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    The Shanghai Composite Index soared by 8% last week to its highest level since 2008 and is up about 130% over the last year.

    The Shenzhen Composite Index jumped by 12% last week and is up 166% over the same period and is now trading at 66x earnings according to Bloomberg, three times the level of the Shanghai Index.

    How do you spell "bubble" in Chinese?

    Full story here...

US Economy

Jobs Report Turns Tables on Traditional Retail Havens

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The lower than expected jobs numbers that the Bureau of Labor Statistics released last week could signal a trend more disturbing than a potential rise in unemployment.

Find out why.

From Complexity to Chaos, From a Trickle to a Flood

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As a volatility trader, I loved seeing stocks drop 2% last week after having risen 3%. But as a credit trader and student of market behavior, I know all too well that this type of volatility is a forecast of stormy seas ahead.

Markets were disturbed last week by more evidence that the economy is weak, in spite of the fact that a steady stream of lousy economic news this year has done little to prevent stocks from reaching new highs.

With first quarter GDP increasingly likely to come in at well below 1% - a number that certainly can't be blamed on the weather alone - investors are now starting to sweat. Here's what they'll do next...

Earn 6% When Others Are Losing Money

Money

We're living in crazy economic times.

The race to debase and stimulate has taken us into uncharted financial waters.

Zero interest rate policies (ZIRP) are being replaced with negative interest rate policies (NIRP).

It's an upside-down banking environment that presents some serious challenges.

But investors who are willing to get just a little creative can profit nicely, even as others lose money that just sits there.

And, even better, the shares are trading at an 8% discount now...

In This Market, Don't Drink the Kool-Aid

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Stocks hit new records last week as central banks around the world continued writing checks to prop up still struggling economies, the price of oil stabilized, Vladimir Putin lured the West into a phony truce in the Ukraine, and Athens and the EU tried to pretend that Greece isn't hopelessly insolvent or that it even matters if it is or isn't.

In other words, investors were once again all too willing to ignore economic reality and drink the Kool Aid being served by central bankers and politicians.

We might as well call this the "Jonestown Market" because the cult leader Jim Jones could just as easily be handing out paper cups filled with colored water and investors would be swilling it down...

Stock Market Today Moving on Keystone XL and Greece Bailout News

stock market today

Good Morning! Futures for the stock market today (Tuesday) forecast a 91-point increase for the Dow from yesterday's close.

What to Watch Today: Investors will keep their eyes on numerous earnings reports, and the continued drama in Greece. Yesterday, Greece's Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras said his nation will not consider any extension of its bailout terms.

Here's what else you should know about the stock market today - including your "Money Morning Tip of the Day" - to make it a profitable Tuesday:

January Jobs Report Doesn't Mean What Washington Says It Does

January jobs report

The January jobs report seemed like good news.

The U.S. Labor Department said 257,000 jobs were added to the economy. That easily beat the 230,000 numbers analysts had expected.

And yet unemployment ticked up to 5.7% from 5.6%. Money Morning Chief Investment Strategist Keith Fitz-Gerald sees the conflicting data in the jobs report as more proof the recovery is not the success President Barack Obama claims.

In this video, Fitz-Gerald discusses what the funny numbers from the January jobs report mean for the U.S. economy...

What a Strong U.S. Dollar in 2015 Means

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Since 2008 the U.S. dollar has risen against every important currency in the world.

Its steady ascent has been good for a lot of companies, economies, and investors. 

But, if the trend continues, a strong U.S. dollar in 2015 will be bad news for some of those same companies, economies, and investors. Worse, it could trigger a global markets meltdown...

2015 Layoffs Blow the Cover Off the Job "Recovery"

U.S. layoffs

Just over a month into the new year, and the 2015 layoffs are already mounting.

What gives? The economy is recovering. The unemployment rate rests at a six-year low of 5.6%. And sinking gas prices have stoked consumer confidence.

The job cuts are evidence that the touted job recovery has been artificially inflated.

Here's a look at 12 recent job cuts across several sectors and what's behind them...

The Rushing Bear Market and How to Prepare

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Oil prices plunged to their lowest prices in five years last week after the International Energy Agency (IEA) downgraded its forecast for global oil demand for the fifth time in six months.

The IEA report told markets that global growth will remain weak in 2015, triggering an across-the-board sell-off in stocks and junk bonds on Friday that left the major indices with some of their worst percentage losses in three years.

Unfortunately, stocks are still trading within a few percentage points of record highs reached only a week ago and remain severely overvalued in the context of seriously deteriorating economic fundamentals.

Investors that were complacently expecting stocks to melt up to "Dow 18,000" and "S&P 2,100" by year-end are now facing a the much grimmer reality of a correction and even the potential of a bear market in 2015.

What the Economic Numbers are Really Telling Us

stock market correction

Peaking along with retail sales are the economic numbers that abound in the final weeks of each calendar year.

The year closing out and the year ahead are sending off their last and first indicators, respectively, of the state of the economy.

Adrift in the year-end deluge are the true signs of economic health...

The Truth Behind the Dangerous "Helicopter Money" Delusion

helicopter money

Seeking out major trends and power shifts in the global economy is a part of my work that I enjoy most.

It's a lot of work, and needless to say, it involves constant research.

That's why a piece I recently read in Foreign Affairs absolutely shocked me...

The piece is a bit revolutionary, as its authors speak to a drastically different way of stimulating an ailing economy than the path we're on today.

Full story...

Fight Club: Shah battles "Dark Pools" apologist on NPR today

Today, Shah Gilani let some wicked punches fly, debunking the legitimacy of Wall Street's "Dark Pools" on NPR's popular talk show On Point.

As Shah himself said: "This is about how the market has been undermined and how it could collapse one day, literally, and trillions of dollars could be lost in a matter of days."

This "Hidden" Inflation Could Wipe Out Small Returns

Official measures of inflation tell a very different story from the reality facing consumers as they shop for groceries, gasoline, insurance, healthcare, and other everyday goods.

In the real world away from government statistics, product prices continue to rise at an inexorable rate.

Asset prices also continue to rise, particularly the prices of financial assets such as stocks and bonds as well as high-end real estate and art.

While there remain pockets of weakness in the housing markets, the prices of homes have also resumed their upward trajectory after crashing during the financial crisis.

So the question remains: If the prices of just about everything are rising, why is the government telling us that inflation is so low? Full Story

Just How Bad Is the Low Labor Participation Rate for Youth?

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In another sign that the U.S. economy is not as healthy as some in Washington would have you believe, the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) has reported that the labor participation rate among youth aged 16 to 19 in February was a paltry 32.9%.

"The difference between 3% growth in the economy per year versus 2% isn't a 1% slower decline, it's a 33% slower decline, and you're really seeing these numbers add up," said Money Morning Defense & Tech Specialist Michael Robinson on FOX Business' "Varney & Co."

In this video, Michael discusses this troubling trend and offers some suggestions for how Americans can deal with it.

Read More…

Profit Massively from This "Margin Call" on American Homeowners

Get ready. There's more trouble ahead for home buyers, home builders, and especially homeowners who took out home-equity lines of credit before the housing crisis. Those heydays have turned into haymakers.

What's already started to happen might not only knock out the formerly aspiring but now petering-out housing recovery, but also might knock the already weak economy to the ground.

Back in the good old days, when banks and mortgage shops were selling mortgage money and home-equity credit lines like carnival barkers wowing crowds into the big top, millions of homeowners stepped right in.

That circus tent was nothing but a trap, however. And now I'm going to tell you what that trap means for those borrowers - and the rest of the economy... Full Story

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