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As we head into 2017, markets are still rallying on the back of Donald Trump's unlikely ascendance to the White House.
But, as with most rallies, the rising tide is not going to lift all boats; some will remain in choppy seas for the foreseeable future, while others will sink to the bottom.
While markets seem to favor a Trump presidency, there's still plenty of uncertainty that's giving investors pause.
Today, I'll show you what I see coming over the horizon as we approach 2017. I'll show you which sectors are going to continue to benefit in the Donald Trump era, and which will be lost at sea.
Before I tell you which sectors are going to be good to your money, I want to make sure you know where not to invest.
So let's get started by talking about what investments you should steer clear of in 2017… unless you want to make a couple of speculative bets that could make you a bundle.
Avoid These Investments at All Costs
While the full-year numbers have yet to be tallied, economists expect China's economy to have grown by 6.7% in 2016, down from 6.9% in 2015.
I expect 2017 to be even worse, with the growth rate falling to at most 6.5%.
If that number sounds familiar, it's because it is the lowest that President Xi Jinping has said the ruling party will tolerate, as it must stay at or above 6.5% in order to achieve the country's stated goal of doubling GDP and per capita income from 2010-2020.
The Chinese yuan is already suffering thanks to the election of Donald Trump. And the specter of the Federal Reserve continuing to raise interest rates is pushing safety buyers into the dollar.
This has led to massive capital outflows from China and intervention from the country's central bank.
China's current housing boom is actually a bubble that's ready to pop at any moment. And the government can't spend its way back to double-digit growth numbers (for lots of reasons – chiefly, there's a long list of interventionist policies from 2015 that haven't seen the light of day as of yet, and probably won't thanks to turnover in local party leadership positions in the coming year).
This will continue in 2017. Stay out of China (unless you want to go short – more on that below) at all costs.
Additionally, there's a good chance President-elect Trump will kill TPP. Some analysts worry that will turn Asia towards China and away from the U.S.
But that argument doesn't fly.
The emerging markets economies in Asia and hard-charging Asian economies that aren't technically emerging (because they're already players on the world stage) would gladly fall in with China on trade deals, but that's not going to help them if China falters further.
In fact, they are already so dependent on China, they're increasingly looking to the U.S. for trade deals. They'll negotiate them separately with t…
About the Author
Shah Gilani is the Event Trading Specialist for Money Map Press. He provides specific trading recommendations in Capital Wave Forecast, where he predicts gigantic "waves" of money forming and shows you how to play them for the biggest gains. In Zenith Trading Circle Shah reveals the worst companies in the markets - right from his coveted Bankruptcy Almanac - and how readers can trade them over and over again for huge gains. He also writes our most talked-about publication, Wall Street Insights & Indictments, where he reveals how Wall Street's high-stakes game is really played.