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Stocks: BHC, MPC, MRK, NVS, VRNT

Why Your Next Big Profit Opportunity Is Companies Getting Smaller

By Michael A. Robinson, Defense + Tech Specialist, Money Morning • @Robinson_STI • September 11, 2020

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Michael A. RobinsonMichael A. Robinson

Joseph Papa, the CEO of Bausch Health Cos. Inc. (NYSE: BHC), was hired in 2016 to help turn the pharmaceutical company around.

Instead, he is breaking it up. But he's not crazy.

He's caught on to the fact that bigger isn't always better.

You see, Bausch Health and its subsidiary, Bausch + Lomb eye care, are two great companies... but together, they aren't exactly chocolate and peanut butter.

Papa has realized that the only thing worse than no partnership at all is a bad partnership. So he's letting Bausch + Lomb become its own $3.1 billion business.

This means that both companies will be free to focus on their own business models, their own specialized products, and their own target markets.

It's a move that's going to create billions in new shareholder value.

And while I applaud the move, I think that there's an even better way to cash in on corporate spinoffs like this one.

That's because Joseph Papa's move is part of a massive trend that will be extremely profitable for investors...

Thinking Small to Get Big Results

Bausch + Lomb may be an obscure name for those who don't wear glasses or contacts, but its impact has been undeniable.

This eye care firm first created Ray-Ban sunglasses for military pilots. It also was one of the first companies to mass-produce soft contact lenses and contact lens solutions.

Last year, the brand had $3.7 billion in revenue from sales of contact lenses, eye surgery devices, and the like. Most of those came from outside the United States.

Meanwhile, the rest of Bausch Health designs makes and sells pharmaceuticals. These include drugs for depression, psoriasis, and gastrointestinal conditions.

Those are two very different lines of business, so you can see how they could both benefit from being run separately.

In fact, that's usually exactly what happens when a corporation spins off a division so both can become more focused on their separate goals and products.

In a JPMorgan study of all corporate spin-offs done between 1985 and 1995, spin-offs outperformed the markets by an average of 20% in their first 18 months.

According to Wall Street analyst Chip Dickson, that number more than doubled a decade later.

Dickson looked at all spin-offs done between 2000 and 2005 and found that they outperformed the markets by an average of 45% in their first two years.

And a study by researchers at Purdue University and Peking University in Shenzhen shows similar results from 2001 to 2013.

Leaner Businesses, Higher Returns

The reasons are simple.

A spin-off gives management and shareholders more transparency into operations and stops management from having to weigh the interests of the subsidiary against the interests of the larger company.

That makes for a more competitive, lean, and focused business. Not to mention higher returns for shareholders.

So, it's no surprise we've already seen some of Bausch Health's competitors start spinning off non-core divisions.

In February, Merck & Co. Inc. (NYSE: MRK) announced it was spinning off its $6.5 billion women's health and legacy drugs business. Novartis AG (NYSE: NVS) spun off its eye-care division, Alcon AG, last year.

Currently, at least 17 more spin-offs are on the books for this year and the next. These range across several industries.

For example, analytics firm Verint Systems Inc. (NASDAQ: VRNT) is set to spin off its cyber intelligence division. Oil giant Marathon Petroleum Corp. (NYSE: MPC) is scheduled to make its Speedway retail stores an independent company in the third quarter of this year.

With the COVID-19 downturn, efficiency is now more important than ever. Shareholders have little patience left for "tag-along" businesses.

That means the trend of spinning off companies will only increase, giving you more opportunities to profit. Here's how...

Blazing a Wide New Trail

I believe the best way to profit from spin-offs as they happen is the Invesco S&P Spin-Off ETF (NYSEArca: CSD).

This fund has just one goal: Invest in companies that have been spun off within the past four years.

It takes all the hassle out of tracking when spin-offs will happen, how to buy them, and what the terms will be.

