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A Default Spree Is Coming… And It's Going to Be Ugly

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Junk bonds may be rallying but it has little to do with corporate credit quality, which just keeps deteriorating.

As of the end of August, 113 companies had defaulted on their debt in 2016, already matching the total number of defaults from 2015. The year-to-date default count was also 57% higher than a year earlier.

In case anyone is paying attention (it appears they are not), the last time defaults were this high was in 2009 when 208 companies failed during the financial crisis.

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This Trend Is Not Your Friend

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The S&P 500 hit another record high last week on the back of an employment report that was boosted by "large seasonal adjustments," which is really just another way of saying the government is manipulating the numbers.

Even after these adjustments, however, three- and six-month average job growth is below 200,000 and also lower than a year ago. The last two months' reports were boosted by higher government hiring (+71,000, the highest two month level since 2010).

Private sector jobs growth is running at a lower 3-month average of 150,000, down significantly from 221,000 in 2015 and 240,000 in 2014.

Don't fall for any of this...

The Surprising Signal That Led to My Latest Stock Market Prediction

Dow Jones Industrial Average

Two months ago, Michael Robinson called for a market rebound - just weeks after stocks bottomed out on Feb. 11. He was right.

Now he's back with a new stock market prediction. Here's where he sees stocks heading in 2016...

The Truth (About the Stock Market) Is Out There

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Investors want to believe the Fed can support the stock market, and pundits are working hard to convince everyone that the bear market is over.

Don't fall it. This rally is unsustainable, and the Fed's forging monetary policy with flawed data that's doomed to fail.

Here's what's really going on in the markets right now - and what you should do about it...

Why This Indicator Is a Bullish Sign for the S&P 500

S&P 500

Morgan Stanley recently issued an alert saying that going long on the S&P 500 Index presented the best buying opportunity in 20 years.

That might sound absurd to some, but not to you. That's because I've been keeping you on top of profit-making opportunities before Wall Street catches on.

Today, I'm once again getting you out in front with a chart that shows you how the market has crossed another critical bullish threshold.

Very few people are talking about this yet. And that makes it a big opening for you...

This Looks Like the 2008 Stock Market Crash All Over Again

Stock market crash

U.S. markets logged their fifth straight week of gains last week, pushing the Dow and S&P 500 into positive territory for the first time in 2016. But despite those gains, the fears of a stock market crash are still very real.

In fact, Money Morning Capital Wave Strategist Shah Gilani says this rally reminds him of the one that preceded the 2008 stock market crash...

New Research Shows the Fed Accounts for 93% of Market Moves Since 2008

DJIA futures

I wasn't the least bit surprised by the Fed's move Wednesday to stand pat on interest rates.

As I noted on CNBC's "Closing Bell," talking is just about the only policy tool still available to Fed Chair Janet Yellen.

That's because the world's other central banks are doing her dirty work for her.

This isn't a popular concept amongst those who like to believe the Fed is in control, but it's all too real. The People's Bank of China unpegged the yuan last August. Then the Bank of Japan introduced negative interest rates in January. And, last week the European Central Bank unleashed Super Mario Draghi's monetary bazooka - all of which make it impossible for Yellen to raise rates at the moment.

Speaking of which, traders breathed a sigh of relief based on the fact that Yellen may be taking rate hikes off the table for now, lending credence to the thought this morning that the Fed may finally be stepping out of the way.

Don't bet on it.

What happened Wednesday is another very deliberate move in a long string of moves that's designed with one intention and one intention only - to manipulate markets.

Not that that's new news - but here's what is.

In the Money Map Report, we've talked many times about how and why there are singular inputs that move markets during specific points in our economic history. I raised a lot of eyebrows when I said that the Fed accounted for 85% of all market action since 2008, but it turns out I may have been too conservative!

The real figure may be at least 93%.

And that means you've got to change your stock selection methods if you want to make sure you profitably capture what's next...

