Uncertainty and volatility have plagued the markets of late but there's reason enough to believe a short-term up-trend is in store.
For one thing, the speed of recovery has varied from country to country but emerging markets and commodity-producing nations continue to post strong growth. And while the global slowdown has brought about very high fiscal deficits, particularly in Europe, fears that the Eurozone economy is edging towards collapse are beginning to dissipate.
The European debt problem should be addressed at the end of this month, when the European Central Bank (ECB) publicizes the results of its stress tests. I expect the results will bring renewed confidence in the system. It's likely that the largest financial institutions will most probably all be sound, while there will be some smaller institutions that need restructuring. These smaller banks will either quickly recapitalize or be absorbed by larger institutions.
That means we could soon see a strong short-term bullish market trend.
Meanwhile, the International Monetary Fund's (IMF) recent World Economic Report Update showed global growth estimates for the next year and a half that were much stronger than expected.