We're in the final days of August, and what a month it has been.
We've had hundreds of stocks report earnings...
A stock market stall out...
Fed Chair Jerome Powell's annual speech in Jackson Hole...
But now, the month seems to be closing out on a high note...
Will that buying continue into September? Or will we see another stall out?
Let's look at my favorite market tracking tool to find out.
Here's What's Going On in the "Four Corners" of the Market
Stocks, bonds, futures, and currencies - they all forecast where the market is and where it's going. That forecast becomes even clearer when you see them all together. And, if you're able to take a broad look at all of that, you can unlock the opportunities the stock market is offering each week.
That's why I'm always checking in on these asset groups - what I like to call the "Four Corners." They're my favorite tool to track (and even predict) the markets. Altogether, they give you a nice overview of what's coming, and how to prepare for it.
And here's what they're saying...
Recently, we've been monitoring the Fibonacci retracement levels for the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) chart, which you can see below.
Anything you trade (whether it's stocks, bonds, commodities, futures, or currencies) tends to pull back to these percentage retracement levels before resuming the overall trend either up or down, which is exactly why technical analysts love the Fibonacci sequence. In fact, I just put together an in-depth writeup explaining how to use these lines (and how to avoid the No. 1 mistake traders make when drawing them). You can check it out here.
While SPY has traded near the 38.2% retracement level at $427.88, it hasn't actually hit it - and it may not.
That's because there's another pivot low at $435 (circled in yellow with the green arrow pointing to it), and it's also acting as support. In fact, SPY traded down to this level again on Friday before bouncing higher to close the week a few pennies below $440.
For now, the line in the sand for SPY is that pivot low around $435. As long as SPY trades up or even sideways from here but does not breach or take out that pivot low on a closing basis, I will continue to lean bullish in my market sentiment.
In fact, I just recorded a presentation on a little-known strategy that lets regular people take long-term bullish positions in winning stocks at a fraction of the cost of buying shares... while also giving us the leverage to potentially increase our profits by 10-fold.
To your continued success,
America's #1 Pattern Trader
About the Author
Tom Gentile, options trading specialist for Money Map Press, is widely known as America's No. 1 Pattern Trader thanks to his nearly 30 years of experience spotting lucrative patterns in options trading. Tom has taught over 300,000 traders his option trading secrets in a variety of settings, including seminars and workshops. He's also a bestselling author of eight books and training courses.