The "BANG Stocks" Are the Next Group of Profit-Doublers

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The market-leading FANG stocks - Facebook, Amazon.com, Netflix, and the former Google, now Alphabet - haven't had a great 2016, with returns in the neighborhood of -15% to just under 5% for the year.

Don't get me wrong - they're still good "holds" for investors wise enough to take the long view and accumulate big, steady gains over a period of years.

Those anemic gains aren't surprising, given that we're all but "officially" in the depths of a bear market.

But... like the old adage goes, "there's always a bull market somewhere," and I believe that's especially true of the basket of stocks I'm about to show you. As uncertainty and volatility rule the markets, these shares have already delivered bona fide breakout gains that most investors would kill for right now.

But you haven't missed out; there's a new technology just hitting its stride right now that could multiply these players' profits exponentially.

And the best part is they're all still available at real bargain prices.

They won't stay that way, though...

This Indicator Has Racked Up Huge Profits for Investors Who Caught It

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FOX Business Network host Stuart Varney cut right to the chase recently, asking me within seconds of the market opening:

"What specific strategies can our viewers use to make a lot of money really fast in today's markets?"

"Two things," I replied.

You short the weakest companies - meaning you bet on them going down - and you buy the strongest companies because they've got what's needed to survive turbulent market conditions.

But, today, I want to tell you what I couldn't say on TV.

Right now I'm watching a key technical indicator we've seen only do what it's doing now twice in the past 22 years. What's more, this same indicator has heralded radically different market conditions than most investors expect both times it's appeared.

And some whopping profits for investors who recognized it, too.

Today I want to tell you what "it" is and share a company that's poised for profits as a result.

Here's what you need to know...

Your Entire Trading Strategy May Be Based on a Lie

http://moneymorning.com/2015/12/09/what-investors-need-to-know-about-oil-prices-in-2016/

You might have centered your entire trading strategy around this myth fed to traders - especially newer traders.</P

But here's the thing: Even if it seems like what you heard is paying off, it will eventually hurt you - and your pockets.

You could already be "shorting" yourself on hundreds of thousands of dollars because of it...

The Stronger U.S. Dollar Is Actually Destroying the Markets

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The U.S. dollar remains the most important financial instrument in the world. The dollar rally has been the single most decisive factor in determining economic growth (or weakness) and market direction since early 2014.

Right now, that’s not a good thing. A stronger dollar has a far-reaching, negative domino effect that pressures global markets in all directions.

And that pressure is nearing the breaking point…

What To Expect From This Bear Market Rally

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Stocks rallied for the third straight week in what appears to be a classic bear market rally. Investors should count their good luck and use higher prices as an opportunity to reduce equity exposure or hedge stocks they don't want to sell. 

The Dow Jones Industrial Average jumped by 367 points or 2.2% to 17,006.77 while the S&P 500 rose by 52 points or 2.7% to 1999.99. The Nasdaq Composite Index rose 2.8% to 4717.02. The major averages have gained about 10% since their February lows, giving investors hope that the worst is over.

I do not believe it is. Despite some moderately positive economic news last week, the global economy remains depressed and the prospects for significantly higher stock prices are low. Let me explain...

This Chart Proves the Stock Market Rebound Has Legs

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The mainstream media would have you think last Friday was a nightmare. They're wrong.

In fact, the S&P 500's small loss for the day confirmed an uptrend that began Feb. 11. Today I'll show you why I'm so optimistic about a stock market rebound.

And I'll show you why - despite what the media wants you to believe - now is no time to be sitting on the sidelines. This chart proves it...

Dow Jones Industrial Average Climbs Today as Oil Prices Surge

dow jones industrial average

Find out what's ahead for the stock market today.

Get your update on the Dow Jones Industrial Average, stocks to watch, the biggest stock market news, and today's best profit plays.

Continue reading here...

Dow Jones Industrial Average Moving Today as Oil Prices Soar

dow jones industrial average

Find out what's ahead for the stock market today.

Get your update on the Dow Jones Industrial Average, stocks to watch, the biggest stock market news, and today's best profit plays.

Continue reading here...