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The markets overall are continuing in their "sine-wave" pattern, bouncing up and down as the aftershocks of this year's tumultuous, history-making events play out. The trend is still bearish overall, driven by a lack of analyst confidence as well as the continued stoking of recession fears.
One of the best things you can do in this environment is to look for "bullish bounces" wherever you can find them - short-term shifts in the sentiment around a particular stock that open up opportunities for a quick profit play.
These are almost always going to be quick pops followed by a slide, or quick dips followed by a correction back to previous levels. Depending on which direction the proverbial arrow's going, you can play the upside or the downside to take a quick ride on that momentum.
I've got two in my sights this week that I think are worth looking at for 100% profit - a fintech company that was firing on all cylinders last year but is now wavering, and an entertainment giant making a bit of a comeback as the pandemic wanes.
Here are the tickers...
This Online Lender is Struggling to Hit Projections
Once upon a time, Upstart Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ: UPST), the cloud-based artificial intelligence lending platform, had nine bullish analysts on its side claiming it was a stock to buy.
Today, there are only two tracked by FactSet who are willing to stand by that assessment after JMP Securities downgraded the stock's performance. After management blindsided investors twice in as many months, the stock is 93% off its intraday highs...
And I think it can go lower.
On Friday, UPST disclosed preliminary second-quarter results that fell below their previous guidance. The stock dropped more than 20% that day in early trading.
At issue was a negative impact on revenue driven by the move to convert loans on its balance sheet into cash in the second quarter.
This is starting to become a pattern. Back in May, investors were caught flat-footed when management issued an earnings warning, and the stock dropped 55%. That's twice in as many months that management has blindsided investors.
The stock is currently trading 93.32% off its October 2021 intraday high. That's a huge decline, and I think it can go lower, but only after bargain hunters try and make a quick profit from a rebound.
If shares of UPST trade back up to $31.00, by July 15, 2022, I like buying the UPST August 19, 2022 $25/$22.50 put spread for $1.15 or less. Plan on exiting the position at a 100% profit or if shares of UPST close above $33.00.
Going Back to the Movies
I'm also watching AMC Entertainment Holdings, Inc. (NYSE: AMC), the movie exhibition company with approximately 950 theatres and 10,500 screens across the globe.
Movie theatre chains like MAC got absolutely hammered during COVID-19 lockdowns, but now, people are starting to head back to the movies.
Even though movie attendance is far lower than before COVID, it's on the mend, and all AMC has to do is beat estimates to satisfy investors and the market.
Speaking of estimates, the company is scheduled to report Q2/2022 results on Thursday August 4.
We could see many traders moving into shares of AMC, prior to the release of Q2 results, in hopes of profiting from a quick earnings pop.
I think we're already starting to see that trade building. Shares of AMC were up more than 4% in early Friday trading and up more than 36% off the June lows.
At this point, I like buying the AMC August 19, 2022 $16/$17 call spread for $0.35 or less. Plan on exiting the AMC August 19, 2022 $16/$17 call spread for a 100% profit or if shares of AMC close below $13.50.
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About the Author
Shah Gilani boasts a financial pedigree unlike any other. He ran his first hedge fund in 1982 from his seat on the floor of the Chicago Board of Options Exchange. When options on the Standard & Poor's 100 began trading on March 11, 1983, Shah worked in "the pit" as a market maker.
The work he did laid the foundation for what would later become the VIX - to this day one of the most widely used indicators worldwide. After leaving Chicago to run the futures and options division of the British banking giant Lloyd's TSB, Shah moved up to Roosevelt & Cross Inc., an old-line New York boutique firm. There he originated and ran a packaged fixed-income trading desk, and established that company's "listed" and OTC trading desks.
Shah founded a second hedge fund in 1999, which he ran until 2003.
Shah's vast network of contacts includes the biggest players on Wall Street and in international finance. These contacts give him the real story - when others only get what the investment banks want them to see.
Today, as editor of Hyperdrive Portfolio, Shah presents his legion of subscribers with massive profit opportunities that result from paradigm shifts in the way we work, play, and live.
Shah is a frequent guest on CNBC, Forbes, and MarketWatch, and you can catch him every week on Fox Business's Varney & Co.
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