China's productivity crisis is growing - and the ramifications will stretch far beyond the Red Dragon's borders.
A new report from analysis firm Demand Institute, done in conjunction with Nielson and The Conference Board, suggests Chinese economy is worse off than many suspect. It forecasts 4.5% gross domestic product (GDP) growth on average between 2015 and 2020, and 3.6% on average from 2015 to 2020 - assuming the Chinese government is able manipulate markets using policy mechanisms.
"China's productivity crisis - the result of both institutional deficiencies and a maturing economy - remains unaddressed. For these reasons, we believe China is facing a protracted period of declining growth that will be much longer and deeper than analysts may have predicted."