The Real "Next Big Thing" Google Didn't Mention

Maybe Alphabet Inc. (Nasdaq: GOOGL) should have named its new smartphone the "Trojan Horse."

See, there's a lot more going on here than the introduction of a new piece of hardware.

Now, don't get me wrong. The Pixel 2 is an impressive device.

And on the surface, it seems designed to compete head-on with the iPhone from Apple Inc. (Nasdaq: AAPL). After all, it sports a state-of-the-art organic light-emitting diode (OLED) and comes in standard and plus sizes.

The Pixel 2 debuted two weeks ago along with several other pieces of hardware, including an updated laptop and an artificial intelligence-powered wearable camera. And the global leader in online search got generally great reviews for its new products.

However, I have to say the real star of the show received almost no attention.

It's the hidden ingredient that is the true driving force behind these moves.

Will it help Alphabet's stock over the long run?

Here's what I think...

Despite Some Hardware Plays, It's All About the Software

I recently appeared as a guest on CNBC World to discuss Alphabet's moves. At the time, I said the new phone wouldn't "move the needle" all that much for the stock.

Fact is, it's a software play by Alphabet that makes all of this so intriguing. And that software - which I'll tell you about momentarily - is what's going to help the company's growth and profit margins in the months ahead.

Yes, I recognize that the firm unveiled the Pixel on the heels of its recent investment of $1.1 billion in Taiwanese smartphone manufacturer HTC Corp.

Under terms of the HTC deal, Alphabet is going to transfer 2,000 workers to its own R&D unit. That tells me the firm has hardware ambitions beyond the phone.

But here's why I say the Pixel is Alphabet's "Trojan Horse." The company is taking a page out of Apple's playbook and making the Pixel the central piece in its hub-and-spoke software strategy.

It's a great new sales hook...

Taking a Page from Apple's Book

When it comes to quality and profit margins, Apple dominates with its iPhone. But the iPhone commands that level of respect in no small measure because it's central to Apple's far-flung hardware empire - and its app, music, and movie sales.

What Apple has built is nothing short of the best consumer-centric tech ecosystem in the world today. And it all starts with the iPhone, which accounts for more than two-thirds of Apple's sales.

With the iPhone, users can "talk" to all their devices basically at the same time. For instance, if you update your calendar on your phone, that update automatically shows up on your MacBook and iPad.

If my iPhone rings, so does my iPad and Apple Watch. And it all works backward as well. When I update my MacBook, I'm updating my phone right along with it.

To get to that level of seamless integration, Alphabet must have its own branded handset.

So, investing heavily in the development team at HTC and the Pixel allows Alphabet to come up with an enhanced version of its Android operating system, the most widely used in the world.

Doing so also allows Alphabet to market its own phone in a way that won't anger its partners who rely on Android. I'm talking here, of course, about Samsung Electronics Co. Ltd. (OTCMKTS: SSNLF), the world leader in Android smartphones.

Those software upgrades will allow the Pixel to play a more vital role than the sales figure would indicate. ComScore says only an average 0.7% of U.S. smartphone subscribers used the Pixel in the three-month period ending in August, the last month for full data.

To put that into perspective, 45% of subscribers used Apple's iPhone, and 29.5% used a Samsung.

However, if you look at it another way, well over half of American smartphone users carry an Android (Alphabet) phone.

In other words, the Pixel 2 has some built-in advantages that can add to Alphabet's bottom line.

And to Alphabet investors' bottom line...

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Even Moderate Success Means Major Profit

Let's say the Pixel captures just 5% of the global market for smartphones. That would give it sales of 75 million units a year. And at a conservative $650 average selling price, we're talking $48 billion in new yearly sales.

Even better for Alphabet is how that advance will spark interest in other parts of its tech "ecosystem."

For instance, the company has its Nest thermostat, the Chromebook laptop, the OnHub Wi-Fi router, and the Chromecast web streaming box. It also has an AI-driven Google Home smart speaker. Google Assistant is the company's version of Apple's Siri - and it will integrate to the Home and Pixel.

