stochastic calculus, linear algebra, differential equations, and statistics to Wall Street's data-rich environment.
He began building his proprietary models in 1998, analyzing about 2,000 records per day. Today, that database, which Chris designed and coded from scratch, analyzes a staggering 700,000 records per day. It's the secret behind his track record.
Chris holds degrees in finance, statistics, and accounting. He worked as a licensed broker for 11 years before taking on the role of Director of Quantitative Analysis at a big-name equity and options research firm for eight years. He recently served as Director of Research of a Cleveland-based investment firm responsible for hundreds of millions in AUM. He is also the Founder/CIO of ETF Advisory Research Partners since 2007, noted for its groundbreaking work in Behavioral Valuation systems. Their research is widely read by leaders in the RIA business.
Chris is ranked in the top 99.3% of financial bloggers and top 98.6% of overall experts by TipRanks, the track record registry of financial analysts dating back to January 2009.
He is a frequent commentator on financial markets for CNBC, Fox, Bloomberg TV, and CBS Radio and has been featured in Barron's, USA Today, Newsweek, and The Wall Street Journal, and numerous books.
Today, Chris is the editor of Night Trader and Penny Hawk. He also contributes to Money Morning as the Quant Analysis Specialist.