Let me be clear. This is not strictly a tech-centric fund. Many of its holders are related to the life sciences or adopting new tech systems to transform their operations.

For instance, CSD's third-largest holding is Otis Worldwide Corp. (NYSE: OTIS). Chances are you've seen the company's badges in high-rises and airports. Otis is the world's largest manufacturer of elevators, moving walkways, and escalators.

In fact, Otis invented the "safety elevator," which automatically locks into place should the main cable fail. This is now the global standard.

Another CSD holding is Carrier Global Corp. (NYSE: CARR), the company behind the modern air conditioner. Carrier and Otis were both spun off from United Technologies in April when United Technologies merged with Raytheon to become Raytheon Technologies Corp. (NYSE: RTX).

Since that split, Carrier's shares are up by more than 142%.

Then there's Corteva Inc. (NYSE: CTVA), DuPont de Nemours Inc.'s (NYSE: DD) agricultural division until it was spun off in June of last year.

Corteva is now the largest agricultural company in the world. It makes pesticides, herbicides, engineered crops, and digital solutions to help optimize farm yields.

CSD's other stocks range from Lamb Weston Holdings Inc. (NYSE: LW), one of the world's largest makers of frozen potato foods, to Penn National Gaming Inc. (NASDAQ: PENN), a casino, race betting, and online wagering company.

What these varied stocks all have in common is that they are recent spin-offs, and are set to outperform the markets.

It's what makes the Invesco S&P Spin-Off ETF such a great way to play the field - and crush the market.

Even in this volatile year, this ETF is up over 89% since it rebounded on March 18.

With many more spin-offs on the horizon set to keep outperforming, 89% is just the beginning.

And in the meantime, don't forget to check out my latest presentation for another chance to profit...

You see, 5G isn't just an Internet upgrade anymore. The FCC just injected an unprecedented amount of money to roll it out faster than 1G, 2G, 3G, and 4G combined.

But this isn't just a positive sign for the roughly 162 million Americans who've recently experienced slowing Internet. If our projections hold, you could net a huge payout by year's end. Click here to find out how...

Follow Money Morning on Facebook and Twitter.

Join the conversation. Click here to jump to comments…

Michael A. RobinsonMichael A. Robinson

About the Author

Browse Michael's articles | View Michael's research services

Michael A. Robinson is a 36-year Silicon Valley veteran and one of the top tech and biotech financial analysts working today. That's because, as a consultant, senior adviser, and board member for Silicon Valley venture capital firms, Michael enjoys privileged access to pioneering CEOs, scientists, and high-profile players. And he brings this entire world of Silicon Valley "insiders" right to you...

  • He was one of five people involved in early meetings for the $160 billion "cloud" computing phenomenon.
  • He was there as Lee Iacocca and Roger Smith, the CEOs of Chrysler and GM, led the robotics revolution that saved the U.S. automotive industry.
  • As cyber-security was becoming a focus of national security, Michael was with Dave DeWalt, the CEO of McAfee, right before Intel acquired his company for $7.8 billion.

This all means the entire world is constantly seeking Michael's insight.

In addition to being a regular guest and panelist on CNBC and Fox Business, he is also a Pulitzer Prize-nominated writer and reporter. His first book Overdrawn: The Bailout of American Savings warned people about the coming financial collapse - years before the word "bailout" became a household word.

Silicon Valley defense publications vie for his analysis. He's worked for Defense Media Network and Signal Magazine, as well as The New York Times, American Enterprise, and The Wall Street Journal.

And even with decades of experience, Michael believes there has never been a moment in time quite like this.

Right now, medical breakthroughs that once took years to develop are moving at a record speed. And that means we are going to see highly lucrative biotech investment opportunities come in fast and furious.

To help you navigate the historic opportunity in biotech, Michael launched the Bio-Tech Profit Alliance.

His other publications include: Strategic Tech Investor, The Nova-X Report, Bio-Technology Profit Alliance and Nexus-9 Network.

… Read full bio

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