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Gold Mining Stocks: Now is the Time to Buy

By , Contributing Writer, Money Morning -

There are lots of reasons you should own some gold. Despite taking a recent breather, gold prices are still up by 139% in the last five years.

Even so, shares of gold mining stocks have suffered lately, hurt mainly by higher energy and exploration costs.

In fact, the stocks of the large gold miners have become nearly as undervalued as they were during the 2008 financial crisis.

The last time shares of these big gold producers were this cheap, they rallied by 283%.

At these levels, that means it's time to take a closer look at shares of big gold miners - while they are still a bargain.

Here's what you need to know...

The Gold Bull Market is Not Over

A number of factors point to higher prices for gold:

  • Real interest rates remain in negative territory. Sitting in cash right now is a losing proposition.
  • The austerity movement in Europe is being replaced with more fiscal easing. The European Central Bank may have to print trillions of euros of debt to keep the Eurozone intact.
  • The odds of more fiscal stimulus in China and the U.S. have increased, as two of the world's largest economies struggle to gain traction.
  • Despite healthy demand and rising prices, global production of the metal rose just 0.7% annually from 1999 through 2011.
Combined with aggressive gold-buying binges by China and other foreign governments moving away from the U.S. dollar, the stage is set for the price of gold to rally.



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Gold Prices: How to Climb the "Golden Staircase'

By , Executive Editor, Money Morning • @privatebrief -

When U.K. subscriber John M. wrote in this week, he got right to the point.

Asked John: "What's happening to gold prices? Why are they dropping?"

For an answer, I speed-dialed Real Asset Returns Editor Peter Krauth - our resident expert on mining and precious metals.

Peter is based in Canada, which keeps him close to the natural-resource companies that proliferate north of the border. He gave me a detailed and insightful answer to John M.'s question.

And he recommended three ways to profit - including an ETF he says is perfect for first-time gold investors.

To explain what's happened with the "yellow metal" - and to project where gold prices will go next - Peter invented a pricing theory that he christened the "Golden Staircase."

"The bottom line, Bill, is that the price of gold has simply entered a consolidation phase - much like it has done numerous times since it entered this secular bull market back in 2001," he told me.

Gold futures were at $1,662.40 an ounce yesterday - well off the yellow metal's high. Here's why.

"If you think back, when gold hit its all-time high of $1,900 last August, we were in the midst of wild speculation that the U.S. government wouldn't resolve its debt-ceiling crisis," Peter explained. "A deal in Congress was reached in time, but Standard & Poor's went on to downgrade the nation's credit rating for the first time in history. Since then, there's been considerable apathy towards gold by the general investing public, pushing its price down about 13%. What's more, government-calculated inflation looks benign, taking away from gold's luster."

And here's where it gets interesting.

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Buy, Sell or Hold: Buy the Dips in Gold (NYSE: GLD)

By , Global Macro Trends Specialist, Money Morning -

SPDR Gold Trust (NYSE: GLD) experienced a major pullback on Leap Day this week, dropping almost exactly 100 points on the day.

This happened while the European Central Bank (ECB) offered its second tranche of three-year Long Term Recapitalization Operations (LTRO).

The sell-off in gold on Wednesday is a related sign that liquidity is currently in demand.

But you only have to look at gold's big move up since the start of 2012 to know this stage of the move was unsustainable short-term.

It's why investors shouldn't be surprised by the pullback, and should use this latest move down to increase their long-term exposure to gold.

This dip is a buying event and nothing more.

The pullback in the price of gold also hit equities along with bonds and some other commodities.

Even so, it appears that the ECB has provided enough liquidity to fight off the near-term fears.

Once these funds begin to work their way through the system, I believe they will be bullish for commodity prices.

Over time, banks will eventually put that capital to work, with an eye toward generating a positive rate of return on it. One of those avenues will undoubtedly be gold.

Here's why, along with a bit of background.

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How This Indian Wedding Tradition Drives Global Gold Demand

By , Associate Editor, Money Morning -

An Indian wedding tradition dating back thousands of years is more than a simple cultural practice - it has become one of the biggest drivers of global gold demand.

In a Feb. 12 CBS News' "60 Minutes" report, correspondent Bryon Pitts took a look at how the Indian wedding tradition of draping the bride in gold jewels has propelled India to be the biggest source of global gold demand. India is now No. 1 in gold consumption of jewelry as well as physical bars and coins.

India accounts for about 32% of the global gold market with half of the gold Indians buy spent on jewelry for the 10 million weddings held there each year.

As a result, gold prices typically rise ahead of wedding season as families prepare.

"The demand for gold out of India is fundamental for the health of the industry," Ajay Mitra of the World Gold Council told Pitts. "If India sneezes, the gold industry will catch a cold."

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