Taiwan Semi Outperform Peers: Watch This Ahead of TSM's Earnings Report

Semiconductor Stock performance

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) stock closed the week trading more than 1% higher while the majority of technology stocks suffered through selling.

The world’s largest semiconductor company, by revenue, announced this morning that its December revenue had increased more than 57% on a year-over-year basis.

News of the monthly revenue comparison comes less than a week before Taiwan Semiconductor’s earnings report on January 16.

In general, semiconductor stocks have given mixed results since October.

The VanEck Vectors Semiconductor ETF (SMH) has lost 2% of its value over the last two months and 11% over the last six.  The SMH shares are a proxy for the semiconductor sector’s performance.

Shares of Taiwan Semiconductor have been the second-best performing stock among the top five in the industry by market capitalization over the last three months.  Shares of Broadcom (AVGO) are the top performer with returns of 23%.

Semiconductor Stock performance

From a technical perspective, TSM shares maintain a strong intermediate- and long-term trend.

The stock is trading above its bullish 50-day moving average.  That trendline trades at $196 and continues to forecast higher prices over the next 4–6-week period.

Continued strength for TSM shares will fall on the company’s earnings report next week.

Investors and analysts expect to see the company report revenue of $26.38 Billion and earnings per share of $2.23.  Those numbers would reflect 20% growth from the same period last year.  That growth would break the three-quarter streak of rising revenue growth.

Investors should pay attention to the $190 price level ahead and after Taiwan Semi’s earnings report.

The stock has been consolidating across this price with a bullish trend since November.  A break below this trend along with an earnings disappointment would see TSM shares target $170.

TSM Stock Analysis

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