An energy embargo won't solve Russia's many offenses to international sensibilities.
- China and Russia Are Cozying Up for This Key Reason
- Russia's Real Achilles' Heel: The Best Way to Cripple the Kremlin
- How Russian Hackers Could Still Win This Election for Trump
- Are Russian Hackers Selling U.S. Cyber Weapons Online?
- Russia Is the Most Dangerous Wild Card in the South China Sea
- What OPEC's New Romance with Russia Means for Oil Prices
- [WARNING] China, Russia Create Own Gold Market to Take Down U.S. Dollar
- Don't Count Putin (or Russia) Out Yet
- Chaos Mounts in Russia. Here's What to Do…
- Russia: The Greatest Threat to the Energy Markets
- BP PLC (NYSE ADR: BP) Attempts Another Venture Into Russian Oil Industry in $16 Billion Deal
- Russia: Is it Time to Invest in One of the Coldest Countries on Earth?
- How to Profit From the Russian Wheat Shortage
- Drought Forces Russia to Ban Grain Exports
- These Five Inflation Plays Will Provide Protection and Profits
- Buy, Sell or Hold: Keep Your Portfolio Healthy With Campbell Soup Co. (NYSE: CPB)
Russia claims that it's neutral in the ever-alarming South China Sea conflict.
Low oil prices have brought OPEC and Russia to the brink of partnership, but don't expect this new closeness to radically raise oil prices. Here's what the real impact will be.
OPEC's decision to protect market share over price has even hit American producers, with their huge, expensive-to-extract new reserves of shale and tight oil.
China and Russia have finally had enough of Western central bankers' clandestine gold market manipulation to prop up the U.S. dollar.
F. William Engdahl, an American-German economic researcher and best-selling geopolitical author, was quoted by business blog Sputnik on Aug. 16. He said that Russia, China, and other emerging economies are involved in & the genial move & to establish an entirely different gold market.
& They stand to add to the new energy surrounding a renaissance in gold as a support of solid, well-based currencies to replace the diluted and devalued dollar system...&
Don't underestimate Vladimir Putin: he knows how to fight back.
And right now, that trait might be all that keeps Russia from a catastrophic collapse.
The facts on the ground in Russia are, at best, chaotic...
Oil prices are way down, and its currency, the ruble, has crashed.
But while the West may think it's got Russia under its thumb, Vladimir has plenty more tricks up his sleeve to stave off his country's mounting problems and see his people through the crisis.
The collapse in oil prices has exposed some vulnerable economies. All of them are dependent upon crude export sales to maintain even the appearance of a national budget.
As you might expect, every member of OPEC falls into this group, although Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, and the United Arab Emirates have sufficient reserves that will allow them to carry sizable budget deficits for some time.
However, Venezuela, Iran, and Nigeria are in a real bind. Each needs oil to be over $100 a barrel to keep it all afloat. That's tough to finesse when oil is selling for less than $60 a barrel.
Today, Caracas is on the verge of defaulting (again) on its sovereign debt, Tehran may need to reintroduce rationing, while Abuja is fighting an incendiary civil war against Islamist fundamentalists in the north.
Yet these nightmares are hardly limited to OPEC. Other export-dependent producers are likewise taking it on the chin.
There's an old saying, "The more things change, the more they stay the same."
And modern Russia a perfect example of this saying. And this move to the past autocratic methods is creating a very unstable future for the energy markets.
Dr. Moors explains the warning signs in Moscow that are making energy traders start to worry.
To find out what's happening and what it means to you, read on...
Start the conversation
The deal involves BP swapping 5% of its shares, valued at $7.8 billion, for 9.5% of state-controlled Rosneft's shares. The British oil company already owns a 1.3% stake in the Russian business. BP Chief Executive Officer Robert Dudley said the deal is the first cross-shareholding between a Russian state-owned national oil company (NOC) and western oil giant, and called the move "a new template for how business can be done in our industry."
The joint venture will make Rosneft the largest single BP shareholder. Their newly formed joint operating company will be two-thirds owned by Rosneft and one-third owned by BP. It will spend up to $2 billion in an initial phase of testing and well-drilling.
Still, Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (NYSE: GS) in 2001 identified Russia as one of the four great "BRIC" growth economies. And while much of its gilt has been worn off, Russia still has many supporters in the investment world. So the question is: Provided you don't have to live there, is it worth devoting a few of your investment dollars to the country?
Having grown up on a working farm in Oregon, I understand this all too well. Those days taught me a lot about hard work and patience. Four decades later, as I read news stories about the current travails of Russian wheat farmers, the memories of getting up on wet winter mornings for the pre-dawn goat milking - or having to drive a tractor when I was only six years old - engender a lot of empathy for the difficult challenges the wheat farmers face.
Wild fires are racing through unharvested wheat fields, the result of a Russian heat wave that has destroyed more than one-fifth of that country's wheat crop. In addition to causing the farmers considerable pain, the crop losses have caused wheat prices to double this summer.
This has spawned an export ban in Russia, which effectively removes the third-largest exporter in the world from the market. It's also created a major profit opportunity for U.S. investors.
Let me explain.
Wheat rose to a 23-month high after Russia, the world's third-largest grower, announced a ban beginning Aug.15 that will last through the end of the year. Corn and rice prices also surged yesterday after Russian Prime Minister Vladimir Putin said a ban on those grains would be "appropriate" in light of skyrocketing prices.
Domestic grain prices gained 19% last week, faster than at the peak of the global food crisis in 2008. The ban includes wheat, barley, rye, corn and flour exports, according to the government decree that also set aside nearly $1.2 billion for stricken farmers.
And yet the consumer price index (CPI) statistics remain quiet - not giving ammunition to the deflationary camp, but making "inflationists" look silly, as well. Now, however, it is becoming obvious that inflation will soon arrive. But this time it is sneaking in through the back door - courtesy of our emerging-market trading partners.
Fortunately, there are some very clear steps that investors can take to protect themselves from this expected inflationary surge.
Start the conversation
That's because most analysts think of Campbell the same way they think of many other consumer staples businesses - as a stable, slow moving business with no real short-term catalyst for growth.
You see, very few remember the tremendous upside that Warren Buffet realized when he invested in another "dull" staples business, The Coca-Cola Co. (NYSE: KO), just prior to a major overseas expansion.And it's precisely that kind of campaign Campbell has mounted - expanding its businesses in Russia, China, and other emerging economies to great success.