There's another aspect of the Pixel's emerging role that no one on Wall Street or the media even mentioned. The device fits nicely into Alphabet's vision of a wireless world...

Google's Ecosystem Starts in Space

Back in 2015, the firm joined with Fidelity Investments in a $1 billion investment in Elon Musk's Space Exploration Technologies Corp.

That means Alphabet owns about 10% of SpaceX - and it advances the Silicon Valley giant's bid to use satellites to provide wireless web access.

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Google is doing so because more than two-thirds of the world's 7 billion people lack Internet.

By backing SpaceX, Google hopes to be able to launch a new generation of small satellites that will beam web signals to remote regions of the world.

And when that effort comes to fruition, Google will have its Pixel ready. It's a robust smartphone that allows all of these billions of new users to connect to its far-flung Wi-Fi system.

At that point, the mobile advertising juggernaut and world leader in online search will have a truly global tech ecosystem. All its branded products will give users a truly unified system.

With a market cap of $686.10 billion, the stock trades at roughly $1,001 a share - and still has plenty of upside ahead.

Over the past three years, the company has grown sales by an average 18%. If all it did was keep that same rate, earnings per share will have doubled in exactly four years.

That doesn't even take into account that the new Pixel 2 could add several billion dollars in profits some three years out.

Add it all up and you can see that Google's new "Trojan Horse" - I mean, Pixel 2 - could have a solid, long-term effect on the stock.

That's what everyone missed a couple of weeks ago. But not us.

Up Next: Tiny Company Poised for a 28,700% Sales Surge

Bill Gates and the billionaires at Google have invested millions in a technology that's about to transform medicine as we know it. Wall Street insiders have boosted their holdings by as much as 2,000%.

Now, after an epic legal battle, a tiny $6 million company has just won in a shocking patent verdict.

With 40 registered patents and 500 patents pending, it's positioned to dominate the U.S. medical markets for decades to come – and an imminent announcement could ignite a 28,700% revenue surge.

Go here now for full details…

The post The Real "Next Big Thing" Google Didn't Mention appeared first on Strategic Tech Investor.

About the Author

Michael A. Robinson is a 36-year Silicon Valley veteran and one of the top tech and biotech financial analysts working today. That's because, as a consultant, senior adviser, and board member for Silicon Valley venture capital firms, Michael enjoys privileged access to pioneering CEOs, scientists, and high-profile players. And he brings this entire world of Silicon Valley "insiders" right to you...

  • He was one of five people involved in early meetings for the $160 billion "cloud" computing phenomenon.
  • He was there as Lee Iacocca and Roger Smith, the CEOs of Chrysler and GM, led the robotics revolution that saved the U.S. automotive industry.
  • As cyber-security was becoming a focus of national security, Michael was with Dave DeWalt, the CEO of McAfee, right before Intel acquired his company for $7.8 billion.

This all means the entire world is constantly seeking Michael's insight.

In addition to being a regular guest and panelist on CNBC and Fox Business, he is also a Pulitzer Prize-nominated writer and reporter. His first book Overdrawn: The Bailout of American Savings warned people about the coming financial collapse - years before the word "bailout" became a household word.

Silicon Valley defense publications vie for his analysis. He's worked for Defense Media Network and Signal Magazine, as well as The New York Times, American Enterprise, and The Wall Street Journal.

And even with decades of experience, Michael believes there has never been a moment in time quite like this.

Right now, medical breakthroughs that once took years to develop are moving at a record speed. And that means we are going to see highly lucrative biotech investment opportunities come in fast and furious.

To help you navigate the historic opportunity in biotech, Michael launched the Bio-Tech Profit Alliance.

His other publications include: Strategic Tech Investor, The Nova-X Report, Bio-Technology Profit Alliance and Nexus-9 Network.

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