The number one problem during earnings season is knowing where a stock will move after its earnings come out.
And that can make it really easy to miss out on profits – or even lose your money entirely.
But you can exploit any company every earnings season – good or bad.
And it all boils down to this one little secret…
As we've talked about before, earnings reports are dominating the financial TV networks, websites, and even newspapers.
For example, you'll often see a stock ramp higher in price before the company releases earnings, which could drive the markets higher. And if you don't know the pattern, you're virtually entering the trade blind.
I've got a proprietary system that can help you position an option trade prior to the report and capitalize on this price move higher. What you're looking at below is the average percentage move in Travelers Cos. Inc. (NYSE: TRV) prior to earnings, which is in the 1.25% range.
And we're going to use this as an example to see what happens if a stock gaps higher, makes a new high, or takes out a previous overhead resistance area after its earnings report.
Now, there are times that options traders may try to get into a trade (let's say a long call) in advance of the earnings or even the day before the announcement only to find that they can't enter into the trade.
"Old Resistance Becoming New Support"
This is a technical pattern where the price point gets established as the resistance level (meaning a stock can't trade beyond that point) before demand for that stock eventually drives the price even higher. (Click here for a quick recap on breakout patterns.)
Sometimes a technical breakout can fail, which is actually even better. In this case, the stock trades above resistance intraday and then closes under that price. This is likely to become a failed breakout (we'll talk more about that later). When a stock does break out and closes above resistance, that gives you more conviction that the price move will be sustained and that higher prices can be expected.
The stock doesn't always keep moving straight up though…
This move shows the stock testing that old resistance and a bounce that makes the old resistance become a new support level.
So here's the secret…
About the Author
Tom Gentile is one of the world's foremost authorities on stock, futures and options trading.
With more than 25 years' experience trading stocks, futures, and options, Tom's style of trading systems and strategies are designed to help individual investors propel themselves past 99 percent of the trading crowd.