John Paulson

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Will Gold be Paulson's Next "Greatest Trade Ever"?


When famed hedge-fund manager John Paulson speaks, people listen.

And it's no wonder.

Paulson made his way into the financial history books thanks to what many now call the "greatest trade ever".

Paulson & Co. shorted the subprime mortgage market before the collapse banking a $15 billion gain.

So when Paulson went big again by buying gold in 2009 and 2010, investors took notice.

At the time he said, "As an investor, I became very concerned about having my assets denominated in U.S. dollars," Paulson told his audience. "So I looked for another currency in which to denominate my assets in. I feel that gold is the best currency."

In fact, Paulson's holdings in the SPDR Gold Trust (NYSE: GLD) make his firm the biggest stakeholder in this ETF, with a position currently valued at $2.9 billion.

So that begs the question....

Is Paulson still a gold bull?

In a recent letter to investors he wrote, "By the time inflation becomes evident, gold will probably have moved, which implies that now is the time to build a position in gold."

And he's not alone.

Recent filings showed that another legendary hedge-fund investor, George Soros, has nearly doubled his stake in GLD to 85,450 shares.

But "Bond King" Bill Gross's latest words and actions may well be the most significant of all.

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John Paulson Says Now's the Time to Buy Gold

Billionaire hedge-fund manager John Paulson wrote a letter to investors saying now is the time to buy gold, as prices are going to soar this year.

Paulson said government spending will trigger inflation, and investors should stock up on gold as protection.

"By the time inflation becomes evident, gold will probably have moved, which implies that now is the time to build a position in gold," Paulson wrote in a letter at the end of 2011 obtained by Bloomberg News.

Hedge funds and money managers have increased their bets this year on higher gold prices.
Paulson's hedge fund, Paulson & Co., is the biggest investor in the SPDR Gold Trust ETF (NYSE: GLD) with a $2.9 billion stake. The fund is up 24% in the past year and more than 10% this year alone.

Paulson: It's Time to Buy Gold

With the U.S. Federal Reserve leaving interest rates near zero until 2014, more investors will buy gold as an inflation hedge.

"The appalling state of fiscal finances of most industrial nations does lead to concerns about the possibility of inflation," Mark O'Byrne, executive director of brokerage GoldCore Ltd., told Bloomberg. "Gold is a crucial diversification given the various risks out there."

The European debt crisis and its uncertain effects on the markets have also pushed investors into gold. China this week pledged to help the region resolve its fiscal issues by investing in Europe's bailout funds.

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How to Profit in Any Kind of Market

When it comes to the global financial crisis, many so-called "experts" think the worst is behind us. But I don't buy it.

And I'm not alone.

Just look at what some other big-name investors - each also known for their independent thinking - are saying or doing right now:

  • Bond king Bill Gross is nervous and raising cash.
  • Author, commentator and global-markets guru Jim Rogers has repeatedly said that he's not investing in stocks anywhere in the world right now.
  • Hedge-fund heavyweight John Paulson is moving aggressively into gold.
  • And investing icon Warren Buffett - never one known for tipping his hand - is candidly stating that the U.S. financial-crisis cleanup is far from complete. The fact that he's reportedly buying more shares of Korean steel dynamo Posco (NYSE ADR: PKX) would punctuate this point.
Indeed, entire nations - I'm thinking specifically of China, India, Brazil, Chile and one or two others - are adopting similar stances. And they're doing so for the same risk-fearing reasons. They want to grow their money but they don't want to place it at risk any more than we do.

This kind of uncertainty can be paralyzing, making it tough to decide where - or even if - we should deploy our investments.

Fortunately, we've been here before. And what we learned will allow us to profit no matter what the financial future holds for the U.S. marketplace.

To learn the four secrets to investing success, please read on...